AFL 2019 - AFL ROUND 23

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NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,163
1,141
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Alex Keath listed forward pocket... maybe they are playing me but for fun
FGS @41 TAB
AGS @5 B365
if your really adventurous 2+ @21, 3+ 151 B365
 

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,007
744
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Alex Keath listed forward pocket... maybe they are playing me but for fun
FGS @41 TAB
AGS @5 B365
if your really adventurous 2+ @21, 3+ 151 B365
thats interesting - they had douglas in that position as of yesterday teams.. so got no idea who they really will play fwd in murphys old spot. i would have thought douglas was more a like for like, but keith probably a taller marking player.
 

benji21

Team Captain
Apr 2, 2016
576
305
AFL Club
Fremantle
Adel beat Dogs 70 to 60 = Doggies % of 106.

Freo score 60, then Port need to score about 120 to go past Dogs in % by my back of the envelope calculations.



So Adel win into Port 60+ @19.50 (SB) seems like the value bet of the round to me.

Need to get SA interested in the finals.

Throw the Rich / Bris draw into the multi to really boost the odds if you are game.

---

.5U Adel into Port 60+ @ 19.5
.2U Adel into Port 60+ into Rich/Bris draw @ 1000

See you all in hell, folks.
Don't they need to get past hawks percentage. so need to win by 90 odd?
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,163
1,141
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
thats interesting - they had douglas in that position as of yesterday teams.. so got no idea who they really will play fwd in murphys old spot. i would have thought douglas was more a like for like, but keith probably a taller marking player.
mmm silly silly play by me
 

Browney2006

Premiership Player
Jun 4, 2006
3,313
358
AFL Club
Essendon
TGS going up for port/freo with it now looking like a dead rubber. Up to 170, I got on at 163 and it’s the 3rd leg of my multi, wondering if I should hedge or let it ride.
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,163
1,141
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Port's biggest scores this year:

Rd 11 vs St. K | 22.7 139
Rd 20 vs Ess | 19.12 126
Rd 21 vs Syd | 15.13 103

Anybody rate them much chance to go past 120 today?

I put a few small bets on TPS Port Freo 180+, 200+ and 220+ earlier in the week.

The odds have come in. Original odds in black, current odds in green.

0.5U >220.5 101 into 23
0.6U >200.5 15 into 6
0.6U >180.5 5 into 2.50

Also have a fair bit riding on 170+ because of the multi with the other games

If Freo lose Walters then I do not see how these spuds kick more than ten goals.

Which means it will all be on Port to get the TPS up into the big boy league.

Can I rely on Port to get the job done for me or is it time to hedge?

Current outcome table for me:

<170 win 0 units
170+ win 25 units
181+ win 28 units
201+ win 37 units
221+ win 87 units
TGS going up for port/freo with it now looking like a dead rubber. Up to 170, I got on at 163 and it’s the 3rd leg of my multi, wondering if I should hedge or let it ride.
ride or die, we are in it together here
 

benji21

Team Captain
Apr 2, 2016
576
305
AFL Club
Fremantle
Haven't been watching many Port matches, Boak has pretty juicy odds for 25+ and 30+ disposals? Has he had a positional change lately or tagged or just out of form?
 

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mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,192
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AFL Club
North Melbourne
Haven't been watching many Port matches, Boak has pretty juicy odds for 25+ and 30+ disposals? Has he had a positional change lately or tagged or just out of form?
I don't know but whoever is Port's main centre clearance mid is going to have a field day today.

Lycett/Ryder vs some kid in his sixth match.

I was tempted to get on Boak for 30+ but his recent form spooked me.

So I looked at Port's other mids and they all have a habit of going 28 and 29 touches per game.

This match has punter nightmare written all over it tbh fam.
 

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,007
744
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
McCluggage
yeah boy!
1u Coll, Syd, WB all win @3 lads mega multi promo
0.5u Laverde ags @1.80 lads (covered 5/8)
0.5u Laverde 2g+ @5 sb (covered 3/8)
1u McCluggage ags @2.25 sb (covered 16/20)

1u douglas ags @2 sb. (for the chance he might get some ball in his last crows game)
douglas got fed a shot at goal & missed in last 5 minutes.
 

benji21

Team Captain
Apr 2, 2016
576
305
AFL Club
Fremantle
I don't know but whoever is Port's main centre clearance mid is going to have a field day today.

Lycett/Ryder vs some kid in his sixth match.

I was tempted to get on Boak for 30+ but his recent form spooked me.

So I looked at Port's other mids and they all have a habit of going 28 and 29 touches per game.

This match has punter nightmare written all over it tbh fam.
Tried to find some info on fanfooty, and looks like he was tagged in Syd game and Dons game. Having a few units on him 30+ @2s. Expecting a free flowing high disposal game in general
 

andwhenitcomes

Senior List
May 2, 2018
284
338
AFL Club
Melbourne
Tried to find some info on fanfooty, and looks like he was tagged in Syd game and Dons game. Having a few units on him 30+ @2s. Expecting a free flowing high disposal game in general
Also played largely up forward against the Swans (1 defensive half possession) so if he’s in his mid role he should be sweet.
 

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,007
744
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Fyfe 20+, Lycett 20+, Rozee 2+ = $6.50 SB
like this. tailed 1u
also adding
1u sgm- wines 20+, boak 25+, port win @2.10
1u sgm- wines 20+, rocky 25+, port win @2.10

1u rozee 2g+ @1.91 SB
0.5u rozee 3g+ @4 SB
0.5u rozee 4g+ @10 SB
1u Marshall 2g+ @2.10 SB
0.5u Marshall 3g+ @4.50 SB
0.5u Marshall 4g+ @12 SB
1u matera 2g+@3.75 SB
0.5u matera 3g+@8.50 SB
 
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benji21

Team Captain
Apr 2, 2016
576
305
AFL Club
Fremantle
Junk game for the last game of the round today, anyone got any opinions on how this will go? Do the Power blow them out?
Would like to think high scoring game, port to put some big points on. Port nothing to play for but the fans that show up. Freo with a point to prove to membership fans that they can play aggressive football. But who knows, will be 2 deflated sides. Goal scorers could be the bet, but not really sure who.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,656
989
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Junk game for the last game of the round today, anyone got any opinions on how this will go? Do the Power blow them out?
It's normally good value backing a team after a coach change. However, it's unusual to see this happen for round 23. I think we get full effort from Port coming off a shocker. Personally think an injury weakened Freo might get blown out.
 

mouncey2franklin

Club Legend
Jun 16, 2018
2,192
3,309
AFL Club
North Melbourne
18m left in third. Amon from 48 out, right in front, open play. Behind.
17m left in third. Dixon from 25 out, set shot, slight angle. Behind.
16m left in third. Dixon from 20m out, set shot, slight angle. Goal.
14m left in third. Dixon from 50 in open play, behind.

David Hale playing two men behind the ball.
 

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