AFL 2017 - AFL Round 7

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\St.Kilda |$2.65|$2.90|$2.85|$2.85|$2.85|$2.90
\G-W Sydney |$1.48|$1.42|$1.42|$1.45|$1.45|$1.43
\|line:14.5|line:15.5|line:14.5|line:14.5|line:14.5|line:15.5
\total score:|191.5|190.5|190.5|192.5|190.5|189.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\North Melb.|$5.50|$6.05|$5.75|$6.50|$5.25|$6.25
\Adelaide |$1.15|$1.13|$1.13|$1.13|$1.16|$1.13
\|line:36.5|line:37.5|line:38.5|line:37.5|line:36.5|line:37.5
\total score:|179.5|180.5|180.5|180.5|178.5|179.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Collingwood|$1.34|$1.35|$1.34|$1.35|$1.33|$1.35
\Carlton|$3.30|$3.20|$3.20|$3.30|$3.35|$3.30
\|line:19.5|line:19.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:21.5|line:20.5
\total score:|169.5|171.5|174.5|169.5|171.5|170.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Port Adelaide |$1.36|$1.34|$1.32|$1.33|$1.33|$1.35
\West Coast|$3.15|$3.30|$3.40|$3.35|$3.35|$3.30
\|line:18.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:20.5
\total score:|186.5|185.5|183.5|185.5|185.5|185.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Gold Coast|$3.35|$3.40|$3.50|$3.45|$3.35|$3.45
\Geelong |$1.33|$1.32|$1.30|$1.33|$1.33|$1.33
\|line:22.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:21.5
\total score:|195.5|194.5|193.5|195.5|195.5|194.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West.Bulldogs |$1.40|$1.32|$1.35|$1.35|$1.35|$1.37
\Richmond |$3.00|$3.40|$3.20|$3.30|$3.25|$3.20
\|line:18.5|line:18.5|line:18.5|line:19.5|line:18.5|line:19.5
\total score:|184.5|186.5|183.5|185.5|185.5|185.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Sydney |$1.10|$1.11|$1.10|$1.10|$1.083|$1.09
\Brisbane |$7.00|$6.70|$6.75|$7.50|$7.50|$8.00
\|line:44.5|line:45.5|line:44.5|line:44.5|line:45.5|line:45.5
\total score:|190.5|190.5|190.5|190.5|191.5|188.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Melbourne |$1.47|$1.46|$1.44|$1.48|$1.47|$1.44
\Hawthorn |$2.70|$2.75|$2.75|$2.75|$2.70|$2.85
\|line:13.5|line:14.5|line:14.5|line:14.5|line:13.5|line:14.5
\total score:|190.5|188.5|186.5|189.5|185.5|187.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Fremantle |$1.50|$1.49|$1.53|$1.53|$1.54|$1.53
\Essendon|$2.60|$2.65|$2.50|$2.60|$2.50|$2.55
\|line:13.5|line:12.5|line:12.5|line:12.5|line:12.5|line:11.5
\total score:|171.5|172.5|172.5|170.5|172.5|175.5

ODDS AT 18.00 ON 4/5/17

 

[benji21]

Don't mind richmond at 2.60. See it as a 50/50 game

 

[CarterS]

Early R7 AFL bets: Melbourne -14.5, Gold Coast +23.5, Port -14.5, Brisbane +36.5

 

[maskmcgee]

Placed this last week:

GWS -17.5
Adelaide -24.5
Port Adelaide -8.5
Richmond +12.5

13.03

 

[TheScream]

Early R7 AFL bets: Melbourne -14.5, Gold Coast +23.5, Port -14.5, Brisbane +36.5

Like melbourne and and brisbane but geelong are a bettor's nightmare. You just don't know which team will turn up, but if they do they could pump gold coast by 60+

 

[CarterS]

Like melbourne and and brisbane but geelong are a bettor's nightmare. You just don't know which team will turn up, but if they do they could pump gold coast by 60+

Yes they are very up and down, agree. Waiting for TABTouch to come out with their $2 lines promo but hope the Melbourne line doesn't go out before then.

 

[Vhaluus]

Crows have covered their line 6/6 games so far this year by significant margins.

Don't expect anything to change there.

 

[GROTTO]

Crows have covered their line 6/6 games so far this year by significant margins.

Don't expect anything to change there.

Wanna bet?

 

[maskmcgee]

Tigers easily the best value of the round, see them beating the Dogs pretty comfortably. Currently over $3. Dogs are overvalued playing s**t for long periods in matches against s**t teams but getting expected results in the end. Computer used to generate odds can't tell this and have them very overrratted and Richmond following a heavy loss to the best team in the competition incredibly underratted.

 

[X_box_X]

Tigers easily the best value of the round, see them beating the Dogs pretty comfortably. Currently over $3. Dogs are overvalued playing s**t for long periods in matches against s**t teams but getting expected results in the end. Computer used to generate odds can't tell this and have them very overrratted and Richmond following a heavy loss to the best team in the competition incredibly underratted.

Richmond haven't beaten the Dogs for a while. I am confident we will win.

 

[benji21]

Melbourne line is tasty

 

[Vhaluus]

Tigers easily the best value of the round, see them beating the Dogs pretty comfortably. Currently over $3. Dogs are overvalued playing s**t for long periods in matches against s**t teams but getting expected results in the end. Computer used to generate odds can't tell this and have them very overrratted and Richmond following a heavy loss to the best team in the competition incredibly underratted.

