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2018 Australian Open

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i have not seen Sam Querrey play nor met him but he seems a really good bloke and decent tennis player.

Hope someone had him more than the $1 i had.

Isner loses the 3rd. Chase the Acers everywhere have a cheeky smirk.

Cilic with the $10 looks nice, especially if he ends up losing!
 

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I backed his opponent at 7-1 Jerry Janowicz and he is 6' 8" ( 203cms ) and Cilic beat him in 5 sets from 2-0 down last time they played in 2014.

Got $2 Chase the Ace as well and who knows if it goes to 5 sets again but i chased the value and bring on the Aces! If he wins at those odds even better!
Cmon you prick!

Up 2-0 again and on 13 Aces!!
 
If people would like to post their breakdown of Ace returns (50, 1, 2, 5, 10s) I'm collecting the data. Seems they have started well above the probabilities they suggested so will be interesting to see if its wound back as the tournament goes on.
 
If people would like to post their breakdown of Ace returns (50, 1, 2, 5, 10s) I'm collecting the data. Seems they have started well above the probabilities they suggested so will be interesting to see if its wound back as the tournament goes on.

50
Berdych
Troicki
Federer
Tsonga
Pliskova

1
Cilic
Murray
Nishikori
Isner
Querrey
Wawrinka
Sock
Pouille
Kyrgios
 
A couple of first round multies combined with a total of four futures bets.

MULTI: RBA v Pella o31.5 games, Fabbiano v Young u38.5 games, Janowicz +7.5 games at $6.88 w Sportsbet

MULTI: Dolgopolov win into Tomic win into Vesley +2.5 sets at $4.99 w Sportsbet.

Dimitrov win Aus Open at $75 w Betfair

Raonic Q3 winner into Konta Q4 winner at $18.75 w Topsport

MULTI: Murray Q1 winner into Muguruza Q1 winner at $8.31 w Ozbet

Monfils win Q3 at $16 w TAB

You have got to be f*cking kidding me. 6-4, 6-4 up and still going to lose by more than seven games. Seriously?
 
If people would like to post their breakdown of Ace returns (50, 1, 2, 5, 10s) I'm collecting the data. Seems they have started well above the probabilities they suggested so will be interesting to see if its wound back as the tournament goes on.
50c x 6
$1 x 7
$2 x 1
 

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Poor first day. the Brit was a massive choker on big points. lost the match due to 2 DF's in his last game. my WTA hitters have been shocking.

DAY 2!!!!!!!!!!!!

($ odds, % ace ratio per point on serve)
Muller $1.35 (20%) v Fritz (10%) $3.10.Fritz is a very good young player. Muller is a great server. I don’t think Fritz is a good returner and I am expecting Muller will serve 20-30 aces. Fritz will get 10-15.

Dimitrov ($1.04) 7%.Plays an aussie. cant go past his form.

Raonic ($1.04) 16% only 16%!!!!!!. well, i am shocked. still, easy win, easy 15-20 aces.

Paire ($1.20) 10%.important points. One Paire is a nutcase. Point 2, see point 1. Haas hasnt played in a year so a big unknown. still, Haas should be past it.

Feliciano Lopez ($1.80) 12%. playing flogini. I like, but i wish i knew why he withdrew in Auckland last week. hit 21 aces against the same player at Wimbledon last year over 5 sets.

Karlovic($1.30) 24%.Big server. not sure about those odds but be silly not to take

Gasquet($1.02) 5%Plays an aussie. interest.

Novak D($1.05) 5.3% Verdasco is dangerous but 9/10 Novak wins this in 3 or 4.

RB Agut $1.06 (4%) See nadal. Low ace ratio.


Your Choice

Monflis $1.30 (11%) – Vesely ($3.40) (10%). Vesely can beat good opponents. He can lose to crap opponents. Monflis ended last year shit and hasn’t played since. Personally he is not worth the risk, but neither is Vesely.

Dolgopolov (9%)– Coric(8%).Odds are Dolgolov slightly more favourable to the dog, but he has a big losing streak which means any bet on him is fraught with danger.

Zverev $1.13 (7.5%)Zverev brother was good today. Perhaps his younger more talented brother will produce similar rewards. Not playing a hack though.

Baghdatis $1.50 (8.4%) always performs in Australia. Plays Youzhny so I am passing.

Nadal $1.05 (2.4%)super low ace ratio. You will only get 5 aces max I feel. Best last year was 7 v Verdasco.

Alex Bolt $2.60 (9.8%)gets here on his serve. Know nothing about him. Not convinced that he will keep his 9% ace ratio going at this level. Not worth it.

Thiem ($1.30) 7.7%. decent odds for a world number 8 who plays way way too much. i am passing. Theim is not that a great server.

Opelka($5.25) 20% Goffin ($1.15) 6%.shame Opelka got Goffin in the draw. Goffin will return better than being 20% aced.
 
Last edited:
If people would like to post their breakdown of Ace returns (50, 1, 2, 5, 10s) I'm collecting the data. Seems they have started well above the probabilities they suggested so will be interesting to see if its wound back as the tournament goes on.

Cilic, Tsonga, Kyrgios, Murray, Querrey, Berdych, Isner, Troicki all @ $1 so far. Put them all on individually which is bizarre.
 

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2018 Australian Open

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