AFL 2018 - AFL Round 19

[chrisdon16]

Right, what I calculated was total out.

 

[bigdogpunt99]

Right, what I calculated was total out.

Who you got tomorrow mate? Incredible work, pm me system

 

[mookieb]

It predicts more accurately the longer the season goes.

And if I added right, 28 from 32 is 50U profit in 3 and a half rounds.

The four lines its got wrong in that time were Carlton v. Hawthorn, Hawthorn v. Dogs, West Coast v. Dogs and West Coast v. GWS

How do you know it becomes more accurate the longer the season?

They only started on twitter recently?

 

[SM]

Am I missing something? Dees outsiders to a side they pumped by 100+ earlier in the season?

Seemed weirdly priced.

 

[maskmcgee]

And six from six. 2.5u profit for the round already.

 

[maskmcgee]

How do you know it becomes more accurate the longer the season?

They only started on twitter recently?

This isn't on twitter. I searched for one on twitter, and the only one i found predicted Adelaide to win by 15 points. Clearly very accurate.

 

[chrisdon16]

And six from six. 2.5u profit for the round already.

6 from 6 and you're only up 2.5u for the round?

 

[chrisdon16]

Bloody rain ffs

 

[maskmcgee]

6 from 6 and you're only up 2.5u for the round?

Duh. 9 games, 9U, 6U's won so far, 6*1.92 - 9u = 2.5u.

Did you expect something different?

 

[benji21]

And six from six. 2.5u profit for the round already.

Nice what we cheering on tommorow?

 

[langdon19]

Bloody rain ffs

No excuses

 

[chrisdon16]

No excuses

Guess not, but a little annoying the rain came in the 4th with the over cruising. Live at 3 qtr time 180.5. Risk was there though.

 

[chrisdon16]

Duh. 9 games, 9U, 6U's won so far, 6*1.92 - 9u = 2.5u.

Did you expect something different?

You didn't mention you had 9 plays, only "6 from 6"

 

[free at last]

Guess not, but a little annoying the rain came in the 4th with the over cruising. Live at 3 qtr time 180.5. Risk was there though.

That was so unlucky with the timing of that downpour.

 

[Prochard123]

Make that 27 from 31.
And with the Saints beating GWS, 28 from 32 looks good.

Great job! By the way, what does it say about Port vs Bulldogs and Freo vs Hawks?

 

[Robo87]

1u Sloane 6+ tackles @1.85 WH (hasnt gone under 7 tackles in last 4 games)
1u Oliver 6+ tackles @1.60 WH (ave 6.9 tackles)
& if its wet/slippery, tackles should be up. Though Im not sure what time the "showers at night" are expected yet..
1u Sexton 2g+ @2.75 lads
0.3u Sexton 3g+ @7.5 lads
0.5u Young 2g+ @2.25 lads

Sloane holds strong still with 12! while Oliver got 31pos but only hit 4 tackles, and GC were just terrible in general.

 

[maskmcgee]

It liked West Coast to win by a few goals, but this was before their late changes, so I'm not sure how accurate it will be.
It predicts Port by 18 and Hawthorn by 14, which right now is all three +'s.

 

[chrisdon16]

It predicts Hawthorn by 14

If that's the case why would you bet this game?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Got access to a system that with last night is now 25 from 29 on the trot correct lines.

Today it predicts taking

Richmond
Geelong
St. Kilda
Carlton
Melbourne

at the lines currently at sportsbet.

nailed it

 

[demon_fanatic]

is the ground North playing out today the one that always has a 4-7 goal wind to right of screen, so we can quickly get on qtr 1 markets and all other qtr markets to right of screen at bookies who don't adjust quick.... crown pre game after toss i normally take and neds during game for qtr lines... hopefully the wind is fierce, the total of 170.5 at neds also looks a tad high with average weather forecast, its 166.5 b365

 

[bluesboy23]

Seemed weirdly priced.

Sort of. With Adelaide's form the price was pretty close

 

[bluesboy23]

No excuses

You're only saying that because you would have lost your under bet if it didn't rain...

 

[demon_fanatic]

line got as low as 161.5at crown its 162.5 now for north wc but the radar seems to show the rain clearing soon?? but then Weatherzone hour by hour has rain 87% chance at 1pm...... ive taken the under 170.5 neds and middled some with crown, probably let some unders ride

 

[bluesboy23]

No Kennedy and Sheuey but the Eagles are value at around $2.30. North are starting to show what they're really like, a team that belongs out of the 8

 

[free at last]

is the ground North playing out today the one that always has a 4-7 goal wind to right of screen, so we can quickly get on qtr 1 markets and all other qtr markets to right of screen at bookies who don't adjust quick.... crown pre game after toss i normally take and neds during game for qtr lines... hopefully the wind is fierce, the total of 170.5 at neds also looks a tad high with average weather forecast, its 166.5 b365

The total should continue to drop.I just looked at the Hobart rain radar and appears the rain is going to lighten off then get heavier again in 2-3 hrs time.