AFL 2019 - AFL FINALS Week 1

[mouncey2franklin]

Stephenson will be back and is usually their deepest forward. De Goey can play up the ground more than Stephenson can; I'd take JS at $23 over DeGoey (which he has probably done himself too)

Lol.

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

MOCK TEAMS: Dons dump four, Cats' shock axe, Nic Nat back

WEST COAST
B: Will Schofield, Tom Barrass, Brad Sheppard
HB: Shannon Hurn, Jeremy McGovern, Lewis Jetta
C: Andrew Gaff, Elliot Yeo, Chris Masten
HF: Jamie Cripps, Jack Darling, Liam Ryan
F: Willie Rioli, Josh Kennedy, Oscar Allen
Foll: Nic Naitanui, Luke Shuey, Dom Sheed
I/C: Jackson Nelson, Jarrod Cameron, Jack Redden, Tom Hickey
Emerg: Liam Duggan, Jack Petruccelle, Nathan Vardy, Jake Waterman
In: Jarrod Cameron, Nic Naitanui, Will Schofield
Out: Liam Duggan (omitted), Jack Petruccelle (omitted), Jake Waterman (omitted)
Waterman is the stiffest omission, but a tall has to make way for Naitanui's comeback. Duggan wasn't at his best in his return in round 23 and the Eagles' defence has looked shakier without lockdown expert Will Schofield. Duggan makes way so Jackson Nelson, who shut down Bombers barometer Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti last time the teams met, holds his spot. Petruccelle has exceeded all expectations in his second season but struggled for impact in recent weeks, and Cameron might offer more tackle pressure and goalkicking threat on the big stage. - Travis King


ESSENDON
B: Patrick Ambrose, Cale Hooker, Martin Gleeson
HB: Conor McKenna, Michael Hurley, Adam Saad
C: Darcy Parish, Dyson Heppell, Andrew McGrath
HF: Orazio Fantasia, Shaun McKernan, Jake Stringer
F: Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Mitch Brown, Jayden Laverde
Foll: Tom Bellchambers, Dylan Shiel, Zach Merrett
I/C: Mason Redman, Kyle Langford, Aaron Francis, Dylan Clarke
Emerg: Josh Begley, Brayden Ham, Tom Jok, Michael Hartley
In: Orazio Fantasia, Dyson Heppell, Jake Stringer, Cale Hooker
Out: Josh Begley (omitted), Brayden Ham (omitted), Tom Jok (omitted), Michael Hartley (omitted)
It's a simple case for the Bombers, really. They will bring back their big guns who missed last week's clash with Collingwood after being either rested or, in the case of Hooker, ill. Begley makes way for Stringer in the forward line, Fantasia and Heppell are back as midfield options for Jok and Ham, while Hartley is out for Hooker. However, Hartley could come back in the side given the wait-and-see approach the Bombers will take for Michael Hurley and his injured shoulder. - Callum Twomey

 

[targett]

MOCK TEAMS

GEELONG
B: Jed Bews, Mark Blicavs, Jack Henry
HB: Mark O'Connor, Harry Taylor, Tom Stewart
C: Mitch Duncan, Cameron Guthrie, Joel Selwood
HF: Luke Dahlhaus, Esava Ratugolea, Gryan Miers
F: Gary Ablett, Tom Hawkins, Gary Rohan
Foll: Rhys Stanley, Patrick Dangerfield, Tim Kelly
I/C: Brandan Parfitt, Quinton Narkle, Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Atkins
Emerg: Sam Menegola, Zach Tuohy, Zac Smith, Jordan Clark
In: Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Atkins
Out: Lachie Henderson (omitted), Zach Tuohy (omitted)
Collingwood's dynamic forward line ensures Kolodjashnij will be recalled from a hip injury. Henderson is the most likely to be omitted after five games this year as long as the Cats stick with Stanley as ruck and Blicavs in defence. Tuohy falls out for a traditional forward in Atkins, while Clark's lack of match conditioning after an elbow injury forces him to miss. - Mitch Cleary
Could the Cats axe Tuohy?


