Seymour Skinner
Norm Smith Medallist
I was bored shitless whilst traveling to and from Christmas gatherings so I did a thing.
I only bothered with predicting averages for players who are somewhat relevant.
DEF
Houli 517k D - Give him a miss for now, has always been an OK fantasy option in his time at the Tiges, coming in at his second highest starting price and has typically been a rollercoaster and is getting pretty old, if you want him you'll be able to get him cheaper during the year and you could do a lot worse than having Bachar as a POD D4-6.
Predicted average: 90
BEllis 502k D - Stunk at the start of last year, but got thrown back during the year and flourished, averaged 96 after the bye. His scores as a defender were much more consistent than what he used to put up as a mid (A 65, 78 and 79, then all scores of 90+). I'd assume he'll be the best SC backline option from the Tiges in '18. Has played 100+ games straight. Very solid pick, you'll get what you pay for with Brando.
Predicted average: 95
Rance 492k D - Rance is the most handsome man in the league. Despite my BIG LOVE for the man I've never picked him in SC because KPDs are usually pretty poo in SC (Hurley gets enough of the pill as the Dons love having him getting the rebound 50s to be worth picking). Sometimes Rance gets points for nothing, and other times he's a man mountain and gets garbage points.
Don't see his SC scores changing much at all.
Predicted average: 90
Vlastuin 430k D - If you were around last year you would of seen me spruiking about Vlas, he was earmarked to finally move out of the dreaded back pocket and into the guts.
He did get a crack in the middle, but still wasn't up to it, he he cooked his shoulder against WC, was averaging 60 at the time.
He came back from the shoulder, but instead of playing as a BP he was up ground, playing a role similar to that of Yeo. He averaged 93 for the rest of the year.
Think he's a miles better player than BEllis, but BEllis would be a SC safer pick.
I'm picking Sicily who I think will have a similar output, but has the added bonus of DPP.
Predicted average: 90
Astbury 402k - Don't.
McIntosh 358 - No.
Conca 344k - If you think 2018 will be the year where he finally plays more than 6 games without his hammy going twaaang, maybe pick him. In your Draft team. Maybe. With a very late pick. For a bench spot. Maybe.
Short 319k - Why would you even look at players in the price range.
Broad 312k - Suspended for the first few games due to T**ty pics so cross him off your list.
Grimes 302k - Grimes is my second favourite player, he's my 508th favourite SC player.
CEllis 228k D/M - Actually might be worth a shout. I'm a big fan of CEllis, so probably better to watch him for yourself in the praccy games. D/M status is a big plus. I'll most likely sneak him in if he's named for round 1.
Markov 205k - Don't think he'll feature round one, so you'll most likely get a good look at him in his first 2 games of the year and decided if it's worth it.
Garthwaite 123k - See Markov
Smith 102k - See Garthwaite
MIDS
Dusty 656k M - Lock him in.
Averaged 119 last year, then chuck in an extra 158, 118 and 150 for his finals series.
He's no longer just racking up posies across HB in a side that's getting pumped.
He's no longer running out of puff in the second half of the game.
He was the best player in the comp this year.
It's possible that he could get even better.
Even if you hate the Tiges it's worth picking Dusty so you can find a reason to watch him in action.
Has only missed about 4 games in his career. Pick him.
Predicted average: 120
Cotchin 550k M - Don't think he can get to his heights of his 2012 output anymore, mainly because Dusty steals all the points and sweet sweet scaling. Will continue to be a great player and solid scorer, but there's better SC value going around.
Solid choice for a Draft team, but don't see him being a top 10 scorer.
Predicted average: 100-105
Grigg 486k - Should of been a M/R. Absolute farce that he isnt. Good honest soldier, not SC relvant.
Lambert 472k M/F - Not even close to a starter for me, but with the fwds looking so bleak this year he might be a chance to sneak in to some teams.
Predicted average: 85
Prestia 456k M - STRONG CONSIDERATION.
Really struggled last year coming off no preseason, and hit his straps right at the arse end of the season. After his final rest for the season he went nuts with scores of 124, 126, 102, 90, 130, 89, and 114.
If he gets through the preseason unscathed this time round, I'll be trying to find a way to get him in.
Should be the Tiges second top scorer.
Predicted average: 105-110
Caddy 419k M/F: Came across to play more midfield, became Mr. Fix-it in the forwardline.
No thanks.
Edwards 414k: Doesn't get enough of the pill.
Miles 310k - Depth. Doesn't get a regular senior gig due to being one dimensional.
Menadue 301k - You know him, you love him, you still dream about that tonne in his second year. But you've gotta pass on him unless you want a rank with 6 digits.
Graham 268k - should of been cheaper. A very thicc lad who could still be a worth while cash cow, but it seems like we're gonna get a few good cheapies this year so probably best to give him a miss. Don't make Sloane your captain if Jack Graham is within 100km of him, I've heard he still has nightmares about him applying the clamps.
