Dover coming out and saying Hogan is "expected" to stay at Melbourne is interesting. I might be overly optimistic here but it seems like everyone has been playing silly buggers for months. Mahoney would have 100% known things were going on with Hogan last week when he came out and said Jess wont be trade. Given how long these rumors have been going on, to me, it seems like everyone is under strict instructions to play a straight bat and given the two WC guys were now actually validated and they unbelievably met at the "Bait and Tackle" I'm more inclined to believe the others in saying he might be heading to us. I'm cautiously moving my 5% chance up to 20%. Mangers are careful with what words they use, "expected" is not "will be" and it has left him some wiggle room.