AFL 2019 - AFL Round 21

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targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Mon0704.PNG
 
Feb 23, 2009
32,142
45,745
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
The Carlton +line looks generous given they have been very competitive each week under Teague. Richmond should win but 36.5 point head start looks decent for the Blues.

On paper and recent results, one would think Brisbane beat GC by more than 50 points too if they bother to take it seriously.
 

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maskmcgee

Norm Smith Medallist
Feb 25, 2017
5,527
6,326
The Windy Apple
AFL Club
Essendon
I'd take Dogs to be 10 goals up at half time if it were available, because at whatever 50-1 odds it would be would be value because there's a 50% chance of it happening. Unfortunately, biggest line was -4.5 @ 2.38, better value than the H2H.
 

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targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
2,071
10,297
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Conflicting reports on whether all 3 will play

Combined with the zero degree temps I will hold off until they get named before loading up

3.5 goal line is pretty big in those conditions
Im happy to take some -20.5 ...even if two of the three come back in Its value. GWS will have to win there next 3 to have any hope of a top four double chance.They will be gunning to beat the Hawks and add to there good percentage
 
Dec 2, 2017
29,292
17,860
AFL Club
Collingwood
Im happy to take some -20.5 ...even if two of the three come back in Its value. GWS will have to win there next 3 to have any hope of a top four double chance.They will be gunning to beat the Hawks and add to there good percentage
There is reports they might not risk Cameron and Kelly in the cold temps with there soft tissue injuries

Only thing scaring me from loading up cos I agree it’s way too low
 

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