Higgins 130k M/F - I reckon he'll play early, round 1 early. Especially with Rioli too miss the first week (I reckon he'll miss a few more), will be a powerful rookie option, having DPP makes him a must have if he plays round 1.
Predicted average: 146
Naish 117k M/F - A ways off, if he gets a gig it'll be later and you'll get a good look before making a decision much like the Def Tiges rookies.
RUCK
Nank 488k - if for some crazy reason you aren't going NN/Gawn, he might be a decent pick.
Is durable and only young. Doesn't get a heap of hit outs, but when he gets on to them they are good. Loves intercept clunkers and forcing the ball out of stoppages using his big boi body.
Predicted average: 90
Hampson 272k - unless the 272k gets you a date with Megan Gale, don't even consider it.
Soldo 228k - Still needs a few more years.
Balta/Coleman-Jones/Miller 117k - doubt any of these big boiz will get much of a go next year. Balta being the only one with DPP, and not even a good loophole draw, makes them unappealing.
FWD
Riewoldt 455k - If you think he's gonna bust out of the gates and kick a few bags maybe you could start with him and trade him at his peak price?
KPFs are also poo. Make him an emergency loopholer in Draft but that's about the best you'll get.
Lloyd 345k - Lock him in at F1 I in your VFL SuperCoach team.
Rioli 340k - Injured, and not putting out cousin Cyril like numbers, yet. Pass.
Butler 332k - was a great rookie, will never be picked in a non-auto-selected team ever again.
Godsend 321k - averaged 97.5 last year, you'd be mad not to pick him... (Doesn't get to play against Freo every week, so don't actually pick him). However, Townsend > Snake Leaver.
Castagna 297k - No deal.
Bolton 242k - Hope he becomes a regular but not SC relevant at all.
Griffiths 197k - His brain resembles a scrambled egg and he was already a crap scorer. Pass.
Drummond 172k - if anyone deserves some luck at Punt Road it's this kid, coming off two knee reconstructions, I actually have no idea where he's at training wise. Might be a downgrade target during the year.
Stengle 148k - can't fit 40 smalls into the team, Stengle might get a gig if one of the other smalls go down, but I wouldn't back him to make much coin.
Moore 133k - a few of the VFL watchers swear by this bloke, but if he gets a game he won't be a great scoring option unless he's kicking bags from day 1.
Chol 123k - isn't even DPP anymore. Chol will remain an a gag in this board and nothing more.
Baker 103k - List managers decided we needed EVEN MORE small forwards, which isn't too bad, but this bloke is probably at the bottom of the pecking order at the moment.
I only bothered with predicting averages for players who are somewhat relevant.
DEF
Houli 517k D - Give him a miss for now, has always been an OK fantasy option in his time at the Tiges, coming in at his second highest starting price and has typically been a rollercoaster and is getting pretty old, if you want him you'll be able to get him cheaper during the year and you could do a lot worse than having Bachar as a POD D4-6.
Predicted average: 90
BEllis 502k D - Stunk at the start of last year, but got thrown back during the year and flourished, averaged 96 after the bye. His scores as a defender were much more consistent than what he used to put up as a mid (A 65, 78 and 79, then all scores of 90+). I'd assume he'll be the best SC backline option from the Tiges in '18. Has played 100+ games straight. Very solid pick, you'll get what you pay for with Brando.
Predicted average: 95
Rance 492k D - Rance is the most handsome man in the league. Despite my BIG LOVE for the man I've never picked him in SC because KPDs are usually pretty poo in SC (Hurley gets enough of the pill as the Dons love having him getting the rebound 50s to be worth picking). Sometimes Rance gets points for nothing, and other times he's a man mountain and gets garbage points.
Don't see his SC scores changing much at all.
Predicted average: 90
Vlastuin 430k D - If you were around last year you would of seen me spruiking about Vlas, he was earmarked to finally move out of the dreaded back pocket and into the guts.
He did get a crack in the middle, but still wasn't up to it, he he cooked his shoulder against WC, was averaging 60 at the time.
He came back from the shoulder, but instead of playing as a BP he was up ground, playing a role similar to that of Yeo. He averaged 93 for the rest of the year.
Think he's a miles better player than BEllis, but BEllis would be a SC safer pick.
I'm picking Sicily who I think will have a similar output, but has the added bonus of DPP.
Predicted average: 90
Astbury 402k - Don't.
McIntosh 358 - No.
Conca 344k - If you think 2018 will be the year where he finally plays more than 6 games without his hammy going twaaang, maybe pick him. In your Draft team. Maybe. With a very late pick. For a bench spot. Maybe.
Short 319k - Why would you even look at players in the price range.
Broad 312k - Suspended for the first few games due to T**ty pics so cross him off your list.
Grimes 302k - Grimes is my second favourite player, he's my 508th favourite SC player.
CEllis 228k D/M - Actually might be worth a shout. I'm a big fan of CEllis, so probably better to watch him for yourself in the praccy games. D/M status is a big plus. I'll most likely sneak him in if he's named for round 1.
