AFL 2017 - AFL Round 14

[FadingTheFave]

1U - Adelaide -51.5, Jenkins 3 goals @5.00
2U - Adelaide -51.5, Betts 4 goals @3.50

 

[The_Big_Ship]

There hasn't been an away win for the first game of the round since round 3.

50 on Hawthorn @ 7.50

 

[happy punter]

Hawks +52.5 over Crows @ 1.90 (Topsport)

 

[GROTTO]

There hasn't been an away win for the first game of the round since round 3.

50 on Hawthorn @ 7.50

Depending on which book you use, you dont even need them to win the game either.

 

[benno_]

Love the Roos/Dogs game for the 24 lead promo. Seems like the perfect game for it with the stars aligning here for a very decent chance of a North 24 point lead then Dogs win. Underdog at nearly $3 odds who often start well but fade and have blown multiple big leads this year vs the favourite who should win but are the worst ranked 1st quarter team in the league who start terribly but can finish quite strong. Jumping on North with the promo and then betting on dogs elsewhere.

Also liking the Bombers to potentially lead by 24 early (then fade a bit later)

Adding Hawks with the promo @8, then jumping on Crows elsewhere, but scaling it to break even if Crows win Hawks don't lead by 24 at all. Don't like this one as much as the other 2 games, but the Crows have had some shocking starts this year (recent form has been better though), so just giving it a crack anyway to see what happens.

 

[targett]

 

[sneak]

I don't mind pointsbet

 

[The_Big_Ship]

Depending on which book you use, you dont even need them to win the game either.

How's that? The 24 point margin?

 

[Oraz]

WHose laughing now?

My 8u on Sydney @ 1.45 is looking great now as i predicted hooker is out

 

[GROTTO]

How's that? The 24 point margin?

The SB and 365 promo.

 

[mookieb]

Had Ade -36.5 a while ago so part middling with Hawks +51.5. Has a good shot although Ade has a habit of destroying the weaker teams at home. On the flipside Hawks have 4 experienced players back and I think Clarkson tries and turns this as much as possible into a defensive slog so on the unders as well.

 

[hedgedhog]

What a move on Melbourne. Spewing I covered my 15.5 earlier today because of news that Watts could be out. Had to regather my whole position zzzz

 

[Keystone agony]

1U M.Crouch <105.5 @1.87
1U Titchell < 122.5 @1.95
0.5U Greenwood >66.5 @1.87
0.05U T.Lynch -13 Pointabet vs Burgoyne

 

[targett]

What a move on Melbourne. Spewing I covered my 15.5 earlier today because of news that Watts could be out. Had to regather my whole position zzzz

Yea so did i

 

[Spacedog]

1.5U Walker vs Betts DT - Walker
1U total points Under 190
2U Laird over 107.5 supercoach
2U Sloane under 114.5 DT

 

[langdon19]

Just took adalaide under 119.5 points

 

[X_box_X]

I need to hit a Malcom tonight to avoid a losing week. I've only had eight losing weeks out of 50 this financial year and at the moment I'm on track to have my third worst week.

Total game score 188-197 please.
Crows by 52 points for a long shot.

 

[hedgedhog]

WHose laughing now?

My 8u on Sydney @ 1.45 is looking great now as i predicted hooker is out

You could've got it after that the lineups got released anyway.

 

[X_box_X]

HT

$500 Adelaide win at $1.10 w Sportsbet
$50 Hawthorn win at $18 w Ozbet

 

[X_box_X]

Topsport had the draw paying $201.

Crows haven't had a draw since 1994. It's the longest ever run without a draw.

 

[Lensen]

Topsport had the draw paying $201.
.

only took one bet on it
#pray

 

[Oraz]

God, just lost a bucket load of cash on the crows.

 

[Oraz]

seriously going to pump every dog at the + for the rest of the season.
This season is way too close

all the value is on the + pound it every game and you'll finish on top this year

Hawthorn were +51!

 

[X_box_X]

Nick Xenephon just lost me $150 when I should have won $350.

I am filthy.

If there is ever a good reason to introduce live online betting, that is it.

 

[hedgedhog]

seriously going to pump every dog at the + for the rest of the season.
This season is way too close

all the value is on the + pound it every game and you'll finish on top this year

Hawthorn were +51!

I hope you understand what variance is. There will also be a period of time when all the favourites will cover for half a season straight. And then people will talk about how imbalanced the AFL is yadayadayada. All this underdogs covering is just a period of variance.