Can still get on individual players for 5 goals, the 40 touch markets have completely dissapeared
AFL 2019 - AFL Round 11
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,334
- 20,538
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Some other early sighters...
Jezza to kick 4+ and GWS to win @$3.50 Lads. (JC against Burgess/Hombsch at home)
McCartin AGS @$2.50 Lads. Hit 4 from last 5 weeks.
Tailing Begley and Hayward GS markets.
Jezza to kick 4+ and GWS to win @$3.50 Lads. (JC against Burgess/Hombsch at home)
McCartin AGS @$2.50 Lads. Hit 4 from last 5 weeks.
Tailing Begley and Hayward GS markets.
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,727
- 15,666
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
What are the odds?
Mitch Hannan on Bet365
First goal @ $22
Anytime goalkicker @ $1.62 (BetEasy)
2+ goals @ $5
3+ goals @ $21
Kicked a goal 26 times in his last 32 games. 2+ 12 times. 3+ 6 times. Hit first goal 2 or 3 times last year, at work so can't check notes. So odds are in favour of him statistically. Not sure if there is a position change expected but I like the odds.
First goal @ $22
Anytime goalkicker @ $1.62 (BetEasy)
2+ goals @ $5
3+ goals @ $21
Kicked a goal 26 times in his last 32 games. 2+ 12 times. 3+ 6 times. Hit first goal 2 or 3 times last year, at work so can't check notes. So odds are in favour of him statistically. Not sure if there is a position change expected but I like the odds.
Not much value in H2H markets this week. A lot of the heavy favourites are very short, but it should be a fairly easy round to tip them.
asanque
Premium Platinum
Agreed.
This is probably the worst round of punting for the season.
Might be a good weekend to relax and absorb prior to the bye rounds.
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,727
- 15,666
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Richmond got spanked by the Dogs and given a scare by the Swans in Rd 5 at Colonial. Venue doesn't suit them.
How do they stop Brown? Surely kicks 4+.
Caddy the real danger man for Richmond but he has struggled at Colonial as well.
I'm liking North 25+ into Brown 4+ into Zurhaar 2+ @ 31.
0.5U.
How do they stop Brown? Surely kicks 4+.
Caddy the real danger man for Richmond but he has struggled at Colonial as well.
I'm liking North 25+ into Brown 4+ into Zurhaar 2+ @ 31.
0.5U.
- Mar 27, 2018
- 7,215
- 18,870
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- Collingwood
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- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Not based on any models, but I have this feeling tonight will be a high scoring game with a new coach. Anyone else like the overs?
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,727
- 15,666
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
I could see it being a crazy 220+, I could see it being a boring -150.
So hard to predict.
Tarrant should cover Lynch, Caddy is out of form at Colonial, there's Richmond's two main goalkickers who could struggle.
I honestly do not see where Richmond's goal come from.
Meanwhile Brown could get off the hook and kick six, but he might get chopped all night and end with 1.1.
Why you all wondering about Richmond so much? Should flog North.
Houli 4/7 30+ times this year, in rare ball winning form, 30+ is $2.30 on Bet365. Don't know how Shaw will approach him but I don't think any of our small forwards or wingers have the nous or experience to tag him out of it.
Was going to play him in a bet tonight, form isn’t the best at marvel though. Think he bucks that trend though
4u Dimond 20+, Prestia 20+, Cunnington 25+ $1.75 (SB)
3u Zurhaar AGS, Baker AGS $2.50 (SB)
2.5u Cotchin Under 84.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB)
0.5u SB SGM $20.25
Richmond 1-39
Brown AGS
Zurhaar AGS
Baker AGS
Lynch AGS
Dumont 20+
Prestia 20+
Cunnington 25+
Higgins 25+
Houli 25+
Dusty 25+
3u Zurhaar AGS, Baker AGS $2.50 (SB)
2.5u Cotchin Under 84.5 fantasy $1.88 (PB)
0.5u SB SGM $20.25
Richmond 1-39
Brown AGS
Zurhaar AGS
Baker AGS
Lynch AGS
Dumont 20+
Prestia 20+
Cunnington 25+
Higgins 25+
Houli 25+
Dusty 25+
Cotchin $3 group B disposals tonight....might return with a bang....Ziebell $11 if he's playing midfield?
Might want to calm yourself a little. Brown is a difficult match up for Tigers, but even undermanned they will make it hard for him youd think.
Any thoughts on tonight’s Draftstars rapid fire?
Martin v Houli
Edwards v Macmillan
Cunnington v Dumont
Prestia v Ellis
McDonald v Williams
Haven’t had a chance to do a heap of research but it sounds like there’s a real disparity between who performs at Marvel and who doesn’t.
EDIT: Based off some quick research have gone with the above @20-1 odds.
Martin v Houli
Edwards v Macmillan
Cunnington v Dumont
Prestia v Ellis
McDonald v Williams
Haven’t had a chance to do a heap of research but it sounds like there’s a real disparity between who performs at Marvel and who doesn’t.
EDIT: Based off some quick research have gone with the above @20-1 odds.
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AEKBOMBERS
Debutant
- May 1, 2019
- 113
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Just heard that the roof was left open earlier and the umps are struggling to bounce the ball in the middle
One day the baker's going to kick more than 1 goal. (ave 2 scoring shots/game)
0.5u baker 2g+ @3.75 sb
0.5u baker 2g+ @3.75 sb
Tough start to the round, didn't see that one happening. 2W-3L and -3.3 units to start the round.
Adding in $40 BB won from BetEasys chase the try on Hannan top goalscorer @ $41. Feel like 3 goals could get it up in the top end on a slippery humid night and the true key forwards might be a bit hampered.
I'm all over the Saints this weekend... Port with one of the weirdest team selections I've ever seen
- midfield will be overpowered as I can't see how they will win contested footy outside of Boak, Gray and SPP
- can't see where they will get goals from outside of Rozee and maybe Sam Gray
- playing about 6 half back flankers in DBJ, Houston, Burton, Lineart, Broadbent, Bonner
- Motlop and Westhoff in awful form
- tons of inexperience in Farrell, Howard, Butters, Duursma, Rozee, Lineart, Bonner etc.
Someone please tell me why I shouldn't hammer Saints this week?
- midfield will be overpowered as I can't see how they will win contested footy outside of Boak, Gray and SPP
- can't see where they will get goals from outside of Rozee and maybe Sam Gray
- playing about 6 half back flankers in DBJ, Houston, Burton, Lineart, Broadbent, Bonner
- Motlop and Westhoff in awful form
- tons of inexperience in Farrell, Howard, Butters, Duursma, Rozee, Lineart, Bonner etc.
Someone please tell me why I shouldn't hammer Saints this week?
- Jun 16, 2018
- 8,727
- 15,666
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
Cheers bro.
Tigers need to be banned from the league for match fixing, clearly being bribed by betting comapnies to constantly ruin everyone's multis. First Port, then Dogs, now this.
