AFL 2019 - AFL Round 11

Who Covers the Line This Week?


  • Total voters
    23
  • Poll closed .

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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,346
1,962
AFL Club
Essendon
Some other early sighters...
Jezza to kick 4+ and GWS to win @$3.50 Lads. (JC against Burgess/Hombsch at home)
McCartin AGS @$2.50 Lads. Hit 4 from last 5 weeks.

Tailing Begley and Hayward GS markets.
 

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HTPunter

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 27, 2014
5,518
6,590
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Mitch Hannan on Bet365

First goal @ $22
Anytime goalkicker @ $1.62 (BetEasy)
2+ goals @ $5
3+ goals @ $21

Kicked a goal 26 times in his last 32 games. 2+ 12 times. 3+ 6 times. Hit first goal 2 or 3 times last year, at work so can't check notes. So odds are in favour of him statistically. Not sure if there is a position change expected but I like the odds.
 

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
20,314
25,708
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
Not much value in H2H markets this week. A lot of the heavy favourites are very short, but it should be a fairly easy round to tip them.
 

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
3,730
5,134
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Richmond got spanked by the Dogs and given a scare by the Swans in Rd 5 at Colonial. Venue doesn't suit them.

How do they stop Brown? Surely kicks 4+.

Caddy the real danger man for Richmond but he has struggled at Colonial as well.

I'm liking North 25+ into Brown 4+ into Zurhaar 2+ @ 31.

0.5U.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,218
3,770
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Not based on any models, but I have this feeling tonight will be a high scoring game with a new coach. Anyone else like the overs?
 

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
3,730
5,134
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Not based on any models, but I have this feeling tonight will be a high scoring game with a new coach. Anyone else like the overs?
I could see it being a crazy 220+, I could see it being a boring -150.

So hard to predict.

Tarrant should cover Lynch, Caddy is out of form at Colonial, there's Richmond's two main goalkickers who could struggle.

I honestly do not see where Richmond's goal come from.

Meanwhile Brown could get off the hook and kick six, but he might get chopped all night and end with 1.1.
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
749
851
AFL Club
Adelaide
Houli 4/7 30+ times this year, in rare ball winning form, 30+ is $2.30 on Bet365. Don't know how Shaw will approach him but I don't think any of our small forwards or wingers have the nous or experience to tag him out of it.
Was going to play him in a bet tonight, form isn’t the best at marvel though. Think he bucks that trend though
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
749
851
AFL Club
Adelaide
4u Dimond 20+, Prestia 20+, Cunnington 25+ $1.75 (SB)
3u Zurhaar AGS, Baker AGS $2.50 (SB)
2.5u Cotchin Under 84.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB)

0.5u SB SGM $20.25
Richmond 1-39
Brown AGS
Zurhaar AGS
Baker AGS
Lynch AGS
Dumont 20+
Prestia 20+
Cunnington 25+
Higgins 25+
Houli 25+
Dusty 25+
 

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juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
20,314
25,708
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
I could see it being a crazy 220+, I could see it being a boring -150.

So hard to predict.

Tarrant should cover Lynch, Caddy is out of form at Colonial, there's Richmond's two main goalkickers who could struggle.

I honestly do not see where Richmond's goal come from.

Meanwhile Brown could get off the hook and kick six, but he might get chopped all night and end with 1.1.
Might want to calm yourself a little. Brown is a difficult match up for Tigers, but even undermanned they will make it hard for him youd think.
 

mac23

Debutant
Aug 11, 2018
71
81
AFL Club
Melbourne
Any thoughts on tonight’s Draftstars rapid fire?
Martin v Houli
Edwards v Macmillan
Cunnington v Dumont
Prestia
v Ellis
McDonald v Williams

Haven’t had a chance to do a heap of research but it sounds like there’s a real disparity between who performs at Marvel and who doesn’t.

EDIT: Based off some quick research have gone with the above @20-1 odds.
 
Last edited:

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
749
851
AFL Club
Adelaide
5u Richmond, Collingwood, GWS, Geelong $2.13 (365)
4u Dimond 20+, Prestia 20+, Cunnington 25+ $1.75 (SB)
3u Zurhaar AGS, Baker AGS $2.50 (SB)
2.5u Cotchin Under 84.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB)

0.5u SB SGM $20.25
Richmond 1-39
Brown AGS
Zurhaar AGS
Baker AGS
Lynch AGS
Dumont 20+
Prestia 20+
Cunnington 25+
Higgins 25+
Houli 25+
Dusty 25+
Tough start to the round, didn't see that one happening. 2W-3L and -3.3 units to start the round.
 

HTPunter

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 27, 2014
5,518
6,590
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Mitch Hannan on Bet365

First goal @ $22
Anytime goalkicker @ $1.62 (BetEasy)
2+ goals @ $5
3+ goals @ $21

Kicked a goal 26 times in his last 32 games. 2+ 12 times. 3+ 6 times. Hit first goal 2 or 3 times last year, at work so can't check notes. So odds are in favour of him statistically. Not sure if there is a position change expected but I like the odds.
Adding in $40 BB won from BetEasys chase the try on Hannan top goalscorer @ $41. Feel like 3 goals could get it up in the top end on a slippery humid night and the true key forwards might be a bit hampered.
 

alhay6

Rookie
Apr 7, 2019
34
59
AFL Club
Essendon
I'm all over the Saints this weekend... Port with one of the weirdest team selections I've ever seen
- midfield will be overpowered as I can't see how they will win contested footy outside of Boak, Gray and SPP
- can't see where they will get goals from outside of Rozee and maybe Sam Gray
- playing about 6 half back flankers in DBJ, Houston, Burton, Lineart, Broadbent, Bonner
- Motlop and Westhoff in awful form
- tons of inexperience in Farrell, Howard, Butters, Duursma, Rozee, Lineart, Bonner etc.

Someone please tell me why I shouldn't hammer Saints this week?
 

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