AFL 2019 - AFL ROUND 23

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demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,077
479
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Anybody else reckon the AFL is a chance to sabotage the Eagles tonight?

It will make it much easier for them to sabotage Richmond tomorrow to gift Brisbane a top two spot.

0.5U Hawks 40+ @ 36.
0.5U Hawks 40+ into Brisbane SU @ 96.

Call me crazy.
Hoped you back Hawks separate without the 40 plus.... Didn't get why you made it 40 plus over at Perth
 

Red Dog Styles

All Australian
Feb 13, 2017
834
451
Ferntree Gully
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Anybody else reckon the AFL is a chance to sabotage the Eagles tonight?

It will make it much easier for them to sabotage Richmond tomorrow to gift Brisbane a top two spot.

0.5U Hawks 40+ @ 36.
0.5U Hawks 40+ into Brisbane SU @ 96.

Call me crazy.
You're crazy.
Crazy good.

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,238
1,232
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Anybody else reckon the AFL is a chance to sabotage the Eagles tonight?

It will make it much easier for them to sabotage Richmond tomorrow to gift Brisbane a top two spot.

0.5U Hawks 40+ @ 36.
0.5U Hawks 40+ into Brisbane SU @ 96.

Call me crazy.
Ik it didn’t come thru but I won’t ever doubt you again.
 

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mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,254
3,400
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Hoped you back Hawks separate without the 40 plus.... Didn't get why you made it 40 plus over at Perth
Yes but not by enough to make the pain go away.

So close to an 18U win and a 45U option tomorrow.

Now I have to put what I did win (on the Hawks win and the Hawks -15.5) on Brisbane tomorrow.

That way if Brisbane win I won't feel like absolute s**t about what just happened.

And if Brisbane lose then what just happened doesn't really matter so much.

Damn.
 

maskmcgee

Club Legend
Feb 25, 2017
2,891
2,781
The Windy Apple
AFL Club
Essendon
Tgiers and Lions draw Richmond play Geelong at the G, the result Richmond wants the most. They win, they finish 3rd and go up to the Gabba. They lose they finish 5th. They want to get a draw.
 

Resarenco

Team Captain
May 17, 2011
330
27
AFL Club
Essendon
Adelaide have to win by 95 points. Surely Doggies get the job done. If it is close in the last quarter Adelaide will know they are done and that may be enough to get the dogs over the line.
 

GROTTO

Hall of Famer
Jul 5, 2013
40,349
43,076
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Interesting that SB have not put up any markets for Week 1 of the finals.

Previously even when the final 8 has yet to be settled they have been first to place tentative markets up, should the finals games occur as they have forecast. Obviously bets would be voided if they do not turn out that particular way.

Would be interesting to see their opening prices.
 

mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,254
3,400
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Adel beat Dogs 70 to 60 = Doggies % of 106.

Freo score 60, then Port need to score about 120 to go past Dogs in % by my back of the envelope calculations.



So Adel win into Port 60+ @19.50 (SB) seems like the value bet of the round to me.

Need to get SA interested in the finals.

Throw the Rich / Bris draw into the multi to really boost the odds if you are game.

---

.5U Adel into Port 60+ @ 19.5
.2U Adel into Port 60+ into Rich/Bris draw @ 1000

See you all in hell, folks.
 

mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,254
3,400
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Port's biggest scores this year:

Rd 11 vs St. K | 22.7 139
Rd 20 vs Ess | 19.12 126
Rd 21 vs Syd | 15.13 103

Anybody rate them much chance to go past 120 today?

I put a few small bets on TPS Port Freo 180+, 200+ and 220+ earlier in the week.

The odds have come in. Original odds in black, current odds in green.

0.5U >220.5 101 into 23
0.6U >200.5 15 into 6
0.6U >180.5 5 into 2.50

Also have a fair bit riding on 170+ because of the multi with the other games

If Freo lose Walters then I do not see how these spuds kick more than ten goals.

Which means it will all be on Port to get the TPS up into the big boy league.

Can I rely on Port to get the job done for me or is it time to hedge?

Current outcome table for me:

<170 win 0 units
170+ win 25 units
181+ win 28 units
201+ win 37 units
221+ win 87 units
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
1,220
782
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Has anyone tried to get their sportsbet limits increased , maybe contacting SB . My current limit on some sports today.Other sports are a lot smaller limits.

Bulldogs -17.5 1.9 $111.11
Melbourne Storm -23.5 1.9 $55.56

Bontempelli O26.5 p 1.86 $5.81
 

Hellboy101

Debutant
Apr 16, 2008
111
96
Canberra
AFL Club
Melbourne
Port's biggest scores this year:

Rd 11 vs St. K | 22.7 139
Rd 20 vs Ess | 19.12 126
Rd 21 vs Syd | 15.13 103

Anybody rate them much chance to go past 120 today?

I put a few small bets on TPS Port Freo 180+, 200+ and 220+ earlier in the week.

The odds have come in. Original odds in black, current odds in green.

0.5U >220.5 101 into 23
0.6U >200.5 15 into 6
0.6U >180.5 5 into 2.50

Also have a fair bit riding on 170+ because of the multi with the other games

If Freo lose Walters then I do not see how these spuds kick more than ten goals.

Which means it will all be on Port to get the TPS up into the big boy league.

Can I rely on Port to get the job done for me or is it time to hedge?

Current outcome table for me:

<170 win 0 units
170+ win 25 units
181+ win 28 units
201+ win 37 units
221+ win 87 units
I am in the same boat. I have over 160.5 for a big collect. I put money on Port 121+. Still wondering if I need to hedge the total score.
 

mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,254
3,400
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Freo playing a sixth-gamer in the ruck with Sandi and Darcy out.

Lycett / Ryder to rest forward, then Dixon and Marshall as tall options, can Freo cover them all?

Marshall kicked four against Freo last time he played them (2018).

Kicked three and two in the weeks before last round.

.3U each on Marshall 2g (2.25) 3g (5) 4g (13) 5g (41).
 

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