AFL 2019 - AFL Round 5

Who Covers the Line This Week?


  • Total voters
    36
  • Poll closed .
Sep 4, 2003
13,736
16,664
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Balmain, GreenBay, Edmonton, Celtic
GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Brisbane

$2.45

$2.35

$2.35

$2.40

$2.45

Collingwood

$1.55

$1.55

$1.60

$1.55

$1.56

line:

Coll 9.5

Coll 9.5

Coll 9.5

Coll 9.5

Coll 10.5

total score:



171.5

170.5

169.5

171.5

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North Melbourne

$2.45

$2.35

$2.40

$2.40

$2.5

Essendon

$1.55

$1.55

$1.58

$1.55

$1.52

line:

Ess 10.5

Ess 9.5

Ess 10.5

Ess 10.5

Ess 11.5

total score:



175.5

176.5

174.5

175.5

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West Coast

$1.20

$1.20

$1.22

$1.20

$1.20

Port Adelaide

$4.60

$4.25

$4.30

$4.40

$4.60

line:

WCst 28.5

WCst 28.5

WCst 27.5

WCst 28.5

WCst 29.5

total score:



153.5

155.5

151.5

153.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

G-Western Sydney

$1.14

$1.13

$1.14

$1.13

$1.14

Fremantle

$5.80

$5.40

$5.75

$5.75

$5.75

line:

GWS 34.5

GWS 34.5

GWS 35.5

GWS 34.5

GWS 35.5

total score:



159.5

161.5

159.5

159.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Melbourne

$1.40

$1.38

$1.43

$1.38

$1.36

St. Kilda

$3.00

$2.90

$2.85

$3.00

$3.20

line:

Melb 16.5

Melb 16.5

Melb 16.5

Melb 17.5

Melb 16.5

total score:



167.5

169.5

167.5

168.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Richmond

$1.42

$1.39

$1.43

$1.45

$1.42

Sydney

$2.90

$2.85

$2.85

$2.70

$2.90

line:

Rich 15.5

Rich 15.5

Rich 16.5

Rich 14.5

Rich 16.5

total score:



167.5

170.5

167.5

168.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Western Bulldogs

$1.38

$1.37

$1.40

$1.40

$1.38

Carlton

$3.10

$2.95

$2.95

$2.90

$3.10

line:

WBull 17.5

WBull 17.5

WBull 17.5

WBull 16.5

WBull 18.5

total score:



157.5

159.5

157.5

157.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Adelaide

$1.23

$1.20

$1.20

$1.20

$1.21

Gold Coast

$4.20

$4.25

$4.60

$4.40

$4.50

line:

Adel 28.5

Adel 28.5

Adel 27.5

Adel 28.5

Adel 27.5

total score:



143.5

146.5

144.5

146.5

GameTABSportsbetBetEasyLadbrokesBet365

Hawthorn

$2.85

$3.14

$2.75

$2.90

$2.90

Geelong

$1.43

$1.33

$1.45

$1.40

$1.42

line:

Geel 14.5

Geel 17.5

Geel 15.5

Geel 15.5

Geel 15.5

total score:



164.5

162.5

163.5

163.5

ODDS AT 17.00 ON 15/4/2019
 
Last edited:

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adammania9

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 18, 2013
10,292
21,164
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
University
St Kilda defeated Melbourne at the MCG last season and historically have the Demons on a leash. Despite their win, I think Melbourne were still very underwhelming and this St Kilda side will have a lot of confidence going into the game. Saints to win at $3 (TAB) is nuts I reckon.

Also very confident on Essendon beating North Melbourne. Will definitely back a -11.5 line.
 

pharmafella

Rookie
Oct 21, 2015
23
46
AFL Club
Collingwood
I reckon Sydney are absolutely cooked. I wouldn't back them to beat anybody. I think Richmond at the line of 14.5 is a gift.
In fact Sportsbet has them the third longest odds to make the 8, $5.50, only ahead of Gold Coast and Carlton.
It probably means they’ve priced the game well if we both think there’s value for both teams. I guess our perspectives come from us looking at two different data sets, I’m looking at history to say they normally play well there and you’re looking at this year in a more isolated fashion. The odds for them to miss the 8 are pretty damning but I guess I’m betting on them not being as rubbish as they’ve looked so far, and given the venue and their weakened opposition I think they have more of a chance than their odds suggest this week. Good luck!
 

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,069
824
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Gold Coast +29.5

Adelaide have only scored over 75 once, I don't see how Adelaide could score enough to cover that line.
Agree! Crows averaged approx 110pts per game a couple of years ago but now have had trouble kicking goals every game thus far, their scoring is nothing like it used to be and I cant back crows at a large line until something changes. GC to cover.
 

iluvparis

Hall of Famer
Apr 1, 2005
33,286
25,633
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
I reckon Sydney are absolutely cooked. I wouldn't back them to beat anybody. I think Richmond at the line of 14.5 is a gift.
In fact Sportsbet has them the third longest odds to make the 8, $5.50, only ahead of Gold Coast and Carlton.
Similar thoughts as I stated last week - they look a legit bottom 4 side to me.
 

Dylsbo

Rookie
Sep 3, 2015
43
43
AFL Club
Adelaide
Gold Coast +29.5

Adelaide have only scored over 75 once, I don't see how Adelaide could score enough to cover that line.
Agree! Crows averaged approx 110pts per game a couple of years ago but now have had trouble kicking goals every game thus far, their scoring is nothing like it used to be and I cant back crows at a large line until something changes. GC to cover.

Especially with the BOM forecasting 2-8mm across the morning and afternoon. Some services forecasting as high as 20mm.
I'll be getting on unders and +GC as soon as totals are available.
 

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NonPhixion

Shevchenko's Bullet
Mar 27, 2018
2,585
2,714
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Multi on WC, Giants & Tigers
Boosted to 2.08 with SB. Put it on yesterday so odds have probably shifted a little. I think all 3 are absolute locks. Agree re Sydney. They look like sliding this year, Franklin doesn’t look right to me at all
 

csnody

Team Captain
Jul 10, 2015
326
307
AFL Club
Adelaide
Crows averaging just under 70 points a game. At that line it gives the expected Suns score to be 42.

By my calcs I had the OU at 145.5 but that's without weather.
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
1,234
872
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
No team in the competition is currently averaging 100 points per game for the season (BRIS with 95.3 is currently the highest) First time since 1968 R20 that no team in the comp has averaged 100 points per game
 

mouncey2franklin

Premiership Player
Jun 16, 2018
3,164
4,435
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Forget GC at the line, I'll be going with GC for the win.

Adelaide are horrendous. If I didn't know better I would think the players have already checked out of 2019.

Melbourne seem too short against St Kilda as well.
 

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