AFL 2019 - AFL Round 10

[iluvparis]

Anyone else as little convinced about Port as i am?

Theyve won 5 games. Only 1 was a good win beating eagles at Optus off a derby win.

Other than that theyve beaten Melbourne, North, Blues and Gold Coast of which both North and blues were at Adelaide and by less than 16 pt wins.

I think if they beat Hawks this week they probably play finals as im struggling to find anyone good in the bottom 10. I think Hawks and Sydney the threats.

Im not sure i can see them beating hawks in tassie even with R.Gray back. Hawks have lost Big boy but gained Frawley and Wingard with a chip on his shoulder

Am i too harsh on the power here?

Probably a little - they flogged the Eagles in WA (#noexcuses) and beat the Suns easily - that's a couple of good wins. They should easily make finals. This is a big 8 point game against the Hawks and has a huge impact on both teams finals aspirations (especially if Port wins - they'll have a 2 game + % break over the Hawks)

Sydney are a genuine bottom 4 side and are no threat to get anywhere near finals - I expect Port to account for them easily whenever they play.

 

[chrisdon16]

Geelong -31.5 ($1.91 Beteasy)

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u Wells AGS $2 (lads)
0.5u Wells 2+ goals $5 (365)

 

[targett]

2u Wells AGS $2 (lads)
0.5u Wells 2+ goals $5 (365)

Nice bet ... but im on the ladbrokes BandWagon

 

[balmainforever]

Anyone else as little convinced about Port as i am?

Theyve won 5 games. Only 1 was a good win beating eagles at Optus off a derby win.

Other than that theyve beaten Melbourne, North, Blues and Gold Coast of which both North and blues were at Adelaide and by less than 16 pt wins.

I think if they beat Hawks this week they probably play finals as im struggling to find anyone good in the bottom 10. I think Hawks and Sydney the threats.

Im not sure i can see them beating hawks in tassie even with R.Gray back. Hawks have lost Big boy but gained Frawley and Wingard with a chip on his shoulder

Am i too harsh on the power here?

Aren’t hawthorn in the same boat though.
Fell in against Carlton by 5 points and north by 16 points.
Only beat GWS because it was at the MCG?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Eagles are $2.45 at pointsbet and generally play well interstate.good odds

 

[chrisdon16]

Collingwood o87.5 ($1.89 b365)

 

[NonPhixion]

yeh On wells 2+ also..should spend most time forward imo.
Powell-pepper O19.5 @1.83
Lloyd O27.5 @1.92
Hayward 2+ @3.75
Zurhaar 2+ @4.20
All Sb

 

[Johanpetro]

Daniel Wells AGS into James Parsons AGS @ $4 on Ladbrokes

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u Lloyd more disposals than Sidebottom $1.80 (365)
3u Treloar 25+, Collingwood 1Q SU $1.91 (SB)
1u Grundy most fantasy points $3 (lads)

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

1U Collingwood -13.5, Pendles 25+, Phillips O25.5, Wells AGS @ 6.25
0.5U Collingwood -13.5, Collingwood -3.5 QT Line, Pendles/Sidebottom 25+, Phillips O25.5, Wells 2g+ @ 21.25

 

[squeaky1000]

Pointsbet spread Pies v Swans match highest disposals under 37

 

[chrisdon16]

Collingwood -12.5 ($1.91 b365)

This is a seperate bet. -19.5 still on.

Line is way off IMO.

Nek minnit Pies by a goal.

 

[GROTTO]

Nek minnit Pies by a goal.

Swans win.

 

[andwhenitcomes]

$50 R.Gray O24.5 disp @3.25 SB

With Atley taken out of the side hes been replaced by R.Gray which i suspect means midfield time with Rozee, Butters, S.Gray, Farrell, Motlop still in the side as small fwds

Good shout. Not sure how much Wines' presence impacted his role but 23 and 27 in the first two rounds without him.

 

[mookieb]

Anyone else as little convinced about Port as i am?

Theyve won 5 games. Only 1 was a good win beating eagles at Optus off a derby win.

Other than that theyve beaten Melbourne, North, Blues and Gold Coast of which both North and blues were at Adelaide and by less than 16 pt wins.

I think if they beat Hawks this week they probably play finals as im struggling to find anyone good in the bottom 10. I think Hawks and Sydney the threats.

Im not sure i can see them beating hawks in tassie even with R.Gray back. Hawks have lost Big boy but gained Frawley and Wingard with a chip on his shoulder

Am i too harsh on the power here?

Share the same thoughts. Beaten 4 weaker teams but that was with a better squad than they have currently with key players Wines, Ebert, Lycett and Burton missing which gives them a pretty inexperienced and weak squad.

Hawks actually have a fair bit of talent on each line but have been inconsistent and have had 3 games impacted by multiple in-game injuries. Hard to get a read on them but I have them as a better team than Port with good HGA so that's who i'll be backing.

Forecast looks like rain and wind - who will this help and is unders an option here as it's an important game so should be a fair bit of contested footy.

 

[RooTed]

#afl #bettingtips

R10 Friday
#aflswanspies

1u TGS o162.5 $1.91 B365
1u Pies -12.5 $1.91 B365
plus previously published
1u Pies -4.5 1st Qtr $1.95 TAB. (Can now get -3.5 at TAB)

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[mookieb]

Would you be surprised if North won though? I definitely wouldn't. Dogs have had a few good wins but this is a pretty even matchup IMO

Last 4 games have been won by 7 or fewer points (WB 3 vs 1).

But really for such a low line surely WB look the better team? Impressed they gutted out a good win vs Bris and were close in the 4th vs Geel at Skilled. NM ended up giving a big start to Syd with a very average forward line at a ground where they are normally very good. Really they have shown virtually nothing all season.

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Collingwood QT line now into -2.5 at SB

 

[RooTed]

Swans have beaten North all 3 times at Hobart. So not a real surprise. Roos will be close or win IMO against Scraggers.

Last 4 games have been won by 7 or fewer points (WB 3 vs 1).

But really for such a low line surely WB look the better team? Impressed they gutted out a good win vs Bris and were close in the 4th vs Geel at Skilled. NM ended up giving a big start to Syd with a very average forward line at a ground where they are normally very good. Really they have shown virtually nothing all season.

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Ohh Ok]

Rate this build-a-bet on BetEasy

 

[chrisdon16]

Last 4 games have been won by 7 or fewer points (WB 3 vs 1).

But really for such a low line surely WB look the better team? Impressed they gutted out a good win vs Bris and were close in the 4th vs Geel at Skilled. NM ended up giving a big start to Syd with a very average forward line at a ground where they are normally very good. Really they have shown virtually nothing all season.

Definitely the better team and should be favorites no doubt. Not much value in this game IMO but it's just an opinion....

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u West Coast +10.5 $1.90 (TAB)

 

[benji21]

3u West Coast +10.5 $1.90 (TAB)

Intriguing match that one, looks like it could be wet and its 2 teams who drop a few gears in the wet

 

[Keystone agony]

Aren’t hawthorn in the same boat though.
Fell in against Carlton by 5 points and north by 16 points.
Only beat GWS because it was at the MCG?

Beaten Adelaide and GWS who both sit top 6/7

and playing at home

Have also lost 2 games by 5 points admittingly to weak sides and also had dogs on ropes barring last 8 goals of the game to dogs