AFL 2018 - AFL Round 18

[tigertigertiger]

Haha. We'll leave that to capperscap....

I don't think I'm understanding what you're doing tonight with the over. You like the over and it's a pick, but not betting any money?

Exactly

 

[demon_fanatic]

Great start for dusty goal n 25 touch promo at pointsbet $2.50

 

[Robo87]

What do you think of ladbrokes promo. Max $20 but Riewoldt to kick 3+ $3.50?

Cheers for the post would have missed it otherwise.

 

[Robo87]

For the port/giants game, im tipping Dixon to spend time in the ruck with Ryder out, meaning Watts swings into the forward-line (as listed on team lineup).
1u Watts 2g+ @2.70 b365
0.4u Watts 3g+ @7 b365

 

[richskee]

Thoughts on

NTH +13.5 @1.90
GWS + 7.5 @1.90
GC + 60 @ 1.90

If it rains
WBS +37.5 @ 1.90

Feeling the Pies could be exhausted, injuries catching up. Lost to WCE at the G by 37 after tagging Sidebottom out.
Sidebottom -27.5 disp @ 1.86
NTH win +30points @10 (just sayin)

 

[chrisdon16]

Melbourne +12.5 (365 $1.93)

 

[demon_fanatic]

Thoughts on

NTH +13.5 @1.90
GWS + 7.5 @1.90
GC + 60 @ 1.90

If it rains
WBS +37.5 @ 1.90

Feeling the Pies could be exhausted, injuries catching up. Lost to WCE at the G by 37 after tagging Sidebottom out.
Sidebottom -27.5 disp @ 1.86
NTH win +30points @10 (just sayin)

No Jacobs to tag though isn't he out

 

[andwhenitcomes]

Jack Gunston 20+ disposals @ 2.40, 25+ disposals @ 9.00, 30+ disposals @ 91.00 (all Sportsbet).

Named at CHB tomorrow. In games where he's played predominantly down back (judging by heat maps it's 9 games last year and 2 this year) he's gone 20+ in 8/11, 25+ in 4/11 and 30+ once.

 

[tigertigertiger]

How are Essendon so heavily favourite ?

 

[chrisdon16]

Jack Gunston 20+ disposals @ 2.40, 25+ disposals @ 9.00, 30+ disposals @ 91.00 (all Sportsbet).

Named at CHB tomorrow. In games where he's played predominantly down back (judging by heat maps it's 9 games last year and 2 this year) he's gone 20+ in 8/11, 25+ in 4/11 and 30+ once.

Yeah good call, especially with Schoenmakers getting a run

 

[chrisdon16]

Fremantle +39.5 (Neds $1.92)

 

[Keystone agony]

How are Essendon so heavily favourite ?

Playing at etihad. Zaharakis and Fantasia IN

Have beaten West Coast, North, GWS, Lions at their home grounds. Also beaten Geelong in the past 8 weeks. The only difference in the collingwood game which was pretty even was Fantasia, Ambrose and a free kick tally.

 

[chrisdon16]

Playing at etihad. Zaharakis and Fantasia IN

Have beaten West Coast, North, GWS, Lions at their home grounds. Also beaten Geelong in the past 8 weeks. The only difference in the collingwood game which was pretty even was Fantasia, Ambrose and a free kick tally.

Good ins for the Dons. More to do with Sandi being out I think. Freo don't mind Etihad, beat North and lost a close one to Essendon last season and smashed Carlton this season.

 

[Keystone agony]

Good ins for the Dons. More to do with Sandi being out I think. Freo don't mind Etihad, beat North and lost a close one to Essendon last season and smashed Carlton this season.

Obviousily a combination of all

Both clubs play etihad well especially Essendon

 

[sneak]

What are people's thoughts on
Gcs over 50.5total points
Or +62.5 vs sydney

 

[chrisdon16]

Gold Coast +63.5 (Neds $1.92)

 

[jefffff34]

Gone for Sam Murray most possessions in his group (Crisp, Howe, Grundy, Anderson, Clarke, Dumont, Macmillan) into Pies by over 39.5. $20 into $792.

Murray had a VFL bye last week, and was held over the week before. He is going to be fresh and had 25 the week before in the 2s. He has the second highest average of the group behind Crisp.

We generally play North well at the MCG and smashed them last year at Etihad. We've beaten them 4 out of the last 5 there, 2 comprehensively, and 1 just a few points under the 40 barrier. Additionally the loss was a round 23 dead rubber.

I'm not saying it's a cert or anything like that, but genuine overs.

 

[sneak]

What are people's thoughts on
Gcs over 50.5total points
Or +62.5 vs sydney

On the other hand buddy to score more than gcs @$10

 

[sneak]

On the other hand buddy to score more than gcs @$10

I put 2.5u on this

 

[jefffff34]

Gone for Sam Murray most possessions in his group (Crisp, Howe, Grundy, Anderson, Clarke, Dumont, Macmillan) into Pies by over 39.5. $20 into $792.

Murray had a VFL bye last week, and was held over the week before. He is going to be fresh and had 25 the week before in the 2s. He has the second highest average of the group behind Crisp.

We generally play North well at the MCG and smashed them last year at Etihad. We've beaten them 4 out of the last 5 there, 2 comprehensively, and 1 just a few points under the 40 barrier. Additionally the loss was a round 23 dead rubber.

I'm not saying it's a cert or anything like that, but genuine overs.

Quarter time - Murray 8, Clarke 7, Grundy 5, Macmillan 5, Anderson 4, Crisp 3, Howe 3, Dumont 2.

 

[GROTTO]

GCS were at one stage $126 for the win during the first quarter.

 

[tigertigertiger]

GCS were at one stage $126 for the win during the first quarter.

yeah me and cappers cap got on it live , I'm going to Hawaii see ya

 

[HumanMeatball]

Anyone else think Adelaide are great value at 1.60?

 

[banana_bus]

Anyone else think Adelaide are great value at 1.60?

Should be winning this you'd think.

 

[sneak]

5u bris and adel 80 points or more each @2.15