AFL 2017 - AFL Round 4

[Infra Ted]

+15.5U overall so far for the round

With..
2.5U Duncan > DT Burgoyne @1.85
1.65U Gibson <70.5 DT @1.88
..to come

Thoughts on Rioli under 80.5 points @ $1.70?

Been averaging 58

 

[benno_]

Thoughts on Rioli under 80.5 points @ $1.70?

Been averaging 58

I like the look of that. His last few against Geelong have also only been 77, 50, 62. Would have liked slightly higher odds, but I'll probably still jump on that.

EDIT: nice find, going to go with 1.4U @1.70

 

[Infra Ted]

I like the look of that. His last few against Geelong have also only been 77, 50, 62. Would have liked slightly higher odds, but I'll probably still jump on that.

EDIT: nice find, going to go with 1.4U @1.70

Motlop is also $1.90 to beat Cyril.

He is averaging 72. Better odds but probably riskier.

 

[Infra Ted]

I like the look of that. His last few against Geelong have also only been 77, 50, 62. Would have liked slightly higher odds, but I'll probably still jump on that.

EDIT: nice find, going to go with 1.4U @1.70

Already been crunched into $1.65. Didn't get on my own bet

Probably not worth it anymore. Might go with the Motlop one. Thoughts?

 

[benno_]

Motlop is also $1.90 to beat Cyril.

He is averaging 72. Better odds but probably riskier.

hmm that ones not bad, but i don't love it. While he's been doing better then Rioli, he hasn't been doing too great himself. Little bit of a coin toss for mine to confidently go with either one, will probably be staying away from it.

 

[benno_]

Already been crunched into $1.65. Didn't get on my own bet

Damn unlucky, could still be worth a bet, but up to you really.

One of my top rules when using the forum: Bet first, post later lol (although it was a bit different since you asked a question)

With player markets in particular they don't take many people to jump on them for prices to adjust. As soon as a handful of people see a post here and jump on at the same time, the prices can change pretty suddenly.

 

[Infra Ted]

Damn unlucky, could still be worth a bet, but up to you really.

One of my top rules when using the forum: Bet first, post later lol (although it was a bit different since you asked a question)

With player markets in particular they don't take many people to jump on them for prices to adjust. As soon as a handful of people see a post here and jump on at the same time, the prices can change pretty suddenly.

Thanks I ended up putting 2 units on the Cyril unders. Hopefully it gets up for both our sakes.

 

[laam]

Theres rioli<76 at pointsbet

 

[targett]

Top 5 players Geelong vs Hawtorn last 5 matches.footy stats.

Lewis * gone
Mitchell * gone
Birchall * inj
Sellwood
Hodge. Struggling

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Pick your line:Geelong -23.5 with boosted odds @ $2.31 for $40

 

[happy punter]

5-3 +7.35 for the round so far.

Hawks +14.5 over Cats (3 units)
Hawks ML over Cats @ 2.95 (1 unit)

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Can see the Hawks getting smashed today especially in centre clearances. Mitchell??? against Dangerfield and Selwood. This one could get ugly.

 

[jimbler]

1U Puopolo 2+ goals $2.63 (ladbrokes player bets)

Seems overs, averaging 2 a game (2,3,1) and the 1 came last week when he got injured. $1.72 at bet365.

I almost got on that earlier this morning, but then forgot about it. Went to put it on now and the price was gone.

I've decided to just take the non-sexy option in Will Langford 4 or more tackles at $1.80.

Was thinking about Mitch Duncan 2 goals or more at $7.50, but I couldn't pull the trigger.

 

[I Get Moneyy]

Geelong line 15.5 $200

 

[Russian Demon]

I'm on Paul Puopolo 1st goal @ $30 (powered up from $15) for a cheeky tenner to give interest.

 

[Bic]

Geelong -14.5 @2 (Betfair)

Can't see the Hawks staying in the game with their midfield - I think this gets nasty.

 

[Broar]

Danger & Mitchell to both score 120+ fantasy points @ $4.50 WH, thoughts?

 

[Infra Ted]

This is a no bet game for mine. Both teams look shaky. Wouldn't give me great confidence betting on either.

Plus Hawks chances just rocketed with Ty Vickery a late withdrawl.

 

[Infra Ted]

Danger & Mitchell to both score 120+ fantasy points @ $4.50 WH, thoughts?

Not bad IMO

 

[Macpotata]

Danger over 31.5 pozees at $1.92. Not betting but looks a bloody good prospect.

 

[Macpotata]

campaigner should rack up 40+

 

[mookieb]

Thoughts on Rioli under 80.5 points @ $1.70?

Been averaging 58

I would be a bit wary of assuming Rioli is going to continue to average under 60 for the rest of the season. Got a few credits in the bank from previous seasons.

 

[mookieb]

Live bet Geel -16.5.

 

[benji21]

Jumping on geelong -14.5 and a little on 40+

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Easiest $1.84 shot ever.

Hawks will struggle to win a game this year.