AFL 2019 - AFL ROUND 23

[mouncey2franklin]

Thompson 1 mark 1 possie short on the SB promo

I tailed that for half a unit. Spewin.

 

[the_big_sav]

ive had lloyd/buddy 30/3 lloyd get 28
higgins/brown 30/3 brown kick 2.3 (was also on for a handball for that last goal by himself)

im on danger/hawkins and gaff/darling if people want to avoid

 

[RooTed]

#AFL #bettingtips

R23 Saturday

1u #AFLSunsGiants u176.5 $1.90 Unibet

Didn't touch the Swans and Roos games as non-finalsists thought they might blow up. This will be close but should go under. Marked as 148-162 so 2 goal buffer.

GL

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[RooTed]

Like it. Like the Port game as an over. Particularly if the Dogs get up and seal the 8. GL.

170+ still alive.

Syd v Stk | 109 vs 64 = 173
North v Mel | 88 vs 83 = 171
Port vs Freo | ???

We're on here, lads.

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[demon_fanatic]

Looking at radar a fair bit of rain about to hit Geelong .. but game looks pretty free flowing so could still go over 160ish.. edit damn into 152.5 Ned's ,SB 155.5. missed a middle as SB had 161.5 sitting there a while

 

[mookieb]

Thompson 1 mark 1 possie short on the SB promo,lol missed my Syd stk middle 160.5/172.5 by 0.5 ,frikkin buddy junk goal! Also ruined the SB other promo they had at $14 Syd,NM, geel,wc all 1-39 cash back if one leg wrong, Syd were up 39 before the buddy goal lol

I've been waiting all year till round 23 for a game to be windy at Blundstone Arena and when it's windy both teams forget how to play with the wind...

Put a Melb / NM / Melb / NM bet on at $101 hoping that Melb won the toss. Result goes Melb / draw / Melb / NM. Just a lazy 1 point off a miracle.

On the flipside the over squeaks in.

 

[mookieb]

Like it. Like the Port game as an over. Particularly if the Dogs get up and seal the 8. GL.

On the gear using BigFooty.com mobile app

I like it as well.

2 of the 3 games when the coaches were sacked went way over 205 (NM vs WB), 141 (Carl vs Bris) and 205 StK vs WB. I assume players feel a bit more free to take the game on.

 

[Robo87]

Anyone think J Cameron can level with ben brown for goals tonight? will his team feed it to him just to help him win the coleman? GWS cant change their ladder position. He Needs 6 to draw level. Thoughts?
some options- Cameron 5g+ @2.45 lads, 6g+ @3.10 sb.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Brown was suppose to be fed too... $3.10 for 6 is horrible even given the circumstances

 

[mookieb]

lol.

I'm posting a late season psychological betting model from round 19 to 23, hence the disclaimer "Nothing due to this time of year". Same reason why I didn't include the Bris win over Geel, WC line vs NM or Rich line vs Coll which were all wins.

But let's see how we go this week:

2u O154.5 Port vs Freo
2u O163.5 Syd vs StK
1.5u O160.5 Syd vs StK
1u O170.5 NM vs Melb
1u O170.5 GC vs GWS
2u Rich -13.5
1.5u Coll -13.5 TB
1.5u Port -16.5

Feel free for you and Targett to post you're bets up.

Two options for GC. They don't turn up like last 2 round 23 games (both 100 point losses) or they do turn up and GWS win by 7+ goals anyway. Can't see GWS being lethargic given they need to win and they should have sufficient motivation from playing 2 shockers in a row. 6 of the last 8 GC games have been losses by over 42 points including 4 over 69 points. 1u GWS -41.5.

 

[Robo87]

1.5u Finlayson 2g+ & GWS win @2.15 sb (covered 2g+ 11/18. kicked 2.2 last time he played suns.)
0.5u Finlayson 3g+ & GWS win @4.33 sb
0.2u Finlayson 4g+ & GWS win @10.75 sb
0.1u Finlayson 5g+ & GWS win @34 sb

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Anybody else reckon the AFL is a chance to sabotage the Eagles tonight?

It will make it much easier for them to sabotage Richmond tomorrow to gift Brisbane a top two spot.

0.5U Hawks 40+ @ 36.
0.5U Hawks 40+ into Brisbane SU @ 96.

Call me crazy.

 

[freo_leo29]

Anyone think J Cameron can level with ben brown for goals tonight? will his team feed it to him just to help him win the coleman? GWS cant change their ladder position. He Needs 6 to draw level. Thoughts?
some options- Cameron 5g+ @2.45 lads, 6g+ @3.10 sb.

paying 3.50 to win coleman at sportsbet, pretty sure he has more behinds so those are better odds for 6 goals

 

[freo_leo29]

Anybody else reckon the AFL is a chance to sabotage the Eagles tonight?

It will make it much easier for them to sabotage Richmond tomorrow to gift Brisbane a top two spot.

0.5U Hawks 40+ @ 36.
0.5U Hawks 40+ into Brisbane SU @ 96.

Call me crazy.

You're crazy

 

[Robo87]

paying 3.50 to win coleman at sportsbet, pretty sure he has more behinds so those are better odds for 6 goals

ok, yeah it still wasnt worth it. i left Cameron alone.

 

[GROTTO]

paying 3.50 to win coleman at sportsbet, pretty sure he has more behinds so those are better odds for 6 goals

If he kicks only 6 tonight those 3.50 odds for the Coleman are halved, as he will tie with Brown? Correct?

 

[freo_leo29]

If he kicks only 6 tonight those 3.50 odds for the Coleman are halved, as he will tie with Brown? Correct?

hmmm I thought it goes by behinds

 

[GROTTO]

hmmm I thought it goes by behinds

Im not sure. As this been mentioned at all if he kicks only 6 during the telecast ? ?

 

[demon_fanatic]

Lol I don't think behinds would come into it, rewarded for inaccuracies,oooo the feeding has started lol,as much as Brown is a diver I'd love to see him hold on as Cameron has always been hungry and is taking it to a new extreme today..

 

[freo_leo29]

Im not sure. As this been mentioned at all if he kicks only 6 during the telecast ? ?

You could be right, Had a look at list of winners and there have been no ties since 1900, don't know if the rules have changed

 

[freo_leo29]

Lol I don't think behinds would come into it, rewarded for inaccuracies

rewarded for more shots I thought, I heard about that being a rule when Pav nearly tied Hawkins in 2012, I could be wrong though.


At this point I would take halved odds for coleman, had Jezza at $18 preseason

 

[GROTTO]

Lol I don't think behinds would come into it, rewarded for inaccuracies

If anything you should have the medal taken away from you for missing so many more shots at goal. lol

 

[NonPhixion]

Cameron is going to kick at least 8. Calling it right now. His team mates are gifting it to him

 

[GROTTO]

Cameron is going to kick at least 8. Calling it right now. His team mates are gifting it to him

FFS I sat on my arse trying to decide to hit Cameron at 5+ too.

 

[freo_leo29]

Think Dew has money on Ben Brown, Cameron being worn like a glove, 2 players always on him