AFL 2019 - AFL Round 13

[balmainforever]

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
Adelaide	$1.33	$1.34	$1.36	$1.22	$0.00
Richmond	$3.14	$3.10	$3.00	$4.00	$0.00
line:	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5	Adel 26.5
total score:			156.5	153.5

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
Essendon	$1.80	$1.80	$1.76	$1.76	$0.00
Hawthorn	$2.00	$2.00	$2.08	$2.08	$0.00
line:	Ess 2.5	Ess 2.5	Ess 4.5	Ess 4.5
total score:			160.5	160.5

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
Gold Coast	$2.18	$2.25	$2.25	$2.26	$0.00
St Kilda	$1.65	$1.63	$1.63	$1.62	$0.00
line:	StK 6.5	StK 8.5	StK 9.5	StK 8.5
total score:			158.5	161.5

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
Fremantle	$1.80	$1.68	$1.72	$1.73	$0.00
Port Adelaide	$2.00	$2.15	$2.08	$2.10	$0.00
line:	Frem 2.5	Frem 5.5	Frem 3.5	Frem 4.5
total score:			161.5	162.5

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
Carlton	$2.53	$2.50	$2.50	$2.50	$0.00
Western Bulldogs	$1.48	$1.51	$1.51	$1.51	$0.00
line:	WBull 13.5	WBull 13.5	WBull 12.5	WBull 12.5
total score:			170.5	169.5

Game	Sunday 11pm	Monday 11pm	Tuesday 11pm	Wednesday 11pm	Thursday 7pm
North Melbourne	$2.47	$2.50	$2.50	$2.40	$0.00
G-Western Sydney	$1.50	$1.51	$1.51	$1.55	$0.00
line:	GWS 11.5	GWS 11.5	GWS 12.5	GWS 10.5
total score:			165.5	166.5

ODDS VIA SPORTSBET

 

[balmainforever]

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Adelaide	$1.35	$1.36	$1.35	$1.35	$1.36
Richmond	$3.20	$3.00	$3.20	$3.15	$3.20
line:	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5	Adel 18.5
total score:		156.5	154.5	156.5	155.5

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Essendon	$1.70	$1.76	$1.75	$1.75	$1.72
Hawthorn	$2.15	$2.08	$2.08	$2.07	$2.15
line:	Ess 6.5	Ess 4.5	Ess 4.5	Ess 4.5	Ess 5.5
total score:		160.5	160.5	161.5	162.5

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Gold Coast	$2.30	$2.25	$2.30	$2.24	$2.30
St Kilda	$1.62	$1.63	$1.62	$1.65	$1.62
line:	StK 10.5	StK 9.5	StK 8.5	StK 8.5	StK 8.5
total score:		158.5	160.5	160.5	161.5

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Fremantle	$1.73	$1.72	$1.75	$1.70	$1.75
Port Adelaide	$2.10	$2.08	$2.08	$2.14	$2.10
line:	Frem 4.5	Frem 3.5	Frem 4.5	Frem 5.5	Frem 4.5
total score:		161.5	162.5	160.5	162.5

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Carlton	$2.50	$2.50	$2.50	$2.40	$2.55
Western Bulldogs	$1.53	$1.51	$1.53	$1.55	$1.52
line:	WBull 12.5	WBull 12.5	WBull 12.5	WBull 10.5	WBull 12.5
total score:		170.5	168.5	166.5	168.5

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
North Melbourne	$2.55	$2.50	$2.50	$2.50	$2.55
G-Western Sydney	$1.52	$1.51	$1.53	$1.52	$1.52
line:	GWS 12.5	GWS 12.5	GWS 12.5	GWS 12.5	GWS 11.5
total score:		165.5	166.5	166.5	166.5

ODDS AT 00.00 ON 12/6/2019

 

[the_big_sav]

like hawks and port

 

[Mazza1234678]

Shocking round

Don’t like anything right now after an early look

 

[Ohh Ok]

Anyone got any data on teams coming off bye vs teams without bye?

