Prediction 2018 Prediction Thread

The 2018 Top 8

  • Adelaide

    Votes: 90 91.8%
  • Brisbane

    Votes: 1 1.0%
  • Carlton

    Votes: 1 1.0%
  • Collingwood

    Votes: 3 3.1%
  • Essendon

    Votes: 76 77.6%
  • Fremantle

    Votes: 3 3.1%
  • Geelong

    Votes: 88 89.8%
  • Gold Coast

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • GWS

    Votes: 93 94.9%
  • Hawthorn

    Votes: 9 9.2%
  • Melbourne

    Votes: 74 75.5%
  • North Melbourne

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Port Adelaide

    Votes: 97 99.0%
  • Richmond

    Votes: 95 96.9%
  • St Kilda

    Votes: 2 2.0%
  • Sydney

    Votes: 93 94.9%
  • West Coast

    Votes: 9 9.2%
  • Western Bulldogs

    Votes: 23 23.5%

  • Total voters
    98
  • Poll closed .
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Far more offensive than his answer to that is this one:

"Buzzword or phrase of the year: I've answered that question on my podcast"

Get ****ed you dickhead, nobody is going to go out of their way to listen to your podcast to get your response. Just answer the damn question.
Maybe he legitimately thinks that every coach is going to start referring journalists to their personal podcasts at press conferences?
 

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GremioPower

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... The only one with any clue is Travis King.

“Teams employ more of their best marking players in defence to stop the ball hitting the ground, nullifying small forward lines.”

Sage, Travis. Sage.
You are being ironic, right?
 
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GremioPower

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Why would that be ironic? Ball retention in defence is going to be most important. Maybe change it to “highest skilled players”.
Because he is saying marks in defense would nullify small forwards.

But, then, why would a team kick to small forwards for them to attempt contested marks in the first place? Moreover, if the goal is to have the ball hitting the ground, teams would simply kick it low into F50 — nullifying the advantage of those "best marking players."

The quote seems to contradict itself.
 

Janus

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Because he is saying marks in defense would nullify small forwards.

But, then, why would a team kick to small forwards for them to attempt contested marks in the first place? Moreover, if the goal is to have the ball hitting the ground, teams would simply kick it low into F50 — nullifying the advantage of those "best marking players."

The quote seems to contradict itself.
He’s talking about defensive pressure that is applied trying to get the ball outside of defensive 50, which is the reason why you play a whole bunch of small forwards over tall forwards.
 

MALTSY

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GF & Premiers: GWS Vs Port
Brownlow: Nat Fyfe
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Power AA’s: Watts R.Gray Clurey Bonner
Power Most Improved: Bonner
Power Rising Star Nominees: Bonner
 

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Marmozet

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1. GWS - Some say they have a lot of injuries but they did last year and still made Top 4 and all their high draft picks will be more experienced.

2. Sydney - A bit short staffed in the ruck department, but you can never get rid of this mob! They're always around the mark and they'll be extra keen to make up for that costly 0-6 start last year.

3. Port Adelaide - A bit of bias and wishful thinking in this one, but hopefully the recruits all pay off and we start beating a few more of the higher ranked sides.

4. Geelong - A lot would have to wrong for them to not do well with Dangerwoodlett and the significant home ground advantage they have.

5. Adelaide - Lever, Cameron and Smith are all losses but Gibbs is a big gain! Will win most games at home.

6. Essendon - An exciting side that played some brilliant football last year. If they can be more consistent then they're a scary prospect. Top 4 smoky as well!

7. Melbourne - Surely their time is now? After missing out the way they did last year, you'd think they surely couldn't miss the 8?

8. Richmond - May be a bit hungover but they showed enough last year to suggest that they can back it up again this year.

-------------------------------

9. St Kilda - The heat is on them! They need to make the 8 otherwise how do you justify 5 years of no finals when you've supposedly been building that whole time?

10. Western Bulldogs - Trengove, Schache and Crozier are all handy recruits but they struggled last year when more teams gave them more attention. Was 2016 one big fluke? We'll know soon enough.

11. Hawthorn - The toughest team to gauge. They were actually pretty good in the second half of last season but a disastrous start cost them. They will either finish around this region or return to the Top 4!

12. Fremantle - Still have a bit of work to do, but if Fyfe, Neale and Mundy all fire then they will win more games.

13. West Coast - They were very shaky last year and were very lucky to scrape into the 8. They've lost a ton of experience and their form away from home is very poor, plus they have a new home ground to get used to.

14. Brisbane Lions - A lot of promising signs up there. Hopefully their young talent improve further and Luke Hodge makes a difference to their playing group.

15. Collingwood - No forwards or backs and Goldsack will miss the entire season. The pressure on Buckley will be immense.

16. North Melbourne - Will be competitive but won't register that many wins, so pretty similar to their 2017.

17. Carlton - Not much you can do with a list like theirs. Gibbs and Docherty are huge losses and they have no scoring power.

18. Gold Coast - They're in good hands under Dew but they're heavily disadvantaged this year.
I had West Coast and Collingwood finishing 13th & 15th respectively :tearsofjoy:
 

ozph1870

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Had melbourne v sydney in the gf with hannebery winning the Brownlow. That was an embarrassing pick. Neafl quality production by the end of the year. Cooked like a certain other misfirlder the game has passed.

Didnt do a bottom 8 but had niether collingwood or wce in the top 8...
 

