AFL 2019 - AFL Round 8

[scottyt2]

AFL Fantasy
Ablett 100.5 U
J.Kelly 105.5 O
Houli 82.5 O @6.53 BE

 

[maskmcgee]

Everyone forgot the number 1 rule of betting, never bet against Hawthorn. Sure wished I remembered that.

In related news, I think Tigers at the line are a steal next week.

 

[balmainforever]

Number one rule
Never back freo when favs against a good team(even with injuries)

 

[scottyt2]

Everyone forgot the number 1 rule of betting, never bet against Hawthorn. Sure wished I remembered that.

In related news, I think Tigers at the line are a steal next week.

Think the Hawks are value myself. Tigs have beaten Melb, Syd, Port and Frem in the last month, all average/rubbish sides. And still missing Riewoldt, Cotchin, Rance, possibly Nank and Vlastuin as well. Hawks will be full strength bar Mitchell if Wingard, Smith return.

 

[Ohh Ok]

AFL Record 2019
100-105
+37.655

2.5u Adelaide -4.5 $1.90 (UBET)

3u Essendon SU, Lloyd 25+ $1.85 (lads)
2u Jones over 94.5 fantasy $2.25 (BE)
2u Fantasia, Hayward AGS $1.88 (SB)
0.5u Hayward 2+ goals $3.10 (SB)
0.5u Fantasia 2+ goals $2.37 (SB)

0.25u SB SGM $88
Essendon SU
Jones over 25.5
Lloyd over 30.5
Merrett over 29.5
Hayward 2+ goals
Fantasia 2+ goals

3u Collingwood SU, Thomas 20+, Pendlebury 25+ $1.88 (SB)
2u Collingwood SU, Phillips 25+, WHE AGS $2.76 (lads)
1u Treloar over 117.5 fantasy $1.80 (BE)
1.5u De Goey over 86.5 fantasy $1.88 (BE)

1u Brisbane SU $2.22 (365)
0.5u Dunkley most disposals group B $5 (TAB)
1u Dunkley more disposals than McCluggage $2.10 (365)
1.5u Dunkley 25+ $1.72 (SB)

1u Sexton 2+ goals $1.86 (lads)

2.5u Melb SU, Collingwood over 15.5 $1.81 (Topsport)

2u D.Swallow over 23.5 disposals $1.93 (TopSport)

3u Sexton AGS, Jones 20+, Miller 20+ $2.25 (SB)

3u WCE SU $1.77 (365)
4u Ross under 28.5 disposals $1.80 (PB)
2.5u Shuey over 25.5 disposals $1.87 (lads)

3u Willem Drew 20+ disposals $1.91 (SB)
1u Willem Drew 25+ disposals $6.50 (SB)

2u Z.Williams over 87.5 fantasy $1.88 (BE)
3u Z.Williams 25+, Worpel 20+, Shiels 20+ $2.25 (SB)
0.5u Williams 30+, Worpel 25+, Shiels 25+, Taranto 25+, Kelly 25+ $22 (SB)

2u Cameron most goals $2.25 (TopSport)
2u GWS -6.5 $2 (Topsport)
2u O’Meara Under 27.5 $1.87 (lads)
1u McEvoy AGS $1.87 (lads)
1u Lewis AGS $1.85 (lads)

3u Langdon 25+, Fyfe 25+ $1.87 (lads)
2.5u either team under 24.5 $1.79 (topsport)
2u Tabener AGS, Matera AGS $1.87 (lads)

AFL 2019 record
115-124
+31.96 units

-5.695 for the round. Williams bets were the burners, really expected him to comfortably clear 25+ disposals and top his fantasy line, unfortunately didnt happen. Took a bunch of kick ins that he didn't play on for which would've made the difference for a positive weekend. Alex Sexton held to his first goalless game for the year, and got the Ross bet wrong expecting a hard tag from Hutchings.

 

[chrisdon16]

R8: 6-5 +0.34u
YTD: 16-18 -4.77u
O/A: 322-250 +41.6u

Tough this season!

 

[iluvparis]

Think the Hawks are value myself. Tigs have beaten Melb, Syd, Port and Frem in the last month, all average/rubbish sides. And still missing Riewoldt, Cotchin, Rance, possibly Nank and Vlastuin as well. Hawks will be full strength bar Mitchell if Wingard, Smith return.

The same Melbourne Hawthown couldn't beat?

 

[chrisdon16]

There's literally no value in any game this season. Any team can beat any team.

 

[iluvparis]

There's literally no value in any game this season. Any team can beat any team.

Then surely every outsider is value

 

[chrisdon16]

Then surely every outsider is value

Have a crack and find out.

 

[iluvparis]

Have a crack and find out.

Someone was posting the record in the first 4-5 weeks - it was a great money earner - sadly I didn't participate.

 

[iluvparis]

Standard 5-4 for consensus ATS this week (42-30 overall)

 

[NonPhixion]

Just think the line is too far apart especially in Melbourne. MCG is a huge query too personally. Good luck though hope you win mate.

I should have listened to you. Got burnt for 2u. I just can’t work out why GWS play so poorly at the G. Thought this was the game where they would put that to bed and stamp there credentials. They have probably the most talent, but I now can’t back them against anyone at the G. Hawks are still a bottom 8 team imo.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

I should have listened to you. Got burnt for 2u. I just can’t work out why GWS play so poorly at the G. Thought this was the game where they would put that to bed and stamp there credentials. They have probably the most talent, but I now can’t back them against anyone at the G. Hawks are still a bottom 8 team imo.

If the game was anywhere else I’d have been on your side. Had a decent collect- went more at the line but took a lazy $20 on the Hawks to win outright (multied it into Souths in the rugby league)

 

[Hu$tler]

Tim ******* Kelly $$$ 2 at qtr time and he finishes with 36 lol

Harsh weekend though, could have won a lot more. How Hurn didn't get 30 touches after his start....

 

[LukeParkerno1]

How Hurn didn't get 30 touches after his start....

Don't remind me, followed you on that one, an ugly watch!