AFL 2019 - AFL Round 17

Who Covers The Line This Week.


  • Total voters
    20
  • Poll closed .

Remove this Banner Ad

Oct 25, 2017
227
112
AFL Club
North Melbourne
#AFL #bettingtips

R17 Leans

WCE -17.5- Coll o158.5
Syd -21.5- Carl u158.5/160.5
Haw-13.5- Fre u156.5/157.5
Ess-NM+2.5 u166.5/172.5
GC-Adel -32.5 u155.5/158.5
Geel -43.5- STK o158.5
Rich-GWS +13.5 o158.5
WB-Melb +11.5 u167.5/170.5
Port-BL No Leans 8.5 164.5/165.5

GL
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
7,197
18,660
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Some early spots:
Hayward 2+ @3.30, 3+ @10 b365
Wingard 2+ @2.60 Sb
Pendles 20+, Gaff 25+, WHE ATGS, WC win @3.30 sb

added WHE 2+ @4.50... couldnt help myself, teased me for too long
 
Last edited:

Log in to remove this ad.

Jun 13, 2016
2,327
20,154
AFL Club
Essendon
Some early spots:
Hayward 2+ @3.30, 3+ @10 b365
Wingard 2+ @2.60 Sb
Pendles 20+, Gaff 25+, WHE ATGS, WC win @3.30 sb
Hayward tailed.
Some fun ones...
Milera 3+ $10
Ratugolea 3+ $10
M. Kennedy 3+ $21
b365

Some value...
B. Brown 3+ North win $4.5
T. Hawkins 4+ Cats win $3.75
Kennedy 3+ WC win $3.5
Lads
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
2,456
2,795
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Got WC at -8.5 but even now wondering how Coll are going to score with Shepherd a good match for De Goey and McGovern and Barrass likely to dominate Cox and Mihocek.

Also surprised NM aren't favs given they have won 5 of their last 6 by 20+ points. Bellchambers out so they'll get flogged in the ruck and both Heppell and Hurley under injury clouds.
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
fri0702.PNG
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Got WC at -8.5 but even now wondering how Coll are going to score with Shepherd a good match for De Goey and McGovern and Barrass likely to dominate Cox and Mihocek.

Also surprised NM aren't favs given they have won 5 of their last 6 by 20+ points. Bellchambers out so they'll get flogged in the ruck and both Heppell and Hurley under injury clouds.
Yeah Id keep $10 at -8.5
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
7,197
18,660
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
You’d want odds of $10 on that Wingard bet. The guy has been rubbish this year.

Ye hasn’t been in any form, but with the forward line on paper, he looms as a key target imo. Think b365 nailed the odds for this market, so see a little value
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Collingwood have been strong plays as an underdog for a long time. Since 2012 they are a quality 25-11 against the spread getting two-plus goals. Interstate getting more than two goals, the Magpies are a remarkable 11-1 against the spread.
West Coast have covered just three of nine at home off a win of 60-plus points while non-interstate favourites of more than two goals off conceding 50 or fewer cover at just 46%.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Jugada

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 5, 2012
10,681
12,634
AFL Club
West Coast
Collingwood have been strong plays as an underdog for a long time. Since 2012 they are a quality 25-11 against the spread getting two-plus goals. Interstate getting more than two goals, the Magpies are a remarkable 11-1 against the spread.
West Coast have covered just three of nine at home off a win of 60-plus points while non-interstate favourites of more than two goals off conceding 50 or fewer cover at just 46%.

Confirmation bias is strong with these selective stats
 

Atavistic

Norm Smith Medallist
Jan 22, 2008
8,137
8,059
Hobart
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Team Coco
Got WC at -8.5 but even now wondering how Coll are going to score with Shepherd a good match for De Goey and McGovern and Barrass likely to dominate Cox and Mihocek.

Also surprised NM aren't favs given they have won 5 of their last 6 by 20+ points. Bellchambers out so they'll get flogged in the ruck and both Heppell and Hurley under injury clouds.

Heppell wasn't even named to play.
 
Jun 13, 2016
2,327
20,154
AFL Club
Essendon
He's saying that his analysis (on AFL and racing i'm guessing) has returned him 13.75% profit of the money he has gambled.

As an aside: is it possible to get these statistics (as you've done from betfair targett ) from other agencies like Sportsbet?
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
He's saying that his analysis (on AFL and racing i'm guessing) has returned him 13.75% profit of the money he has gambled.

As an aside: is it possible to get these statistics (as you've done from betfair targett ) from other agencies like Sportsbet?
Its betfairs Afl anylist . If you took all betfairs tips this year these are the results.Those stats BF quoted would only be a small part of the selection process.
 
He's saying that his analysis (on AFL and racing i'm guessing) has returned him 13.75% profit of the money he has gambled.

As an aside: is it possible to get these statistics (as you've done from betfair targett ) from other agencies like Sportsbet?

Probs just the winning side of losing hedges ;)
 

Jugada

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 5, 2012
10,681
12,634
AFL Club
West Coast
He's saying that his analysis (on AFL and racing i'm guessing) has returned him 13.75% profit of the money he has gambled.

As an aside: is it possible to get these statistics (as you've done from betfair targett ) from other agencies like Sportsbet?

The overall results don't take away from the fact those stats are still extremely shoehorned
 

tombomb

Norm Smith Medallist
Sep 8, 2007
8,936
17,868
melbourne
AFL Club
Sydney
Collingwood have been strong plays as an underdog for a long time. Since 2012 they are a quality 25-11 against the spread getting two-plus goals. Interstate getting more than two goals, the Magpies are a remarkable 11-1 against the spread.
West Coast have covered just three of nine at home off a win of 60-plus points while non-interstate favourites of more than two goals off conceding 50 or fewer cover at just 46%.

I just have an image of Lisa outlining her NFL selections to Homer.
 
Back