 

[the_big_sav]

i know geelong are about 1/10 post bye in recent times

(just a guess but i know its bad)

 

[demon_fanatic]

Love Kangaroos if Gws don't get a few players back, North 4-5 goals better in Tassie

 

[the_big_sav]

we wont have higgins

 

[Jugada]

Anyone got any data on teams coming off bye vs teams without bye?

Teams after the bye from 2011-2017

H2H: 39.44%
Line: 47.89%

 

[targett]

 

[tombomb]

off those stats, Carlton half decent record makes them an appealing bet this weekend against the bulldogs.

But investing significant money in Carlton makes me feel like I should call someone about a gambling problem.

 

[iluvparis]

off those stats, Carlton half decent record makes them an appealing bet this weekend against the bulldogs.

But investing significant money in Carlton makes me feel like I should call someone about a gambling problem.

Can't sack our coach again this week either (you'd think)

 

[the_big_sav]

tab special for adel vs rich is betts a goal in each half @ $4

he has kicked 2 or more goals 8/12, 6/8 his goals have come in both halves

 

[targett]

Fantasia,Shiel and Stringer set to return ..... -3.5 1.91 BetEasy,TabTouch

 

[NonPhixion]

tab special for adel vs rich is betts a goal in each half @ $4

he has kicked 2 or more goals 8/12, 6/8 his goals have come in both halves

Nice. Tailed

 

[the_big_sav]

gone into $3 now

 

[chrisdon16]

ESS HAW u162.5 ($1.89 b365)

 

[RooTed]

Taken

1u Suns v Saints TGS u161.5 $1.90 Unibet
1u Blues v Dogs TGS u170.5 $1.88 SB
Lean on North game o166.5 (179) but wait on weather..

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[demon_fanatic]

It's next round but jeez Freo ,$2.96 to beat Dees looks good.. at MCG where they beat pies and they have a 7 day break,no Lobbe or Pearce but the dees shouldn't be $1.36 vs anyone, I do though like Port to beat Dockers this week, they play well out West, Wines (32 touches), Dixon (5 goals) probably come in too after excellent reserve performance

 

[Oraaaaazio]

Teams after the bye from 2011-2017

H2H: 39.44%
Line: 47.89%

I know you were just providing info as requested and you'll possibly agree with what I'm saying so this isn't a dig at you at all but these numbers aren't really predictive imo. Small sample size (relatively) and close enough to 50% ATS. It's commonly accepted that coming off a bye has minimal impact on a team's performance vs expectation so before everyone blows their load and backs the team not coming off a bye maybe stop and think twice.

 

[adammania9]

It's next round but jeez Freo ,$2.96 to beat Dees looks good.. at MCG where they beat pies and they have a 7 day break,no Lobbe or Pearce but the dees shouldn't be $1.36 vs anyone, I do though like Port to beat Dockers this week, they play well out West, Wines (32 touches), Dixon (5 goals) probably come in too after excellent reserve performance

Smash that Gawn fantasy overs whatever it'll be. His match-up will be either Darcy or Scott Jones.

 

[Jugada]

I know you were just providing info as requested and you'll possibly agree with what I'm saying so this isn't a dig at you at all but these numbers aren't really predictive imo. Small sample size (relatively) and close enough to 50% ATS. It's commonly accepted that coming off a bye has minimal impact on a team's performance vs expectation so before everyone blows their load and backs the team not coming off a bye maybe stop and think twice.

Yeah not advocating for backing either team off the bye given it's close enough to 50% at the line. Likely no effect or any effect it does have is already factored into the odds

 

[chrisdon16]

GC STK u160.5 ($1.88 Beteasy)

 

[NonPhixion]

Some nice value on Gallucci tomorrow night with B365
2+ @12
3+ @71
Only has the 2 goals from 7 games so far, but should play predominantly forward where there will be plenty of opportunities.

 

[Leeroy Brown 15]

Foxsports put up a graphic before the North/GC game last week of the win percentages of caretaker coaches 1st and 2 game. Don't remember the statistics exactly but it was around 50-60% teams have won the first game with a caretaker coach, and only 10% have won the following week. If thats the case, Bulldogs provide some value this week.