AFL 2018 - AFL Finals Prelims

[balmainforever]

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|BetEasy|Ladbrokes|Bet365
\Richmond |$1.40|$1.40|$1.40|$1.38|$1.45
\Collingwood |$3.00|$3.00|$3.00|$3.15|$2.75
\|line:15.5|line:16.5|line:16.5|line:17.5|line:14.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|***.5|156.5|***.5

Game|TAB|Sportsbet|BetEasy|Ladbrokes|Bet365
\West Coast |$1.80|$1.81|$1.80|$1.80|$1.78
\Melbourne |$2.00|$2.00|$2.05|$2.05|$2.05
\|line:2.5|line:2.5|line:3.5|line:3.5|line:3.5
\total score:|***.5|***.5|170.5|169.5|***.5

ODDS AT 00.00 ON 16/9/2018

 

[adammania9]

Get on the Pies, boys! It’s coming home!

 

[mookieb]

Anyone jumping on Rich? Coll have had 2 tough games including a loss to WC without Gaff and Nic Nat. Struggling to score apart from De Goey who was very good. Rich with the week off playing at the MCG. I think they will cover the -14.5 line relatively easily.

 

[Mazza1234678]

Anyone jumping on Rich? Coll have had 2 tough games including a loss to WC without Gaff and Nic Nat. Struggling to score apart from De Goey who was very good. Rich with the week off playing at the MCG. I think they will cover the -14.5 line relatively easily.

unfortunately i agree

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Might bet around Pies to win first quarter / Tigers to win last quarter scenarios

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[footy75]

I like west coast/Tigers

 

[maskmcgee]

Get on the Pies, boys! It’s coming home!

The biggest loss in the history of the club? Yes, it is coming to Collingwood.

 

[iluvparis]

Anyone jumping on Rich? .

Correct question - anyone not think the game will be kind of close until halfway through the 3rd quarter when Richmond run away with it to win by 24-48?

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Correct question - anyone not think the game will be kind of close until halfway through the 3rd quarter when Richmond run away with it to win by 24-48?

I like the Tigers to cover the line (-15.5), think that is fairly generous. Tigers should win and win well.

 

[Joe Hawkins]

If the pies can kick straight they are a real chance - $3.10 on sportsbet at the moment...

 

[iluvparis]

If the pies can kick straight they are a real chance - $3.10 on sportsbet at the moment...

Like in Rd19 when they kicked super straight and lost by 5 goals?

 

[maskmcgee]

Richmond $2 favourites, free money.
Strangely no $2 on West Coast.

 

[Joe Hawkins]

Like in Rd19 when they kicked super straight and lost by 5 goals?

fair point; well made.

 

[iluvparis]

Richmond $2 favourites, free money.
Strangely no $2 on West Coast.

The second is probably too close-to-call who will be fave at this stage. They might whack it up later in the week if it becomes more clear cut.

 

[Jugada]

Pies and Eagles for me.

Wasn't much between the Tiges and Pies last time, just a 5 minute burst at the start of the last killed off the contest. Pies add in Treloar and Goldsack to that team who are both very important.

Much more confident about the Eagles though. Yes Melbourne beat them at this venue just a few weeks ago but there was no Kennedy or Darling in the forward line and the Eagles were a man down for pretty much the entire match. Completely different situation this week

 

[adammania9]

Dan Rioli 2+ goals is $2.75 on SportsBet

Man’s a finals specialist, kicked 4 in last year’s prelim and 3 in this year’s qualifying final (shoulda been four)

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Dan Rioli 2+ goals is $2.75 on SportsBet

Man’s a finals specialist, kicked 4 in last year’s prelim and 3 in this year’s qualifying final (shoulda been four)

Great price. Wont last long.

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Jugada]

Not sure its a great price, it's alright. Small sample size of 4 finals and he did spud it up in the other 2 he played

 

[NonPhixion]

Might bet around Pies to win first quarter / Tigers to win last quarter scenarios

On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app

This. There is a strange market i like for this game.
The wire to wire - any other result on SB @2.20. I can easily see Pies coming out of the blocks hard and having a lead at 1/4 time and even 1/2 time. Then i see Richmond starting to control the game and overrun us in the 2nd half. To win by 2-3 goals.
Other game will be really close imo. Dees beat them a few weeks ago. But that was without Darling & Kennedy. So hard to predict but cant go past the home team.

 

[NonPhixion]

Dan Rioli 2+ goals is $2.75 on SportsBet

Man’s a finals specialist, kicked 4 in last year’s prelim and 3 in this year’s qualifying final (shoulda been four)

I rekon WHE is better value to kick 2+ @4.00 on SB. Was shocked to see those odds tbh. Kicked 3 goals and 2 goals respectively against the tigers this year. Im all over this one

 

[Jugada]

I rekon WHE is better value to kick 2+ @4.00 on SB. Was shocked to see those odds tbh. Kicked 3 goals and 2 goals respectively against the tigers this year. Im all over this one

Definitely. Gone over 13 of 25 this year and averaging 1.7

 

[chrisdon16]

Richmond -16.5 ($1.93 B365)

Played twice this season, 28 and 43 points to the Tigers. 6 out of the last 7 to the Tigers. Collingwood have been overrated all season (IMO). Should be close for the first half but can see Richmond winning this one by 40.

 

[Jammer]

Really like West Coast in this spot..

Had not much to play for in their loss a few weeks ago v Dees along with players missing.

Didn’t rate dees win v hawks as highly as others .....

Liked how eagles dug deep v pies in that last qrt

1 unit W.C $ 1.80
1/2 unit W.C $3.50 above 24.5 points

 

[Jammer]

Not touching the pies tigers game.

I actually think pies have had a better prep with two tough games in a row v
Tigers 1 game in a month.
I think this is about the best spot coll could hope to get Richmond in .... their system should however get them through and pies $3 Ish is no value .

Gosh they will make a mess of WC or Dees the following week

 

[free at last]

Pies and Eagles for me.

Wasn't much between the Tiges and Pies last time, just a 5 minute burst at the start of the last killed off the contest. Pies add in Treloar and Goldsack to that team who are both very important.

Much more confident about the Eagles though. Yes Melbourne beat them at this venue just a few weeks ago but there was no Kennedy or Darling in the forward line and the Eagles were a man down for pretty much the entire match. Completely different situation this week

Changes from the last clash you haven't mentioned, WC have lost Sheppard,Melbourne have added Viney & Weideman.