AFL 2019 - AFL Round 20

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JuniorWatch

All Australian
Jun 13, 2016
867
1,124
AFL Club
Essendon
NonPhixion's bet of the week:
Josh Battle 2+ @12, 3+ @71 b365
It is a little speculative, but definitely value. This is the first game he's playing with Brown & Carlisle both in the team, so he should play as either a wingman with forward minutes or as a 3rd tall lead-up target. Drafted as a forward and with a new coach who could try something different with team structure and chemistry I love the odds.
Great find. Just had a go at it and it's come into $7.50 and $37.
Surprised b365 still put up those complete multi-scorer markets after the hammering they've been getting.
 

Keystone agony

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 15, 2011
15,039
4,048
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Port Adelaide
NonPhixion's bet of the week:
Josh Battle 2+ @12, 3+ @71 b365
It is a little speculative, but definitely value. This is the first game he's playing with Brown & Carlisle both in the team, so he should play as either a wingman with forward minutes or as a 3rd tall lead-up target. Drafted as a forward and with a new coach who could try something different with team structure and chemistry I love the odds.
FOMO

got on

Acres was playing forward before aswell

Carlisle worth getting in in case hes the one that goes fwd?
 

Keystone agony

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 15, 2011
15,039
4,048
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Port Adelaide
1U Worpel <98.5 PB
1U Ziebell >85.5 PB
1U Simpkin >68.5 PB

With Anderson out that loses 19 CBAs from last week expecting the 2 roo boys to get an extra lift in CBAs along with LDU and Higgins but these lines are also fairly low compared to previous weeks.
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,033
950
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
FOMO

got on

Acres was playing forward before aswell

Carlisle worth getting in in case hes the one that goes fwd?
I doubt Carlisle will go forward, he’s openly expressed that he doesn’t like playing forward, I know this isn’t a great reason but since coming back into the team he is finding form in the back half and plays his best footy there imo. Adelaide somehow look even slower on paper, should be a good enough reason to go 3 talls up forward, with little concern about the crows speed on the rebound.
 

RooTed

Senior List
Oct 25, 2017
181
90
AFL Club
North Melbourne
TGS Leans this week.
o161-163 North-hawks
u165-167 Ess-Port
o158-159 GWS-Syd
o144-148 Freo-Cats
u163-164 Pies-Suns
u168-169 Blues-WC
Other 3 too close to call.

GL
 

Snake_Baker

L'enfant terrible
Apr 24, 2013
46,645
86,162
inside your head
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Other Teams
The Unicornia Reactants
GWS win/total score over 159.5 @ $2.40 (TAB) is my bet of the round. (They have cracked 159.5 in 5 out of 6 at the showgrounds, tallied 152 in the only game they missed out, and average 179.3 per match there this year. Weather forecast is fine with no rain)

Good value multipliers:

T. Thomas goal: $1.50 (Hit the scoreboard in every match this season, and goaled in 8 of his last 9 games)
Richmond score over 90+ only: $1.72 (Richmond have broken 90 in their last 5 matches, Melbourne have broken it once in the last 8 rounds & conceded 90+ in 6 out of those same 8 matches)

Bundle them up for a $6.19 return on the dollar outlay. ;)
 
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JuniorWatch

All Australian
Jun 13, 2016
867
1,124
AFL Club
Essendon
Only a little smattering of goalkicking go's this round.
Bombers struggle with 2nd talls.
0.2u Ladhams 3+ @ $19. SB

Swans defensively short.
0.2u Himmelberg 4+ @ $6. PB

Melbourne hate small fwds, no Jetta.
0.2u Rioli 3+ @ $10 SB, 0.2u Castagna 3+ @ $7 b365, 0.1u Baker 3+ @ $26.

Freo short down back too. Gonna get pumped.
0.2u Ratugolea 3+ @ $10 SB.

Tailing T. Kelly and Battle markets.
 

Robo87

All Australian
Aug 3, 2014
984
719
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
1u Zurhaar 2g+ @1.91 b365
0.5u Zurhaar 3g+ @3.90 b365
1u larkey 2g+ @2.80 SB
0.5u larkey 3g+ @7.50 SB
1u lewis 2g+ @2.10 b365
0.5u lewis 3g+ @4.75 b365
 

andwhenitcomes

Senior List
May 2, 2018
279
335
AFL Club
Melbourne
James Sicily 20+ disposals @ 1.80 (Sportsbet).

Hit in 12/18 games this season (that includes an 8 disposal game as a forward), plus 33/44 all up since shifting down back.
 

Robo87

All Australian
Aug 3, 2014
984
719
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Bombers struggle with 2nd talls.
0.2u Ladhams 3+ @ $19. SB
like your goalscorer picks.
& if u like Ladhams, i found him on lads for ags too-
1u Ladhams ags @1.87 lads

Also i noticed they have ryder, westhoff and ladhams all in the same team so i guessing that means ladhams plays primarily forward with ryder and westhoff alternating between the ruck and forwardline rests? (i saw westhoff 2g+ is @5, 3g+ @19 on b365 but was trying to decide if that was value or not, depending on who stays forward).
 
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JuniorWatch

All Australian
Jun 13, 2016
867
1,124
AFL Club
Essendon
like your goalscorer picks.
& if u like Ladhams, i found him on lads for ags too-
1u Ladhams ags @1.87 lads

Also i noticed they have ryder, westhoff and ladhams all in the same team so i guessing that means ladhams plays primarily forward with ryder and westhoff alternating between the ruck and forwardline rests? (i saw westhoff 2g+ is @5, 3g+ @19 on b365 but was trying to decide if that was value or not, depending on who stays forward).
talked to some port fans and apparently Hoff plays defence.
 
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