The market has been for the Hawks
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Worth keeping in mind those three 29s were all minus Josh Kennedy.George Hewett's possessions in the last 4 rounds: 29, 29, 12, 29.
25+ $2.40
30+ $6.00
SB
Holding on it for the moment as the prices are lengthening for some reason.
Hasn't been tight tagging much lately but maybe the plan is to go to Jaeger like Clarke did? Sydney fans?
Not after timing here and genuinely enquiring, not being a smart arse. On what basis did you take this bet? Do you look back through past games & see how many times they've gone over the total etc.?Snap this up before it loses value
3u Parish Under 24.5 disposals @ $1.70 (BE/365)
Buddy + papley 2+ each @4.50 TAB special
Adding another 1u on this.
Multi of the two comes out to 3.10 on SB and even less on b365. They also have good chemistry and have a tendency to find each other i50
Where is this bet? Can't find it anywhere
No dramas mate. That's part of it definitely, there is generally a lot that I try to consider; TOG, opponent, tags, form, ground, injured/uninjured, role and market value etc. Sometimes I get it wrong and others right. Quite often with the SGMs they're leans that I have on certain players, and others are to add value due to the high probability of them reaching there total.Not after timing here and genuinely enquiring, not being a smart arse. On what basis did you take this bet? Do you look back through past games & see how many times they've gone over the total etc.?
No worries, don't expect you to post reasoning for each bet - was just wondering about your train of thought that lead to Parish going under. Some on here place disposals bets based on how many times a bloke has gone over/under and don't consider changes in role (like Parish has had) and whatnot but seems you've got it all covered.No dramas mate. That's part of it definitely, there is generally a lot that I try to consider; TOG, opponent, tags, form, ground, injured/uninjured, role and market value etc. Sometimes I get it wrong and others right. Quite often with the SGMs they're leans that I have on certain players, and others are to add value due to the high probability of them reaching there total.
Last week the inclusion of Shiel back into the side saw a drop in numbers from Parish's (21, and under last night's total) big few weeks, I was expecting Shiel to improve on last week's performance and take a bit more of the footy from Parish. Also believe he had a tougher opponent than recent weeks (Hawthorn, Carlton, Richmond). I beat the closing odds which were around $1.50. In hindsight though probably didn't consider the impact Devon Smith and even to some degree Stringer out of the side has had on his performance, and probably should have taken more note of the amount of footy WCE had given up in recent weeks. The bet was looking 50-50 at half time when he was on 11 disposals, before going on to rack up 16 in the second half, 4 or 5 disposals in the first 2 or 3 minutes of the last quarter really hurt and put the bet to bed though.
Always open to discuss plays, post quite a few plays usually so don't always have the time to give reasoning for them all. The more we discuss them the better we can analyse and churn out some positive results
Where are you finding under 9.5 sixes at $4.75??Hawks O69.5. Hawks have scored 70+ points in 9/12 games this year, Swans have conceded 70+ in guess what, ALL of their games (Yes - 12/12).
Also not AFL related but Lanka U21.5 4s in the CWC. Has anyone watched this team lately? 22 fours for a side that played out of their skins last game and still only managed 20 fours, previous games against NZ and Afghan only managed 11 and 15.
U9.5 6s at $4.75 too, if Lanka bat first, don't expect them to score too many and England won't have a huge total to chase. Joe Root with 100 fours and 0 sixes.
TAB, under total match 6s 6 wayWhere are you finding under 9.5 sixes at $4.75??
Is the under on 4's also TAB? Cant find it.Hawks O69.5. Hawks have scored 70+ points in 9/12 games this year, Swans have conceded 70+ in guess what, ALL of their games (Yes - 12/12).
Also not AFL related but Lanka U21.5 4s in the CWC. Has anyone watched this team lately? 22 fours for a side that played out of their skins last game and still only managed 20 fours, previous games against NZ and Afghan only managed 11 and 15.
U9.5 6s at $4.75 too, if Lanka bat first, don't expect them to score too many and England won't have a huge total to chase. Joe Root with 100 fours and 0 sixes.
Sportsbet mate! Sorry should’ve specified odds and book
Nah all good. Makes sense now.Sportsbet mate! Sorry should’ve specified odds and book
Had to go to the TAB. Will be under the retail special
I wonder if the odds will come in if Sri Lanka bat first after the toss. Cause if Eng bat first this bet will lose i would have thought. If Sri Lanka bat first i think it is a good bet only if the odds dont change.Where are you finding under 9.5 sixes at $4.75??
Im pretty certain you cant get these bets once toss has happenedI wonder if the odds will come in if Sri Lanka bat first after the toss. Cause if Eng bat first this bet will lose i would have thought. If Sri Lanka bat first i think it is a good bet only if the odds dont change.