The season's been a disaster for both but if they fail this week then it's literally season over.
Melbourne schedule is beneficial they have a 10 day break vs Hawks consecutive 6 day breaks. However, their backline and forward line are both ranked worst for scores I50. Petracca is a late out so the forward line becomes even more impotent. If McDonald doesn't find form (he's been truly awful) then who kicks the goals?
Hawks got killed in clearances last week so Melb's midfield is a concern, but Burgoyne is back and Viney is out so that threat is mitigated somewhat. Howe tags Brayshaw and that leaves Olliver who hasn't been fantastic.
Given Melb have played 1 decent half against a weak team then i'm going to have to back Hawks fielding a far superior team.
Still think the bookies have the Melb lines wrong. They haven't shown anything.
Think NM wins though. Carl losing key personnel tips it in NM's favour. If they can't win today against a weakened Carl then it's a disaster.
Should have left the Hawks game with Melb at max motivation, but Hawks did play pretty flat. Clarko summed it up well - saying both teams didn't play outstanding footy. Terrible scheduling for Hawks vs Melb so if this is Melb at it's peak then their ceiling is still going to be very low.
NM on the other hand came out and smashed it so potential for them to find some form.
Really can't believe i missed the Aaron Francis AGS bet. Fell asleep . Was my fave for the round.
Otherwise i like: T. Kelly 30+poss @ $4 SB (won't be tagged against us) N. Larkey 2+goals @ $4.50 SB (the guy is a goal machine and playing a VFLy looking defence)
3+ @ $11
4 + @ $51 N. Vlaustin U101.5 SC @ $1.87 LB (5/6 under this in 2019) J. Sicily SC Group @ $7.5 LB (Dees love in50's, Siss will drop off some spud... Keilty?) J. Harbrow 25+poss @ $4.20 (Should take K.O's without Hanley)