2019/20 UEFA Champions & Europa Leagues

[NYRB]

We are down to the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League.

The outright winner market, courtesy of best odds from Smarkets Betting Exchange and Betfair Betting Exchange:

Manchester City 5.60
Liverpool 5.70
Bayern Munich 7.80
Barcelona 8.60
PSG 8.80
Juventus 11.50
Real Madrid 16
RB Leipzig 34
Tottenham 36
Atletico Madrid 40
Chelsea 50
Borussia Dortmund 55
Atalanta 65
Napoli 95
Valencia 110
Lyon 310

 

[NYRB]

Got 3 outright bets on: Real Madrid, Chelsea and Spurs from earlier in the season.

Think City are too short and the players will maybe lose a bit of interest with their 2 year suspension from UEFA CL starting from next season.

 

[NYRB]

Round of 16 Champions League for 18/2-19/2 (odds courtesy of Smarkets):

Atletico 3.95, Draw 3.35, Liverpool 2.22
Borussia Dortmund 2.96, Draw 4, PSG 2.42
Atalanta 1.80, Draw 4, Valencia 5
Spurs 2.48, Draw 3.60, RB Leipzig 3.05

TO QUALIFY OVER TWO LEGS(odds courtesy of Betfair):
Atletico 4.20 v 1.30 Liverpool
Dortmund 3.55 v 1.38 PSG
Atalanta 1.76 v 2.24 Valencia
Spurs 2.20 v 1.78 RB Leipzig

 

[NYRB]

get the feeling Liverpool and PSG will be happy to take draws with them back home.

I also expect their games to be cagey with not so many goals .

 

[NYRB]

Surprising stat. Atletico Madrid under Diego Simone, in knockout UEFA Champions league at home , have played 12 matches, for 8 wins and 4 draws.

 

[Fabab]

A Madrid are a tough team to score against too.

 

[iluvparis]

0-0 correct score?

 

[NYRB]

UNDER/OVER 2.5 Goals

Atletico v Liverpool: Under 2.5 Goals $1.66 v $2.48 Over 2.5 Goals
Dortumund v PSG: Under 2.5 Goals $3.20 v $1.43 Over 2.5 Goals
Atalanta v Valencia: Under 2.5 Goals $2.28 v $1.77 Over 2.5 Goals
Spurs v RB Leipzig: Under 2.5 Goals $2.30 v $1.73 Over 2.5 Goals

 

[NYRB]

0-0 correct score?

In the 12 games under Diego Simone , Atletico Madrid have only conceded 2 goals out of 12 in knockout matches at home.

 

[iluvparis]

In the 12 games under Diego Simone , Atletico Madrid have only conceded 2 goals out of 12 in knockout matches at home.

Sportsbet have the SGM refund deal so I am going to try the 0-0

 

[NYRB]

The 39/1 for Atletico to win the champions league outright might be a good bet.

Its a big if, but if they get past Liverpool in the Round of 16, their odds to win the champions league will be around 9/1. When you get to the last 8 of a Champions League, it pretty much is anyones guess. The value may be to get on them now, as there is a possibility , you may not see double digits on them to win trophy after tonight.

 

[Red Dog Styles]

All the logic sounds right but i just cant remove the feeling that this Liverpool team is on an unprecedented run and scoring a goal isnt a big deal to them, they do it all the time.

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[iluvparis]

Sportsbet have the SGM refund deal so I am going to try the 0-0

Well that went well

 

[Minidisc MD]

never bet from this stage onward, football betting in any finals (sans the FA Cup really) is just too prone to getting cuckolded by corruption. UEFA has a notorious hate for English clubs and a tilt toward looking after the Spanish sides. Napoli love a dodgy goal or two.

throw in every team generally being a contender for the league and you can't gauge what form to go for, what time will be named, and who will rock up...

just way too variable at this stage.

 

[NYRB]

Spurs losing Heung Min Son will be a big blow to their chances with Harry Kane already ruled out. Also got to remember there is no more Eriksen as well. Heung Min Son was influential in their win at Villa Park on the weekend.

I don’t Know much about Leipzig as a team but will be interested to see how Werner plays.

 

[NYRB]

Not sure if anyone can help me out, but who would be Spurs penalty taker given that Son and Harry Kane aren't playing tonight?

Im guessing it will be Dele Alli

Spurs penalty take: Deli Alli

Spurs free kick: Lamela

We agree with this?

 

[Fabab]

I’m on Atalanta and Leipzig.

 

[NYRB]

I’m on Atalanta and Leipzig.

Nice work hope you got on for plenty.

 

[NYRB]

Decided to create an own Europa League thread for the last 32 teams remaining.

UEFA Europa League Outright Winner 2019/20:
Inter Milan 7.20
Sevilla 7.80
Man Utd 8
Arsenal 8.80
Ajax 9.20
Wolverhampton 14
Roma 19.50
RB Salzburg 26
Bayer Leverkusen, Getafe 30
Benfica 32
Porto 38
Shakhtar 50
Wolfsburg, Frankfurt, Celtic 55
LASK Linz 60
Basel 70
AZ Alkmaar, Braga 75
Espanoyl, Olympiakos, Sporting 80
Club Brugge 90
Rangers, Malmo 100
Gent 130
FC Copenhagen 150
Basaksehir 200
APOEL, Ludogorets 250
CFJ Cluj 460

 

[NYRB]

Round of 32 odds (1st leg)- odds from Smarkets Betting Exchange:

CFR Cluj 4.80, Draw 3.40, Sevilla 2.02
Club Brugge 3.20, Draw 3.30, Man Utd 2.54
Frankfurt 2.30, Draw 3.90, RB Salzburg 3.20
FC Kobenhaven 3.70, Draw 3.30, Celtic 2.36
Getafe 2.28, Draw 3.50, Ajax 3.60
Ludogorets 6, Draw 4, Inter Milan 1.71
Shakhtar 2.44, Draw 3.50, Benfica 3.20
Sporting Lisbon 2.20, Draw 3.45, Basaksehir 3.80
APOEL 2.80, Draw 3.35, Basel 2.86
AZ Alkmaar 2.46, Draw 3.55, LASK Linz 3.15
Bayer Leverkusen 1.98, Draw 3.85, Porto 4.10
Olympiacos 2.96, Draw 3.55, Arsenal 2.62
Rangers 2.38, Draw 3.40, Braga 3.45
Roma 1.46, Draw 5.10, Gent 8.20
Wolfsburg 1.52, Draw 4.40, Malmo 8
Wolves 1.54, Draw 4.30, Espanyol 8

 

[NYRB]

want to do an Arsenal and Man Utd accumulator. Arsenal and Man Utd surely are one or two gears higher than Club Brugge and Olympiacos .

2.54 x 2.62 = 6.65 anyone?

 

[Minidisc MD]

do not ******* trust Arsenal, silly stuff.

 

[Fabab]

I’m on Roma and Wolfsburg tonight.

 

[NYRB]

Man Utd and over 2.5 goals in match paying around 3.90 for a same game multi

 

[NYRB]

HALF TIME

Club Brugge 1-1 Man Utd

HT ODDS

Club 3.50, Draw 2.24, Man Utd 3.25

nice open game , end to end football. Can see possibility of a few more goals in 2nd half