AFL 2019 - AFL Round 12

[NonPhixion]

Surely he goes to Gaff?

He could. Gaff is outside tho and feeds off both Yeo & Shuey, just think he goes to Shuey to try exploit the contested footy with Yeo out. I could be wrong though, just my thoughts.
Isaac Heeney 2+ @6.50 b365 - love the value almost as much as Hayward last week. Odds on Sb are @2.80 which seems closer to the true value. Also Putting a little on 3+ @26

 

[targett]

Eagles haven't won at the SCG in 20 years, we beat them twice last year, guess that plays into it.

It is a completely different Sydney outfit to previous years

Sydney For and Against since 2009 at SCG

2009 89.3 F - 96.5 A
2010 101.6 - 74.5
2011 87.6 - 79.8
2012 108.4 - 68.8
2013 109 - 66.7
2014 102.5 - 65.3
2015 101 - 76.6
2016 102.6 - 59.3
2017 102.4 - 70.5
2018 74.1 - 74.7
2019* 73.8 - 92

 

[mac23]

Hewett averaging 25 disposals on the road, 16 at home.

Under 24.5 $1.87 B365

0/5 clearing that at the SCG, 3/11 overall.

 

[SM]

It is a completely different Sydney outfit to previous years

Sydney For and Against since 2009 at SCG

2009 89.3 F - 96.5 A
2010 101.6 - 74.5
2011 87.6 - 79.8
2012 108.4 - 68.8
2013 109 - 66.7
2014 102.5 - 65.3
2015 101 - 76.6
2016 102.6 - 59.3
2017 102.4 - 70.5
2018 74.1 - 74.7
2019* 73.8 - 92

I don't disagree in the slightest, just explaining the odds as best I can.

 

[chrisdon16]

West Coast +2.5 ($1.95 Topsport)

Think the recent Sydney form resurgence has been overrated. Beaten Essendon just, North just. Lost their last two against good opposition in Collingwood and Geelong. Obviously the money has come in due to the form of West Coast vs Sydney in recent games but that changes today IMO.

 

[Hellboy101]

Thoughts on Heeney 25+ disposals? Looking at the swans team. No Kennedy. More mid time? Odds 3.75

 

[Mazza1234678]

West Coast +2.5 ($1.95 Topsport)

Think the recent Sydney form resurgence has been overrated. Beaten Essendon just, North just. Lost their last two against good opposition in Collingwood and Geelong. Obviously the money has come in due to the form of West Coast vs Sydney in recent games but that changes today IMO.

I think it’s overhyped as well but Hurn and yeo are absolutely massive outs

 

[Browney2006]

He could. Gaff is outside tho and feeds off both Yeo & Shuey, just think he goes to Shuey to try exploit the contested footy with Yeo out. I could be wrong though, just my thoughts.
Isaac Heeney 2+ @6.50 b365 - love the value almost as much as Hayward last week. Odds on Sb are @2.80 which seems closer to the true value. Also Putting a little on 3+ @26

Im on this as well, nice find

 

[HTPunter]

Surely he goes to Gaff?

He could. Gaff is outside tho and feeds off both Yeo & Shuey, just think he goes to Shuey to try exploit the contested footy with Yeo out. I could be wrong though, just my thoughts.
Isaac Heeney 2+ @6.50 b365 - love the value almost as much as Hayward last week. Odds on Sb are @2.80 which seems closer to the true value. Also Putting a little on 3+ @26

Clarke to Gaff I'd have thought on a hard tag.

And Hewett to do an 'accountable' tag or ball-winning midfielder role on the inside.

 

[targett]

TopSport Today

Eagles 2.5 > 1.94 Win

 

[HTPunter]

Swans concede goals from mids/resting mids quite often this year.

Sheed AGS @ $2 (Lads)
2+ goals @ $5.50 (B365)
3+ goals @ $21 (B365)

 

[HTPunter]

Jetta 20+ disposals @ $2.10

 

[Zook]

Jetta 20+ disposals @ $2.10

Who's the bookie?

 

[Hellboy101]

Who's the bookie?

Based on Hurn. Will take kick ins?

 

[Zook]

Based on Hurn. Will take kick ins?

That's what I am assuming. He got mid 20's last week and Hurn was on bench for a bit.

 

[Hellboy101]

That's what I am assuming. He got mid 20's last week and Hurn was on bench for a bit.

Tailed. Like it

 

[Ohh Ok]

2u Shepard over 19.5 disposals $1.77 (Topsport)
2u Jetta 20+ $2.10 (SB)
2u West Coast +0.0 $2 (Topsport)

 

[NonPhixion]

Thoughts on Heeney 25+ disposals? Looking at the swans team. No Kennedy. More mid time? Odds 3.75

Good shout, kind of screwed my 2+ But he played the whole game mid

 

[Robo87]

0.6u petrucelle 2g+ @5 b365
0.4u petrucelle 3g+ @21 b365
1u papley 2g+ @2.50 lads
0.3u papley 3g+ @5.50 b365

 

[Zook]

Jetta 20+ disposals @ $2.10

Thanks for the share. EZ money

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u Geelong -11.5 $1.90 (unibet)
1u Hawkins 3+ goals Geelong Win $4 (lads)

3u Tim Kelly over 26.5 disposals $1.93 (PointsBet)
1u 30+ @ $2.30
0.5u 35+ $6

3u Duncan 20+, Prestia 20+, Ablett AGS $1.80 (SB)
2.5u Dangerfield over 28.5 disposals $1.88 (BE)
2u Liam Baker over 74.5 fantasy $1.88 (BE)

4u Brisbane HT/FT $1.87 (PB)
2.5u Walsh 20+, McCluggage 20+, Cameron AGS $1.72 (SB)
4u Fiorini over 26 disposals $1.87 (365)
4u Swallow over 23.5 disposals $1.87 (lads)

2.5u Macpherson over 91.5 fantasy $1.75 (PB)
2u Cunnington over 28.5 disposals $1.88 (BE)
2u Dumont 20+, Miles 20+ $1.75 (SB)

2.5u Coniglio over 108.5 fantasy $1.87
2.5u Josh Kelly over 30.5 disposals $1.90 (365)
2u Brad Crouch 25+, Z.Williams 25+ (SB) $1.95
1u GWS SU $2.08 (SB)

2u Shepard over 19.5 disposals $1.77 (Topsport)
2u Jetta 20+ $2.10 (SB)
2u West Coast +0.0 $2 (Topsport)

After a couple poor weeks I've managed to get myself back on track. 14-8 and +17.635 units for the round so far with one more game left tomorrow.

 

[NonPhixion]

Treloar & Oliver 60+ @2.75 lads

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Treloar & Oliver 60+ @2.75 lads

Wouldn't touch that one. Oliver left training early with a sore back. Even if he plays, wouldn't bank on him being 100 per cent.

 

[iluvparis]

Wouldn't touch that one. Oliver left training early with a sore back. Even if he plays, wouldn't bank on him being 100 per cent.

Probably from carrying all the hypelords

 

[JuniorWatch]

Demons defence lacks pace.
Think Stephenson might be isolated and can do some damage tomorrow.
3+ $3.30
Most Goals $8
SB