AFL 2017 - AFL Round 8

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\West Coast |$1.55|$1.56|$1.55|$1.55|$1.56|$1.55
\West.Bulldogs |$2.45|$2.45|$2.45|$2.50|$2.45|$2.45
\|line:10.5|line:10.5|line:10.5|line:10.5|line:11.5|line:10.5
\total score:|***.5|174.5|***.5|175.5|173.5|176.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Hawthorn |$1.12|$1.11|$1.08|$1.10|$1.11|$1.09
\Brisbane |$6.25|$6.75|$7.50|$7.50|$6.50|$7.50
\|line:42.5|line:41.5|line:42.5|line:42.5|line:40.5|line:42.5
\total score:|***.5|193.5|***.5|192.5|189.5|194.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\St.Kilda |$1.23|$1.26|$1.22|$1.25|$1.22|$1.23
\Carlton |$4.25|$3.90|$4.30|$4.10|$4.35|$4.25
\|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:27.5|line:27.5
\total score:|***.5|182.5|***.5|180.5|180.5|183.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\G-W Sydney |$1.18|$1.23|$1.20|$1.22|$1.22|$1.21
\Collingwood |$5.00|$4.20|$4.50|$4.50|$4.35|$4.50
\|line:30.5|line:29.5|line:29.5|line:29.5|line:30.5|line:29.5
\total score:|***.5|174.5|***.5|***.5|174.5|176.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Essendon |$3.15|$3.20|$3.15|$3.45|$3.20|$3.30
\Geelong |$1.36|$1.35|$1.36|$1.33|$1.36|$1.34
\|line:20.5|line:20.5|line:19.5|line:21.5|line:19.5|line:20.5
\total score:|***.5|190.5|***.5|188.5|188.5|190.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Adelaide |$1.16|$1.13|$1.11|$1.13|$1.12|$1.12
\Melbourne |$5.25|$6.05|$6.50|$6.25|$6.25|$6.50
\|line:39.5|line:37.5|line:38.5|line:38.5|line:37.5|line:38.5
\total score:|***.5|205.5|***.5|205.5|203.5|203.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Richmond |$1.38|$1.40|$1.40|$1.40|$1.38|$1.42
\Fremantle |$3.10|$2.95|$2.95|$3.05|$3.10|$2.90
\|line:18.5|line:16.5|line:18.5|line:17.5|line:18.5|line:16.5
\total score:|***.5|180.5|***.5|***.5|179.5|179.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\Gold Coast |$2.90|$3.05|$2.95|$3.15|$2.90|$2.90
\Port Adelaide |$1.42|$1.39|$1.40|$1.38|$1.42|$1.42
\|line:17.5|line:18.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:17.5|line:16.5
\total score:|***.5|193.5|***.5|***.5|196.5|194.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|William Hill|Ladbrokes|Bet365|CrownBet
\North Melb.|$1.78|$1.78|$1.87|$1.88|$1.72|$1.87
\Sydney|$2.05|$2.05|$1.95|$1.95|$2.15|$1.95
\|line:4.5|line:3.5|line:1.5|line:1.5|line:4.5|line:1.5
\total score:|***.5|187.5|***.5|188.5|186.5|187.5

ODDS AT 17.00 ON 8/5/17

 

[maskmcgee]

North H2H
Richmond -17.5

3.70

 

[benji21]

West coast at the minus come at me

 

[maskmcgee]

This season is out of control, and after losing 3 different 5 leg multis by one leg in the past month (* West Coast) I'm sticking to 2 leg multis until results settle down.

 

[Vhaluus]

This season is out of control, and after losing 3 different 5 leg multis by one leg in the past month (**** West Coast) I'm sticking to 2 leg multis until results settle down.

Why multi at all

 

[targett]

Why multi at all

Bookmakers best friend

 

[X_box_X]

Bookmakers best friend

True to an extent.

You can still get good value with multibets if all legs you take are +EV. I generally do this with Sportsbet, who will only let me on for $4 on an event, but if I multi three legs together, they for some reason let me on for $30, or there abouts. I think they do this because they know multis are their best friend, but they aren't their best friend when each leg you take are +EV odds and you only have to cash out after the first leg, which by that time the odds for each of the other two legs you have taken have been adjusted to reflect pinnacle's odds, so not only are you cashing out your first leg win, you're also making a profit from the other two legs too.

 

[targett]

Suns v power in China . Red and yellow being very significant in Chinese Culture
Im punting the Home Side

 

[free at last]

Swans @ +4.5 looks good?

 

[maskmcgee]

Swans @ +4.5 looks good?

North -4.5 looks better.

 

[free at last]

North -4.5 looks better.

Mmmm

 

[maskmcgee]

Why multi at all

double the dollars

 

[TheScream]

Just going with two totals for this round. Automatic over when the Lions are playing, over 193.5. Under 183.5 Saints vs Carlton.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

I'm really liking Geelong on the line.

 

[targett]

I'm really liking Geelong on the line.

Why ? They have been far from impressive in fact inconsistent

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Why ? They have been far from impressive in fact inconsistent

Essendon has played 3 games in 13 days and coming off a 30 degree game over in Perth.

I'll probably wait until teams are announced, but I don't mind that line

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Just going with two totals for this round. Automatic over when the Lions are playing, over 193.5. Under 183.5 Saints vs Carlton.

Last 3 Lions games have gone over 200

 

[Vhaluus]

If i was going to bet on geelong it would be a last quarter bet. Geelong been strong in last quarters and essendon putrid

 

[iluvparis]

If i was going to bet on geelong it would be a last quarter bet. Geelong been strong in last quarters and essendon putrid

Geelong have lost their last two 4th quarters by 4 and 5 goals respectively

 

[Vhaluus]

Geelong have lost their last two 4th quarters by 4 and 5 goals respectively

They have won 70% of last quarters and outscore their opponents by 200% on average so far this year

 

[iluvparis]

They have won 70% of last quarters and outscore their opponents by 200% on average so far this year

And Carlton have won more flags than anyone else in the last 120 years - doesn't mean they will win it this year.

 

[Vhaluus]

And Carlton have won more flags than anyone else in the last 120 years - doesn't mean they will win it this year.

If you are looking for a sure thing then punting might not be for you.

The difference between my example and yours is my data has much more relevance to what is being discussed.

 

[iluvparis]

If you are looking for a sure thing then punting might not be for you.

The difference between my example and yours is my data has much more relevance to what is being discussed

Does it?

 

[Vhaluus]

Does it?

How does it not?

 

[iluvparis]

How does it not?

My sample is more timely than yours