TeeKray

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Didn't expect them to be grand finalists but never understood why people were expecting WCE to tank this year. Made finals the past three seasons, won a final last year, dropped a trio of slow plodders out of their team (Petrie, Mitchell, Priddis) and regained Naitanui. And you pretty well lock them in for near enough to 12 wins at home each year so it's only ever a question of how many away games they can win to push them up higher than their default position in 8th.
 

tribey

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Didn't expect them to be grand finalists but never understood why people were expecting WCE to tank this year. Made finals the past three seasons, won a final last year, dropped a trio of slow plodders out of their team (Petrie, Mitchell, Priddis) and regained Naitanui. And you pretty well lock them in for near enough to 12 wins at home each year so it's only ever a question of how many away games they can win to push them up higher than their default position in 8th.
True enough, except they've sunk to deplorable levels multiple times before.

2001: 5 wins (-> Judd)
2008: 4 wins (-> Naitanui)
2010: 4 wins (-> Gaff)

When they bottom out they don't do it by halves.
 

mic59

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Could have been 3 teams with single figure votes into the eight as North fell out of the eight in the last half of the season. Although they didn't crash and burn as badly as us a 4-5 finish dropped them to 9th where 6-3 would have got them to eighth.
 

Chachi

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In the lead up to round 1, it’s again that time of year for your predictions!

Last years prediction thread can be found HERE
The 2016 Thread is HERE

As a collective group last year we voted for a top 8 of:
GWS, Syd, WB, WCE, Geel, Adel, Port, StK.

So we got 6/8. With the Dogs replaced by Richmond and the Saints by Essendon.
In 2016 we got 5/8.

Interestingly a whole host of us nailed the Brownlow/Coleman combo in 2016’s predictions, but this year we weren’t so good. No one guessed Dustin Martin as the brownlow medallist but a few did guess the Coleman medallist Lance Franklin: tribey , CharlieKelly , HombschyPAFCgun , Enviable Tradition and MrChow

The only people that guessed Ryder would make AA were TheBeardAmigos and Waspy79, Waspy79 even went one better, being the only one to pick Ryder for our B&F.

Tribey was the only bloke to pick Sam Gray as our most improved, a lot picked Clurey and to be honest we couldn’t have been far off with that prediction. Interestingly a lot of us had Hombsch pegged for a big year, unfortunately that didn't pan out.

Showing our anti-Crows bias, only one person picked the Crows to make the GF, and no one picked Richmond. That guess came from AusHorrorStory.


2018 Predictions:

LADDER:
Sydney
Adelaide
GWS
Port Adelaide
Geelong
Melbourne
Richmond
Essendon

Western Bulldogs
St Kilda
Hawthorn
Collingwood
Fremantle
West Coast
Gold Coast
Carlton
Brisbane
North Melbourne

GF & Premiers: Sydney Vs Adelaide - Sydney Premiers
Brownlow: Robbie Gray
Coleman: Joe Daniher
Power B&F: Robbie Gray
Power AA’s: R Gray, Wingard, Hartlett
Power Most Improved: Dougal Howard
Power Rising Star Nominees: #bonnerforwing
Interesting to go through this thread a year down the track. Pre-season means 5/8ths of **** all.
 

Marmozet

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1. GWS - Some say they have a lot of injuries but they did last year and still made Top 4 and all their high draft picks will be more experienced.

2. Sydney - A bit short staffed in the ruck department, but you can never get rid of this mob! They're always around the mark and they'll be extra keen to make up for that costly 0-6 start last year.

3. Port Adelaide - A bit of bias and wishful thinking in this one, but hopefully the recruits all pay off and we start beating a few more of the higher ranked sides.

4. Geelong - A lot would have to wrong for them to not do well with Dangerwoodlett and the significant home ground advantage they have.

5. Adelaide - Lever, Cameron and Smith are all losses but Gibbs is a big gain! Will win most games at home.

6. Essendon - An exciting side that played some brilliant football last year. If they can be more consistent then they're a scary prospect. Top 4 smoky as well!

7. Melbourne - Surely their time is now? After missing out the way they did last year, you'd think they surely couldn't miss the 8?

8. Richmond - May be a bit hungover but they showed enough last year to suggest that they can back it up again this year.

-------------------------------

9. St Kilda - The heat is on them! They need to make the 8 otherwise how do you justify 5 years of no finals when you've supposedly been building that whole time?

10. Western Bulldogs - Trengove, Schache and Crozier are all handy recruits but they struggled last year when more teams gave them more attention. Was 2016 one big fluke? We'll know soon enough.

11. Hawthorn - The toughest team to gauge. They were actually pretty good in the second half of last season but a disastrous start cost them. They will either finish around this region or return to the Top 4!

12. Fremantle - Still have a bit of work to do, but if Fyfe, Neale and Mundy all fire then they will win more games.

13. West Coast - They were very shaky last year and were very lucky to scrape into the 8. They've lost a ton of experience and their form away from home is very poor, plus they have a new home ground to get used to.

14. Brisbane Lions - A lot of promising signs up there. Hopefully their young talent improve further and Luke Hodge makes a difference to their playing group.

15. Collingwood - No forwards or backs and Goldsack will miss the entire season. The pressure on Buckley will be immense.

16. North Melbourne - Will be competitive but won't register that many wins, so pretty similar to their 2017.

17. Carlton - Not much you can do with a list like theirs. Gibbs and Docherty are huge losses and they have no scoring power.

18. Gold Coast - They're in good hands under Dew but they're heavily disadvantaged this year.
So I had the Grand Finalists finishing 13th and 15th :tearsofjoy:

I got sucked in by us, overrated GWS, Sydney, Adelaide, Essendon and even St Kilda! But I underrated Richmond. My call regarding Hawthorn was on the money though.
 
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