AFL 2019 - AFL ROUND 22

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Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
12,536
5,064
AFL Club
Collingwood
A lot of value there this weekend

Port, Freo, Swans, Tigers look the best 4

Don’t trust us, whilst we travel well we are missing too much key players

Like brissy but they are overdue for a bad one and think this may be the one
 

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NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,033
950
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
looks like b365 is set to get hammered again this week

Always some value in the GC games.
I'd look for Chad 30+.
Bruest 4+
Poppy and Roughy 3+
25+ @2.25
30+ @5 SB
If you like the Chad ;)
in all seriousness its good value 29 & 27 in his last 2 games.
 
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JuniorWatch

All Australian
Jun 13, 2016
867
1,124
AFL Club
Essendon
looks like b365 is set to get hammered again this week

25+ @2.25
30+ @5 SB
If you like the Chad ;)
in all seriousness its good value 29 & 27 in his last 2 games.
This guy. Bloody loves the Chad.
I'm all over those odds though.
Full time mid. Jaeger or worp should cop the touk tag. Chad pig out time.
 

demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,019
433
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Yeh on Chad for 25 n 30:) What days do SB n b365 release goalkicker markets??? Hmmm yeh Geelong seem to be figuring out lineup.. Blicavs in ruck instead of carrying a big dud around and Narkle in..where has he been all year?? Injured or reserves? Think they'll beat Brissy
 
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JuniorWatch

All Australian
Jun 13, 2016
867
1,124
AFL Club
Essendon
Yeh on Chad for 25 n 30:) What days do SB n b365 release goalkicker markets??? Hmmm yeh Geelong seem to be figuring out lineup.. Blicavs in ruck instead of carrying a big dud around and Narkle in..where has he been all year?? Injured or reserves? Think they'll beat Brissy
SB seem to change it up a bit usually some time on Thursday, some weeks on Wednesdays. B365 will release all Friday and Saturday gs markets an hour or 2 after teams are announced on Thursday afternoon.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,630
971
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Happy days for "late season tea leaf reading / psychological betting" with 4W 0L over the last 2 rounds. Bit disappointed in the Coll vs GC over which hit but was on target for 200+ at one stage. Missed Freo with Lyon and co under the pump.

Lots of stuff happening this week as you would expect.

It makes me sick, but i'm going to back GC. It's the Q Clash and probably the last game for them to put a bit of pride into their season with a competitive effort. They've got Hawks away and then GWS home past this game. They'll be up for the game, my main concern is they're effort is A+ but they get smashed anyway. I'll split some bets on 1st qtr and half time line plus the full game.

Apparently GWS has had a pact to smash Hawks after the debacle earlier on when Hawks smashed them. Could be a bit of a revenge game. Hawks now out of finals contention and travelling to Canberra for a 0 degree night game. Can't imagine they'll have circled this as one of the games they're looking forward to. Perhaps they mail it in this week before next weeks Jarryd Roughead farewell game.

Port in finals contention and should have good momentum from last week and keen to finally string 2 good games together. Sydney have had a torrid time with 2 heart breakers either side of a loss to Geel. They're super consistent normally but they're team is weak. I think they mail it in this week and target Melb next week or StK for their final win for the season.

I like opposing weak teams off a win this time of year so i'll be backing StK. Freo are 4L away vs teams outside the 8 and StK are 7W at home vs teams outside the 8. Freo often mail it in this time of year.

Nothing due to this time of year, but teams often bounce back after 2 shockers in a row so Ess seems to be of interest.

So think a good chance that Hawks, Syd and Freo mail it in and GC brings a bit of heat to the Q Clash.

Forward looking i'm very keen to oppose GC next week. They'll hopefully be coming off a fiesty, competitive derby and they'll be up against the Hawks coming off a couple of losses, plus i'm expecting this to be the Jarryd Roughead farewell game. Motivation wise I expect both teams to be at the opposite ends of the spectrum.
Bit stiff last week. Bris needed 2 goals in 55 seconds to cover the half time line and managed to kick 3 goals. GC gifted 2 goals to Bris via a 50m penalty in the 1st and giving Bris a 2nd goal with 55 seconds to go due to a free kick.

Saints had 2 touched on the line in the last minutes, but Saints for the win got up but the line missed by a couple of points. Freo 100% turned up though.

Got GWS completely wrong with the Hawks embracing the conditions and Clarko putting on a masterclass walking around with no short on.

Bet of the round is Hawks to smash GC. Roughead's final game so expect the Hawks come out pumped while at the end of the spectrum GC are surely deflated after having a crack in the 1st half then a complete capitulation. If they get punished like that in an important game like the derby then there is no hope from them here.

GC last 6 games have seen 3 totals over 200, the Bris game near 200 and the Coll game was on target for 200 at one stage until Coll pulled stumps early. The other game vs Carl saw a total of 174 which is 9 points over the current total. I like the over obviously.

Last chance for Carl to get a win this season so I think they will be super motivated whereas StK have got their last season win vs Freo in a nail biter. I don't think StK were great against a weak Freo team so Carl should get up here at the MCG.

Ess being slaughtered in the press. It's rare to see a team pump out 4 shockers so I expect them to come out strong and I don't think that Freo have the scoring power to cover if the line leaks out to say -18.5.

Just on ratings think Bris should beat Geel. In better form and playing at home.
 
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