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ricardogp

Club Legend
Jun 26, 2012
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Live: 0.25u stars to win @ 8

Shot out from @5.50 when stars lost a wicket, and I've seen plenty of games where one early wicket hasn't mattered. Dunk, Larkin and maddinson have the calibre to chase this on what looks like a batting pitch. So just a sniff.

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Meh.

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Hamingja

Brownlow Medallist
May 20, 2014
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Perth Scorchers are $10 to win the tournament which I think is ridiculous given how close the table is outside of the Hurricanes.

Still 6 games to go for them with 4 at home. Hobart might be tough on Friday but after that the one dayers are finished and they will have 5 games with a full squad as none of them are in the test squad.

Bancroft
S.Marsh
+Whiteman
Turner
M.Marsh
Cartwright
Agar
NCN
Richardson
Tye
Behrendorff

Only have to finish 4th and they'd be faves from there IMO
 

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Hamingja

Brownlow Medallist
May 20, 2014
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No they won't
IMO they would be. I follow Hobart and they are just f’ed if Short doesn't score runs in a final. Adelaide have a soft underbelly this year too. Perth still have the best squad. Home ground advantage doesn't mean much in BBL for me.
 

freo_leo29

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 20, 2010
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IMO they would be. I follow Hobart and they are just ****** if Short doesn't score runs in a final. Adelaide have a soft underbelly this year too. Perth still have the best squad. Home ground advantage doesn't mean much in BBL for me.
McDermott, Bailey and Wade can all bat and bat well. Mcdermott has done it previously in a final at Optus too.

Scorchers would probably be second favourites tho if they made finals, their full squad is strong. It's still a long way back though.


We mustn't forget how much better we seem to be at home compared to away too.
 

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ash_1050

Premiership Player
Nov 21, 2009
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On the draw @ $4 in Aus vs Sri Lanka.

8 wickets in 2.5 days, a flat pitch and the possibility of rain over the last two days of play means it's a worth a nibble.
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
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The cricket threads are littered with this comment but in the modern day unless there is rain around the draw is a 100% mug bet in tests
 

ricardogp

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Jun 26, 2012
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Crossover with the new betting analysis thread, but I would love to do some analysis on 'swings' in cricket, just like what happened here. Australia down 3 early wickets, then a 300 run stand, then a flurry of wickets. Surely there is money to be made.

Also betting markets overlooking home conditions... I made $$ when Australia toured Sri Lanka about 4 years ago when Australia went in as favourites, and now the windies are pummelling the poms at home.


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iluvparis

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Crossover with the new betting analysis thread, but I would love to do some analysis on 'swings' in cricket, just like what happened here. Australia down 3 early wickets, then a 300 run stand, then a flurry of wickets. Surely there is money to be made.

Also betting markets overlooking home conditions... I made $$ when Australia toured Sri Lanka about 4 years ago when Australia went in as favourites, and now the windies are pummelling the poms at home.


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A random one id be interested which would be super hard to track is to judge how good D/L system actually is in short form. If its any good the betting market shouldn't change once the D/L total is announced but I am betting last night the Sixers shortened dramatically on the fair once they were presented with a ludicrously easy total to chase down.
 

iluvparis

Premium Platinum
Apr 1, 2005
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So on a scale of 1 to John the Bookie how rigged was that BBL final?

Imagine the howling from the rooftops if that kind of resulted had happened in the IPL

#nothingsuss
 

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