2017 Big Draft Mover Prediction

Discussion in 'Drafts, Trading & Free Agency' started by Matty411, Oct 24, 2017.

Tags:
Put it out there
?

Who will be the big draft mover (top the top 5) in 2017?

Poll closed Tuesday at 2:57 PM.
  1. Nick Coffield

    12 vote(s)
    6.3%
  2. Aiden Bonar

    40 vote(s)
    20.9%
  3. Darcy Fogarty

    32 vote(s)
    16.8%
  4. Jack Higgins

    13 vote(s)
    6.8%
  5. Hunter Clark

    6 vote(s)
    3.1%
  6. Charlie Constable

    1 vote(s)
    0.5%
  7. Sam Hayes

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. Andrew Brayshaw

    81 vote(s)
    42.4%
  9. Other - nominate in comments

    6 vote(s)
    3.1%
  1. Matty411

    Matty411 Club Legend

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    Nearly every year, there is a big mover in the last month - a hype player that one club (usually in the top 5 picks) reaches for.

    My thinking is that Freo could bring a players' name up the ranks and maybe with some opposition mind games, their hand could be forced at #2. It's worth noting that GWS have a history of reaching when having multiple picks in the top 5, but they don't have this luxury in 2017.
    • 2016: GWS pinched Taranto at 2 after being rated around 8-12 a month or two out. McGrath similar rose to #1.
    • 2015: Oliver rose madly in the final weeks to 4 after being a mid-first rounder IIRC
    • 2014: Marchbank was considered a late first option but rose to #6 via GWS courtesy of SOS
    • 2013: Bont was the flier and went at 4 to the Dogs.
    • 2012: Plow was again reached for at 3 via SOS and GWS with multiple picks
    So my question would be: which team in that top 5-6 picks (Brisbane, Freo, Carlton, North & Collingwood) is most likely to reach for a specific player; who will that be; and why?

    Let's exclude the obvious current top 4 players in Dow, Rayner, LDU and Cerra.

    Could it be a Higgins? Coffield? Constable or even Sam Hayes? I've excluded Stephenson and Naughton, who both seem to be consistently in that top 6 mix at this stage.

    What are your thoughts?
     
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  2. Mofra

    Mofra Moderator

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    If we exclude the top 5, I'll say Nathan Murphy.
    Otherwise, Coffield.
     
  3. CaptainMurphy

    CaptainMurphy Premium Gold

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    Yeah Murphy good chance at top 10 I reckon
     
  4. The Filth Wizard

    The Filth Wizard Happy Dude

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    Bonar will fly up the ranks.
     
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  5. theGav56

    theGav56 Brownlow Medallist

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    I could see us taking Brayshaw or Fogarty.
     
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  6. Matty411

    Matty411 Club Legend

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    Fogarty is the one that I'd say would be most likely to rise at this stage, but Bonar (pun intended) is rising fast and could be that bolter for top 10.

    Wouldn't mind him at 10 but can't see it should we get one of LDU, Rayner or Dow - all taller midfield options (Rayner more mid/fwd).
     
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  7. Wild Bill

    Wild Bill Brownlow Medallist

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    I would be fine taking Fogarty at 4 if Raynor, Dow and LDU are picked in the top 3.
     
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  8. Checkered

    Checkered All Australian

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    You can't say pun intended before you actually say the pun
     
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  9. Danger in Texas

    Danger in Texas DID I STUTTER?

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    The one with the most potential to do so is Bonar. Could go to Freo's pick at the highest, IMO

    Wouldn't be surprised if Murphy is a big mover, either
     
  10. Frank Gallagher

    Frank Gallagher A Seasoned Campaigner.

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    He's very patriotic.
     
  11. Matty411

    Matty411 Club Legend

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    I can and I did. Who're your mob favouring?
     
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  12. TerryWallet

    TerryWallet Norm Smith Medallist

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    I think Brayshaw will go #5 to Freo.

    And i'll tip Will Walker to go 2nd Rd. Wouldn't mind him to Carlton at #30
     
  13. Snake_Baker

    Snake_Baker Brownlow Medallist

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    Yep. Bonar at 5,6 or 8.
     
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  14. jason pm

    jason pm Norm Smith Medallist

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    There was a bit of talk that the Lions were keen on Andrew Brayshaw and IIRC Stephen Conole did mention him a few weeks ago as one of 4 or 5 contenders for our pick 1 selection.

    Personally I don't think we would reach for him at 1 but wouldn't be surprised if the Dockers/Kangaroos went for him at 2, 4 or 5.
     
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  15. Danger in Texas

    Danger in Texas DID I STUTTER?

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    Hope not, want him badly at pick 39 :p
     
  16. CaptainMurphy

    CaptainMurphy Premium Gold

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    Walker was really good in the grand final.
     
  17. Apex36

    Apex36 Premium Gold

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    Collingwood will reach for Balta at 6 and everyone will laugh at us, just like they did in 2005 when we took Pendlebury with pick 5.
     
  18. HARKER

    HARKER Hall of Famer

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    Came to say Murphy too, but obviously not top 5
     
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  19. adammania9

    adammania9 Norm Smith Medallist

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    Andy Brayshaw could go to North at 4 I reckon
     
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  20. La Dispute

    La Dispute La Dispute

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    Brayshaw is exactly the kind of player Freo need, and I reckon he'll go Pick 5
    Fogarty will be a comfortable top 10 selection, likewise Coffield
    Bonar will either get taken at one of the Saints picks or go in the late teens
    Stephenson a possibility for Pick 4
    O'Brien at one of St Kilda's picks?
     
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  21. Wild Bill

    Wild Bill Brownlow Medallist

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    I haven’t watched much of him. Would you consider this a good move by us?
     
  22. adammania9

    adammania9 Norm Smith Medallist

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    Yes although it's unlikely because he's not overly quick. I imagine pace will be a big contributor to North's choice.
     
  23. Wild Bill

    Wild Bill Brownlow Medallist

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    That is why Stephenson is being talked about. I still prefer good foot skills over pace. Look at Pendles - you don't have to be lightening quick to be a superstar.
     
  24. mightymouse75

    mightymouse75 Premiership Player

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    Freo always like a bit of a reach. Will check this guy out
     
  25. The Old Dark Navy's

    The Old Dark Navy's Up, Up Cronulla

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    I wouldn't laugh. The payoff could be incredible.
     
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