AFL 2019 - AFL Round 17

[balmainforever]

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
West Coast	$1.47	$1.42	$1.42	$1.46	$1.44
Collingwood	$2.70	$2.74	$2.80	$2.60	$2.80
line:	WCst 13.5	WCst 15.5	WCst 15.5	WCst 14.5	WCst 15.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Sydney	$1.30	$1.34	$1.34	$1.30	$1.35
Carlton	$3.50	$3.10	$3.20	$3.35	$3.25
line:	Syd 25.5	Syd 20.5	Syd 20.5	Syd 21.5	Syd 20.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Hawthorn	$1.50	$1.43	$1.40	$1.46	$1.44
Fremantle	$2.60	$2.70	$2.90	$2.60	$2.80
line:	Haw 14.5	Haw 14.5	Haw 15.5	Haw 14.5	Haw 15.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Essendon	$1.70	$1.72	$1.68	$1.70	$1.68
North Melbourne	$2.15	$2.10	$2.15	$2.08	$2.20
line:	Ess 4.5	Ess 5.5	Ess 6.5	Ess 4.5	Ess 6.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Gold Coast	$5.50	$5.00	$4.85	$4.35	$5.00
Adelaide	$1.15	$1.14	$1.17	$1.19	$1.18
line:	Adel 30.5	Adel 34.5	Adel 32.5	Adel 31.5	Adel 32.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Geelong	$1.06	$1.08	$1.07	$1.05	$1.08
St Kilda	$10.00	$6.50	$8.00	$8.50	$8.00
line:	Geel 44.5	Geel 45.5	Geel 45.5	Geel 45.5	Geel 45.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Richmond	$1.50	$1.48	$1.48	$1.50	$1.50
G-Western Sydney	$2.60	$2.54	$2.60	$2.50	$2.60
line:	Rich 10.5	Rich 12.5	Rich 12.5	Rich 12.5	Rich 12.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Western Bulldogs	$1.50	$1.45	$1.52	$1.53	$1.50
Melbourne	$2.60	$2.61	$2.50	$2.40	$2.60
line:	WBull 12.5	WBull 12.5	WBull 12.5	WBull 11.5	WBull 12.5
total score:

Game	TAB	Sportsbet	BetEasy	Ladbrokes	Bet365
Port Adelaide	$1.60	$1.67	$1.68	$1.60	$1.70
Brisbane	$2.35	$2.15	$2.15	$2.25	$2.18
line:	PAdel 10.5	PAdel 6.5	PAdel 6.5	PAdel 8.5	PAdel 6.5
total score:

ODDS AT 01.15 ON 8/7/2019

 

[balmainforever]

Reserved

 

[Robo87]

Like WC line, already on.
sticking with history saying GC cant beat the Crows. #13straight.
Dogs
Port at home.
Ess/north game will be tight imo -anyones game. could go tribet either team under 24pts.
possible upsets - gws over rich, carlton over sydney maybe.

 

[5 Bucks]

$1.50 for the Iggs looks like a gift.

Richmond at the G against the Giants who have looked off for a few weeks looks nice too.

 

[NonPhixion]

WC is a gift

 

[iluvparis]

Sydney is a gift

 

[GROTTO]

Im a gift to bookies when I place my bets.

 

[balmainforever]

Is it just me or should North be favourites
Reckon this market may turn completely

 

[Atavistic]

Is it just me or should North be favourites
Reckon this market may turn completely

I've aleady put money on North.

 

[targett]

Not that it counts for much at all but i have rated North as $1.85 Favs . The early line is sure inviting . Maybe a Bet365 early play as IF the line turns against, you have time to cash out for free

TAB first on the move back to -4.5 $2

 

[the_big_sav]

id be making plays at wc syd rich dogs. so on this year id suggest pies dees giants

 

[targett]

 

[kaiserchief13]

View attachment 705877

What's the relevance of this? I see you post this a bit so wondering why?

 

[iluvparis]

What's the relevance of this? I see you post this a bit so wondering why?

Show's where the money is going as the week progresses.

 

[targett]

 

[5 Bucks]

45 points is one hell of a head start for the Saints. Bruce in good form and Membrey always dangerous so they shouldn't struggle to kick a score of say 60+. 105+ for the Cats in their current form and with the way the overall scoring of the comp is going this season doesn't look like anything like a certainty to me.

On XT1635-02 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[targett]

GMHBA Stadium 2019

Team	Win Record	Average Score For	Average Score Against	H2H Betting Value	Line Record	O/U Record	Average Total Score	Win %
Geelong	5-0-1	103.2	65.3	$0.52	4-0-2	3-0-3	168.5	83.3%

 

[mookieb]

View attachment 706036

Was reading a twitter exchange that beating the closing line is the most important factor over profit.

In previous years (been waylaid much of this season) I used to find alot of the time that favs shortened and roughies odds blew out as game day drew close as I assume the mug punters jump on the favs. This year haven't noticed it as much.

Normally you can pick a match where the line will move in 1 direction but there have been some interesting line moves this year (especially when Melb odds shorten...).

 

[iluvparis]

Was reading a twitter exchange that beating the closing line is the most important factor over profit.

Did the author go by the name Brett by any chance?

 

[targett]

 

[targett]

Was reading a twitter exchange that beating the closing line is the most important factor over profit.

In previous years (been waylaid much of this season) I used to find alot of the time that favs shortened and roughies odds blew out as game day drew close as I assume the mug punters jump on the favs. This year haven't noticed it as much.

Normally you can pick a match where the line will move in 1 direction but there have been some interesting line moves this year (especially when Melb odds shorten...).

I know people that play beating the closing line with success. The Markets can bounce a bit during week with the bigger players getting involved later in week and match day where they can get size on.

 

[RooTed]

#AFL #bettingtips

R16 finished with a very disappointing 3-4 for -1.27u.
YTD now stands at 52-47 for +3.28u.
TGS is running at about 60% unders and I'll be trying to use this before each bet. Particularly Sunday games.
Will list leans for each game TGS/Line.

 

[Sausage Legs]

Swans first quarter line -5.5 at 1.93. Blues normally don't rock up til quarter time

 

[JuniorWatch]

Don't usually go early on the h2h markets but there's some value in this round.

5leg Multi: Rich, Gee, North, WC, Syd $6.21 boosted @ SB.

 

[targett]