Markov 205k - Don't think he'll feature round one, so you'll most likely get a good look at him in his first 2 games of the year and decided if it's worth it.
Garthwaite 123k - See Markov
Smith 102k - See Garthwaite
MIDS
Dusty 656k M - Lock him in.
Averaged 119 last year, then chuck in an extra 158, 118 and 150 for his finals series.
He's no longer just racking up posies across HB in a side that's getting pumped.
He's no longer running out of puff in the second half of the game.
He was the best player in the comp this year.
It's possible that he could get even better.
Even if you hate the Tiges it's worth picking Dusty so you can find a reason to watch him in action.
Has only missed about 4 games in his career. Pick him.
Predicted average: 120
Cotchin 550k M - Don't think he can get to his heights of his 2012 output anymore, mainly because Dusty steals all the points and sweet sweet scaling. Will continue to be a great player and solid scorer, but there's better SC value going around.
Solid choice for a Draft team, but don't see him being a top 10 scorer.
Predicted average: 100-105
Grigg 486k - Should of been a M/R. Absolute farce that he isnt. Good honest soldier, not SC relvant.
Lambert 472k M/F - Not even close to a starter for me, but with the fwds looking so bleak this year he might be a chance to sneak in to some teams.
Predicted average: 85
Prestia 456k M - STRONG CONSIDERATION.
Really struggled last year coming off no preseason, and hit his straps right at the arse end of the season. After his final rest for the season he went nuts with scores of 124, 126, 102, 90, 130, 89, and 114.
If he gets through the preseason unscathed this time round, I'll be trying to find a way to get him in.
Should be the Tiges second top scorer.
Predicted average: 105-110
Caddy 419k M/F: Came across to play more midfield, became Mr. Fix-it in the forwardline.
No thanks.
Edwards 414k: Doesn't get enough of the pill.
Miles 310k - Depth. Doesn't get a regular senior gig due to being one dimensional.
Menadue 301k - You know him, you love him, you still dream about that tonne in his second year. But you've gotta pass on him unless you want a rank with 6 digits.
Graham 268k - should of been cheaper. A very thicc lad who could still be a worth while cash cow, but it seems like we're gonna get a few good cheapies this year so probably best to give him a miss. Don't make Sloane your captain if Jack Graham is within 100km of him, I've heard he still has nightmares about him applying the clamps.
Higgins 130k M/F - I reckon he'll play early, round 1 early. Especially with Rioli too miss the first week (I reckon he'll miss a few more), will be a powerful rookie option, having DPP makes him a must have if he plays round 1.
Predicted average: 146
Naish 117k M/F - A ways off, if he gets a gig it'll be later and you'll get a good look before making a decision much like the Def Tiges rookies.
RUCK
Nank 488k - if for some crazy reason you aren't going NN/Gawn, he might be a decent pick.
Is durable and only young. Doesn't get a heap of hit outs, but when he gets on to them they are good. Loves intercept clunkers and forcing the ball out of stoppages using his big boi body.
Predicted average: 90
Hampson 272k - unless the 272k gets you a date with Megan Gale, don't even consider it.
Soldo 228k - Still needs a few more years.
Balta/Coleman-Jones/Miller 117k - doubt any of these big boiz will get much of a go next year. Balta being the only one with DPP, and not even a good loophole draw, makes them unappealing.
FWD
Riewoldt 455k - If you think he's gonna bust out of the gates and kick a few bags maybe you could start with him and trade him at his peak price?
KPFs are also poo. Make him an emergency loopholer in Draft but that's about the best you'll get.
Lloyd 345k - Lock him in at F1 I in your VFL SuperCoach team.
Rioli 340k - Injured, and not putting out cousin Cyril like numbers, yet. Pass.
Butler 332k - was a great rookie, will never be picked in a non-auto-selected team ever again.
Godsend 321k - averaged 97.5 last year, you'd be mad not to pick him... (Doesn't get to play against Freo every week, so don't actually pick him). However, Townsend > Snake Leaver.
Castagna 297k - No deal.
Bolton 242k - Hope he becomes a regular but not SC relevant at all.
Griffiths 197k - His brain resembles a scrambled egg and he was already a crap scorer. Pass.
Drummond 172k - if anyone deserves some luck at Punt Road it's this kid, coming off two knee reconstructions, I actually have no idea where he's at training wise. Might be a downgrade target during the year.
Stengle 148k - can't fit 40 smalls into the team, Stengle might get a gig if one of the other smalls go down, but I wouldn't back him to make much coin.
Moore 133k - a few of the VFL watchers swear by this bloke, but if he gets a game he won't be a great scoring option unless he's kicking bags from day 1.
Chol 123k - isn't even DPP anymore. Chol will remain an a gag in this board and nothing more.
Baker 103k - List managers decided we needed EVEN MORE small forwards, which isn't too bad, but this bloke is probably at the bottom of the pecking order at the moment.