Dogs push GWS for 4 quarters. Richmond get smashed against the first good side they played.

I think $3 is generous to Tigers and dogs are good value.

 

[Macpotata]

Most confident on Melbourne

Dogs to win after they showed up properly vs GWS.

Saints is my upset tip. I like the line and would take them +24.5 at shorter odds.

Port vs wce I'm not sure maybe WCE but will look further into them.

 

[benji21]

Hard to tell. Still 50/50 for me. Richmond did get smashed today. But adelaide are in rare form

 

[Vhaluus]

Don't hold WCE travel record to Melbourne against them when they come to Adelaide.

Adelaide oval has similar dimensions to their home ground and they play it very well as can be seen by their win vs the in form Crows last year.

 

[Macpotata]

Doggies already into $1.38 on the back of Richmond getting smashed. Will keep shortening no doubt. That Gws game will kick off the dogs season good and proper.

 

[chunkylover]

Don't hold WCE travel record to Melbourne against them when they come to Adelaide.

Adelaide oval has similar dimensions to their home ground and they play it very well as can be seen by their win vs the in form Crows last year.

2 from 2 vs Port and 3 from 4 overall at the adelaide oval but this port team looks good. Solid no bet for me

 

[maskmcgee]

Dogs push GWS for 4 quarters.

Dogs should also be 1 and 5. They ain't much better.

 

[Fuzzy Happy Poo]

has anyone thought of bringing in some system here for posters who to make bets with each other on games they disagree with? could get some vig free bets. but would need some sort of third party escrow. I don't know may be a good idea.

 

[X_box_X]

Dogs should also be 1 and 5. They ain't much better.

How do you figure that out?

If you hurry, you can travel back in time and put more money on the Bulldogs to lose each of the four finals they played last year.

 

[Vhaluus]

How do you figure that out?

If you hurry, you can travel back in time and put more money on the Bulldogs to lose each of the four finals they played last year.

Mate you really need to keep the team supporter rhetoric out of this thread, it isn't the place for it.

We're here to discuss bets, odds and other betting matters.

Go find a banter thread if that's what you're looking for.

 

[X_box_X]

Mate you really need to keep the team supporter rhetoric out of this thread, it isn't the place for it.

We're here to discuss bets, odds and other betting matters.

Go find a banter thread if that's what you're looking for.

It was a serious question. Why should the Bulldogs be 1-5?

If anything, we should be 5-1.

Scoring shots FOR

Adelaide 201
Port Adelaide 186
GWS 177
St Kilda 176
WBD 172
Geelong 166
Melbourne 159
Richmond 158
Collingwood 155
WCE 150
Gold Coast 146
North Melbourne 141
Essendon 141
Hawthorn 136
Fremantle 128
Sydney 124
Brisbane 122
Carlton 121

Scoring shots AGAINST

Brisbane 200
Hawthorn 186
Gold Coast 168
North Melbourne 167
Essendon 164
Sydney 158
Geelong 154
Fremantle 152
Collingwood 150
Carlton 148
Melbourne 148
GWS 144
St Kilda 143
WCE 143
Richmond 141
WBD 138
Port Adelaide 129
Adelaide 126

It's clear the Bulldogs' problem has been converting shots at goal. Obviously this is the most important aspect of footy, I acknowledge that - but it's a big risk to bet against the Bulldogs knowing they are only "normal" goal kicking away from having a big win. IMO, we have only been outperformed twice this year - against Collingwood and Fremantle. Kick accurately against North in round four and we would have blown them away.

 

[Vhaluus]

It was a serious question. Why should the Bulldogs be 1-5?

If anything, we should be 5-1.

Scoring shots FOR

Adelaide 201
Port Adelaide 186
GWS 177
St Kilda 176
WBD 172
Geelong 166
Melbourne 159
Richmond 158
Collingwood 155
WCE 150
Gold Coast 146
North Melbourne 141
Essendon 141
Hawthorn 136
Fremantle 128
Sydney 124
Brisbane 122
Carlton 121

Scoring shots AGAINST

Brisbane 200
Hawthorn 186
Gold Coast 168
North Melbourne 167
Essendon 164
Sydney 158
Geelong 154
Fremantle 152
Collingwood 150
Carlton 148
Melbourne 148
GWS 144
St Kilda 143
WCE 143
Richmond 141
WBD 138
Port Adelaide 129
Adelaide 126

It's clear the Bulldogs' problem has been converting shots at goal. Obviously this is the most important aspect of footy, I acknowledge that - but it's a big risk to bet against the Bulldogs knowing they are only "normal" goal kicking away from having a big win. IMO, we have only been outperformed twice this year - against Collingwood and Fremantle. Kick accurately against North in round four and we would have blown them away.

I agree, betting against the Bulldogs is a bad bet.

But you're not arguing about the wisdom of the bet, you're arguing to defend your team.

 

[benji21]

So far board seems split on the dogs tigers game, getting on the draw haha

 

[free at last]

The Tigers hadn't played anyone of note until this weekend and got found out.The doggies showed some of their 2016 finals form on Friday night,they'll roll Richmond imo.