COLLINGWOOD
B: Jeremy Howe, Jordan Roughead, John Noble
HB: Brayden Maynard, Matt Scharenberg, Levi Greenwood
C: Tom Phillips, Scott Pendlebury, Steele Sidebottom
HF: Will Hoskin-Elliott, Brody Mihocek, Josh Thomas
F: Jamie Elliott, Jordan De Goey, Jaidyn Stephenson
Foll: Brodie Grundy, Jack Crisp, Taylor Adams
I/C: Adam Treloar, Chris Mayne, Callum Brown, Rupert Wills
Emerg: Travis Varcoe, Jack Madgen, James Aish, Tyson Goldsack
In: Steele Sidebottom, Jordan De Goey, Jaidyn Stephenson
Out: Darcy Moore (hamstring), Travis Varcoe (omitted), Jack Madgen (omitted)
Vice-captain Sidebottom and matchwinners De Goey and Stephenson are huge inclusions, and Pies coach Nathan Buckley has declared key defender Moore will also play but I wouldn't take the risk. So Roughead, after a stint forward, returns to defence to take on All Australian key forward Tom Hawkins. Veteran Varcoe is perhaps an unlucky omission. - Ben Collins
De Goey is a certified matchwinner.

 

[targett]

MOCK TEAMS


GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY
B: Heath Shaw, Aidan Corr, Sam Taylor
HB: Nick Haynes, Phil Davis, Zac Williams
C: Josh Kelly, Jacob Hopper, Harry Perryman
HF: Lachie Whitfield, Harry Himmelberg, Toby Greene
F: Jeremy Finlayson, Jeremy Cameron, Brent Daniels
Foll: Shane Mumford, Tim Taranto, Matt de Boer
I/C: Sam Reid, Adam Tomlinson, Adam Kennedy, Daniel Lloyd
Emerg: Bobby Hill, Isaac Cumming, Lachie Keeffe, Dawson Simpson
In: Nick Haynes, Jacob Hopper, Toby Greene
Out: Bobby Hill (omitted), Lachie Keeffe (omitted), Isaac Cumming (omitted)
Greene, Hopper and Haynes are automatic inclusions. The Giants' important talls are fit and healthy at either end so there's no spot for Keeffe or Cumming. Daniels gets the nod ahead of Hill because of his hardness and consistency. Stephen Coniglio (knee) and Brett Deledio (calf) will need a GWS win to play again this year. - Adam Curley
The addition of Greene would be a massive boost to the Giants' chances.

WESTERN BULLDOGS
B: Matthew Suckling, Lewis Young, Hayden Crozier
HB: Jason Johannisen, Zaine Cordy, Easton Wood
C: Ed Richards, Jack Macrae, Lachie Hunter
HF: Bailey Smith, Josh Schache, Toby McLean
F: Bailey Dale, Aaron Naughton, Sam Lloyd
Foll: Tim English, Marcus Bontempelli, Josh Dunkley
I/C: Taylor Duryea, Patrick Lipinski, Tory Dickson, Will Hayes
Emerg: Rhylee West, Jackson Trengove, Tom Liberatore, Roarke Smith
In: Tory Dickson
Out: Rhylee West (omitted)
West will count himself as unlucky, but Dickson is a no-brainer to return from a minor hamstring complaint. Liberatore is a chance to return from a knee injury but it seems unlikely he'll be ready in time. Hayes might be the odd one out if 'Libba' makes a rapid recovery. - Jourdan Canil
Dickson would be a handy inclusion for the Dogs.

 

[targett]

MOCK TEAMS

BRISBANE
B: Darcy Gardiner, Marcus Adams, Luke Hodge
HB: Daniel Rich, Harris Andrews, Noah Answerth
C: Hugh McCluggage, Dayne Zorko, Mitch Robinson
HF: Lincoln McCarthy, Dan McStay, Cam Rayner
F: Allen Christensen, Eric Hipwood, Charlie Cameron
Foll: Stefan Martin, Lachie Neale, Jarryd Lyons
I/C: Alex Witherden, Jarrod Berry, Zac Bailey, Oscar McInerney
Emerg: Cedric Cox, Ryan Lester, Rhys Mathieson, Ben Keays
In: Allen Christensen
Out: Cedric Cox (omitted)
A very settled line-up. Christensen missed the final round against Richmond with a hamstring injury but is expected to be available for the qualifying final. His form and forward pressure had been exceptional since being recalled to the senior team post-bye and unfortunately for Cox, it's last man in, first man out. - Michael Whiting
Christensen could return for the Lions.

RICHMOND
B: David Astbury, Dylan Grimes, Nathan Broad
HB: Bachar Houli, Nick Vlastuin, Jayden Short
C: Brandon Ellis, Dion Prestia, Josh Caddy
HF: Jason Castagna, Shane Edwards, Kane Lambert
F: Shai Bolton, Tom J. Lynch, Jack Riewoldt
Foll: Ivan Soldo, Trent Cotchin, Dustin Martin
I/C: Daniel Rioli, Jack Graham, Noah Balta, Liam Baker
Emerg: Dan Butler, Jack Ross, Mabior Chol, Kamdyn McIntosh
No changes
Ruckman Toby Nankervis will only play managed minutes in the VFL this weekend if fit after battling groin soreness. With Soldo in good form, it's much more likely for Nankervis to be given a second week in the VFL rather than risk breaking down in a qualifying final. A strong round 23 performance the same week as a VFL bye means no changes to the side. - Sarah Black
'Nank' is likely to stay in the VFL.

 

[targett]

MOCK TEAMS

GEELONG
B: Jed Bews, Mark Blicavs, Jack Henry
HB: Mark O'Connor, Harry Taylor, Tom Stewart
C: Mitch Duncan, Cameron Guthrie, Joel Selwood
HF: Luke Dahlhaus, Esava Ratugolea, Gryan Miers
F: Gary Ablett, Tom Hawkins, Gary Rohan
Foll: Rhys Stanley, Patrick Dangerfield, Tim Kelly
I/C: Brandan Parfitt, Quinton Narkle, Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Atkins
Emerg: Sam Menegola, Zach Tuohy, Zac Smith, Jordan Clark
In: Jake Kolodjashnij, Tom Atkins
Out: Lachie Henderson (omitted), Zach Tuohy (omitted)
Collingwood's dynamic forward line ensures Kolodjashnij will be recalled from a hip injury. Henderson is the most likely to be omitted after five games this year as long as the Cats stick with Stanley as ruck and Blicavs in defence. Tuohy falls out for a traditional forward in Atkins, while Clark's lack of match conditioning after an elbow injury forces him to miss. - Mitch Cleary
Could the Cats axe Tuohy?


COLLINGWOOD
B: Jeremy Howe, Jordan Roughead, John Noble
HB: Brayden Maynard, Matt Scharenberg, Levi Greenwood
C: Tom Phillips, Scott Pendlebury, Steele Sidebottom
HF: Will Hoskin-Elliott, Brody Mihocek, Josh Thomas
F: Jamie Elliott, Jordan De Goey, Jaidyn Stephenson
Foll: Brodie Grundy, Jack Crisp, Taylor Adams
I/C: Adam Treloar, Chris Mayne, Callum Brown, Rupert Wills
Emerg: Travis Varcoe, Jack Madgen, James Aish, Tyson Goldsack
In: Steele Sidebottom, Jordan De Goey, Jaidyn Stephenson
Out: Darcy Moore (hamstring), Travis Varcoe (omitted), Jack Madgen (omitted)
Vice-captain Sidebottom and matchwinners De Goey and Stephenson are huge inclusions, and Pies coach Nathan Buckley has declared key defender Moore will also play but I wouldn't take the risk. So Roughead, after a stint forward, returns to defence to take on All Australian key forward Tom Hawkins. Veteran Varcoe is perhaps an unlucky omission. - Ben Collins
De Goey is a certified matchwinner.

Darcy Moore will Play ... Madgen may be the unlucky one

 

[juss]

At home I was thinking a Brisbane +10 or so line would have been good, but at less than a goal may as well take the extra value and get them at $2.20+

Can't bet against my own team but that looks solid value.

I also like Collingwood and to a lesser extent the Dogs. Really like the Pies though pending who comes back in.

The Dogs are good, but if GWS get some names back I reckon revenge might be on the cards here.

 

[Its not the coach]

Sportsbet same game multi
West coast 25 plus
Collingwood win
Bulldogs win
Richmond win
Paying $11.32 powered.

 

[targett]

 

[NonPhixion]

At home I was thinking a Brisbane +10 or so line would have been good, but at less than a goal may as well take the extra value and get them at $2.20+

Can't bet against my own team but that looks solid value.

I also like Collingwood and to a lesser extent the Dogs. Really like the Pies though pending who comes back in.

The Dogs are good, but if GWS get some names back I reckon revenge might be on the cards here.

Sidebottom in doubt, probably a 50/50 to play. The others you can lock in

 

[Sausage Legs]

Think bris just win. Tiges renowned non travellers. Could be wrong but don't think tiges have beaten a top 8 interstate team away since rd 14 2017.

 

[targett]

Sidebottom in doubt, probably a 50/50 to play. The others you can lock in

Sidebottom Plays

 

[GROTTO]

Sportsbet same game multi
West coast 25 plus
Collingwood win
Bulldogs win
Richmond win
Paying $11.32 powered.

If thats all the legs, isnt that just a multi ? Not being picky, just curious if you missed a leg?

 

[GROTTO]

Think bris just win. Tiges renowned non travellers. Could be wrong but don't think tiges have beaten a top 8 interstate team away since rd 14 2017.

When we hear these stats about Top 8 teams, is that at the point of time when they play if they are in the 8 (Live Ladder) they are called a Top 8 team, before the round begins?

I am pretty sure from memory that Port were in the 8 at the end of R3.

 

[Its not the coach]

If thats all the legs, isnt that just a multi ? Not being picky, just curious if you missed a leg?

Sorry mate, I meant 4 leg multi. I do like the same gamers I must say.

 

[targett]

When we hear these stats about Top 8 teams, is that at the point of time when they play if they are in the 8 (Live Ladder) they are called a Top 8 team, before the round begins?

I am pretty sure from memory that Port were in the 8 at the end of R3.

8th

 

[Its not the coach]

Think bris just win. Tiges renowned non travellers. Could be wrong but don't think tiges have beaten a top 8 interstate team away since rd 14 2017.

I reckon this is the one that suits them against an Inexperienced finals opponent. If it was in Perth against west coast I'd be on west ccoast. I reckon they'll get Brisbane though.

 

[Sausage Legs]

When we hear these stats about Top 8 teams, is that at the point of time when they play if they are in the 8 (Live Ladder) they are called a Top 8 team, before the round begins?

I am pretty sure from memory that Port were in the 8 at the end of R3.

I call it for at the end of the season as in the teams that made the final 8, gives a better perspective as opposed to say Saints and Gold Coast were in the 8 until round 7 or 8 this year.

 

[targett]

 

[RooTed]

Lines I like for the week.

Dons +28.5
Pies +4.5
Dogs -2.5
Tigers -6.5

Will wait for teams to be named but if all as expected will take these as 1u each.

Might not take TGS bets over finals?

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[targett]

Lines I like for the week.

Dons +28.5
Pies +4.5
Dogs -2.5
Tigers -6.5

Will wait for teams to be named but if all as expected will take these as 1u each.

Might not take TGS bets over finals?

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

Id prefer Richmond -5.5 1.9

 

[free at last]

I was of the same opinion, had money on the tigers 40+ and 60+. Looking at this season and past seasons. Brissy at home are a much better side. Tigers although their record at the Gabba is decent are a very different side away from the MCG.

Tigers demolished Freo at Optus when we were going ok and they had their backs to the walls playing port and won that too.

Richmond are champion team imo and their a hardened finals out fit....Tigers experience gets them in to a PF imo.

Brissy were damn lucky to best Geelong in round 22.

Personally,Brisbane are being overhyped.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

A Collingwood / Essendon semi final would sell out the 'G, surely.

Geel / Ess SU multi paying $9 could be the value bet of the round.

Not that I would ever suggest the AFL is corrupt or that they would do the dirty on the Eagles to get their preferred semi final.

If this bloke doesn't scream 'ridgy didge true blue fair dinkum totally above board legit' then nobody does.

He does almost look like a 'separated at birth' candidate with this guy though: