AFL 2019 Brownlow Medal (after the result bets will get a ban)

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NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,238
1,232
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Petracca to poll a vote @3.75 B365
Stats aren’t huge but thought he was top 3 on the ground against the Pies Rd 21
 

BOOYAH1987

Draftee
Sep 9, 2019
12
2
AFL Club
Essendon
A lot of my profits brownlow night hinge on Fyfe coming Top 3. Put a lot of bets on this throughout the season @ $2-$2.50 thinking it was a good value / safe bet.

Last 2 rounds of the year have made this a bit more interesting with danger,bont and neale all having big games...

Will be surprised if Fyfe isnt Top 4. Fingers crossed top 3. $2.20 Fyfe to place still seems good value to me.

Theres a few games of his that will be pivitol how he polls in freos losses. Recall Fre v Hawks in tassie Fyfe could get 1 vote or 3 votes. will come down to umps opinion.
He should get 3 that game.. Basically got them back in the game on his own boot in a matter of 5 mins!
 

mitchzz

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 4, 2007
7,395
1,550
AFL Club
West Coast
Other Teams
Golden State Warriors
What are people’s thoughts on Gaff most WC votes? Historically he polls well and Shuey doesn’t.

Got a multi of him/Sloane/Pendles most team votes.
I've got Gaff in one of my multis. Statistically his season has been amazing and he's been a good poller in pervious years. I also think his style of play attracts the votes (think the long gut runs in the fourth quarter to get open on the wing when everyone else is gassed). Also, excluding that one moment last year... it would appear he's a very fair player, doesn't talk back or anything like that.

In general though, I'll be sticking clear of the Eagles and won't have them in anymore of my multis. Shuey is my predicted leader but that could just be supporter bias knowing that he has much more effect on the game than say a Gaff. Yeo could easily come out on top too - though I worry he doesn't win enough of the ball. He definitely stands out though and is an absolute bull out there. Finally there's Sheed. I don't think he'll poll as much as others have him polling - he's pretty vanilla out there at times but has had some pretty good games this season and is an amazing field kick. So you never know...

TLDR - Gaff is probably worth a look but wouldn't be using him in too many bets.
 

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Sizzler79

Draftee
Sep 14, 2019
11
4
AFL Club
North Melbourne
The more I look into the Brownlow Medal of 2019.
The more I like Josh Dunkley from the Western Bulldogs.
I think the current odds of $51 for the win and $13.50 for the place is way overs on TAB Fixed, he should be the same odds as Lachie Neale $5 a win $2 a place.
Josh Dunkley could easily poll in 14 matches and they are the following rounds:
Rounds 7,8,10,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,22,23
Now obviously all those won't be 3 vote matches but lets say he gets five 3 vote matches, five 2 vote matches and four 1 vote matches that is 29 votes and that's easily enough to win it this year. Regardless if he does poll in 14 matches with different votes he has to be on at least 25 if the umpires saw his influence which they should have.
He is also $9 to poll most Bulldogs votes.
I do think he is value and if he polls a vote in Round 3, well look out.
He will start his run from Round 7.
My Brownlow Top 3
1st J.Dunkley (WB)
Equal 2nd P.Dangerfield (Gee) & L.Neale (Bris).
Brownlow Medal is on Monday September 23rd Live on channel 7.
 

jack 23

Team Captain
Apr 22, 2017
576
259
AFL Club
Geelong
The more I look into the Brownlow Medal of 2019.
The more I like Josh Dunkley from the Western Bulldogs.
I think the current odds of $51 for the win and $13.50 for the place is way overs on TAB Fixed, he should be the same odds as Lachie Neale $5 a win $2 a place.
Josh Dunkley could easily poll in 14 matches and they are the following rounds:
Rounds 7,8,10,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,22,23
Now obviously all those won't be 3 vote matches but lets say he gets five 3 vote matches, five 2 vote matches and four 1 vote matches that is 29 votes and that's easily enough to win it this year. Regardless if he does poll in 14 matches with different votes he has to be on at least 25 if the umpires saw his influence which they should have.
He is also $9 to poll most Bulldogs votes.
I do think he is value and if he polls a vote in Round 3, well look out.
He will start his run from Round 7.
My Brownlow Top 3
1st J.Dunkley (WB)
Equal 2nd P.Dangerfield (Gee) & L.Neale (Bris).
Brownlow Medal is on Monday September 23rd Live on channel 7.
could make same argument for treloar or macrae

lot of hypotheticals there tho
 

FrankGrimes

All Australian
Jan 11, 2009
641
269
yeah nar
AFL Club
Essendon
The more I look into the Brownlow Medal of 2019.
The more I like Josh Dunkley from the Western Bulldogs.
I think the current odds of $51 for the win and $13.50 for the place is way overs on TAB Fixed, he should be the same odds as Lachie Neale $5 a win $2 a place.
Josh Dunkley could easily poll in 14 matches and they are the following rounds:
Rounds 7,8,10,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,22,23
Now obviously all those won't be 3 vote matches but lets say he gets five 3 vote matches, five 2 vote matches and four 1 vote matches that is 29 votes and that's easily enough to win it this year. Regardless if he does poll in 14 matches with different votes he has to be on at least 25 if the umpires saw his influence which they should have.
He is also $9 to poll most Bulldogs votes.
I do think he is value and if he polls a vote in Round 3, well look out.
He will start his run from Round 7.
My Brownlow Top 3
1st J.Dunkley (WB)
Equal 2nd P.Dangerfield (Gee) & L.Neale (Bris).
Brownlow Medal is on Monday September 23rd Live on channel 7.
I liked your thoughts but Round 10 only 29 in a loss, Round 11 they lost by 10 goals, Round 12 was a bye?, round 18 lost by 27 to St. Kilda and other rounds only got 28/29.. the unknown is how he votes with his fist real breakout year, odds seem about right.
 

Sizzler79

Draftee
Sep 14, 2019
11
4
AFL Club
North Melbourne
I liked your thoughts but Round 10 only 29 in a loss, Round 11 they lost by 10 goals, Round 12 was a bye?, round 18 lost by 27 to St. Kilda and other rounds only got 28/29.. the unknown is how he votes with his fist real breakout year, odds seem about right.
Meant 13 not 12
 

Sausage Legs

Team Captain
Sep 17, 2014
500
418
AFL Club
West Coast
The more I look into the Brownlow Medal of 2019.
The more I like Josh Dunkley from the Western Bulldogs.
I think the current odds of $51 for the win and $13.50 for the place is way overs on TAB Fixed, he should be the same odds as Lachie Neale $5 a win $2 a place.
Josh Dunkley could easily poll in 14 matches and they are the following rounds:
Rounds 7,8,10,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,22,23
Now obviously all those won't be 3 vote matches but lets say he gets five 3 vote matches, five 2 vote matches and four 1 vote matches that is 29 votes and that's easily enough to win it this year. Regardless if he does poll in 14 matches with different votes he has to be on at least 25 if the umpires saw his influence which they should have.
He is also $9 to poll most Bulldogs votes.
I do think he is value and if he polls a vote in Round 3, well look out.
He will start his run from Round 7.
My Brownlow Top 3
1st J.Dunkley (WB)
Equal 2nd P.Dangerfield (Gee) & L.Neale (Bris).
Brownlow Medal is on Monday September 23rd Live on channel 7.
If ya not takin the piss ya can get 8.50 to poll 22+ on beteasy
 

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
337
225
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
BF averages vs SB groups

GroupPlayerOddsVotes
Tim Kelly
2.25​
21.5​
Brodie Grundy
3.00​
20.75​
Jack Macrae
5.00​
19.75​
Group AAdam Treloar
4.50​
18.875​
Zach Merrett
26.00​
17​
Scott Pendlebury
14.00​
16.5​
Josh Dunkley
10.00​
16​
Stephen Coniglio
67.00​
14.5​

GroupPlayerOddsVotes
Travis Boak
2.00​
17.25​
Shaun Higgins
6.00​
17.25​
Dayne Zorko
9.00​
15.25​
Group BMax Gawn
5.00​
15​
James Worpel
11.00​
13.75​
Jeremy Cameron
15.00​
13​
Ben Cunnington
8.00​
12.5​
Andrew Gaff
8.00​
12.33​

GroupPlayerOddsVotes
Luke Shuey
2.50​
16​
Michael Walters
6.50​
14.25​
Elliot Yeo
5.00​
13.75​
Dom Sheed
9.00​
13.75​
Group CMatt Crouch
11.00​
13​
Josh Kelly
17.00​
12.66​
Luke Parker
11.00​
11.75​
Lachie Whitfield
4.00​
9.66​

GroupPlayerOddsVotes
Brad Crouch
4.00​
14.33​
Jack Billings
3.50​
13.75​
Jarryd Lyons
5.50​
11.5​
Group DDion Prestia
5.50​
11.375​
Ben Brown
11.00​
10.66​
James Sicily
13.00​
9.33​
Dylan Shiel
4.50​
9​
Clayton Oliver
7.00​
7.75​
 
Last edited:

Lewis#3

Senior List
Aug 30, 2008
232
154
Wodonga
AFL Club
West Coast
The more I look into the Brownlow Medal of 2019.
The more I like Josh Dunkley from the Western Bulldogs.
I think the current odds of $51 for the win and $13.50 for the place is way overs on TAB Fixed, he should be the same odds as Lachie Neale $5 a win $2 a place.
Josh Dunkley could easily poll in 14 matches and they are the following rounds:
Rounds 7,8,10,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,22,23
Now obviously all those won't be 3 vote matches but lets say he gets five 3 vote matches, five 2 vote matches and four 1 vote matches that is 29 votes and that's easily enough to win it this year. Regardless if he does poll in 14 matches with different votes he has to be on at least 25 if the umpires saw his influence which they should have.
He is also $9 to poll most Bulldogs votes.
I do think he is value and if he polls a vote in Round 3, well look out.
He will start his run from Round 7.
My Brownlow Top 3
1st J.Dunkley (WB)
Equal 2nd P.Dangerfield (Gee) & L.Neale (Bris).
Brownlow Medal is on Monday September 23rd Live on channel 7.
Usually takes a year for someone to get noticed a bit but did have some huge games were he should clearly get the 3 votes. Plus I think it might be very hard for him to get votes in round 12 when the bulldogs had the bye.
 

Sizzler79

Draftee
Sep 14, 2019
11
4
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Usually takes a year for someone to get noticed a bit but did have some huge games were he should clearly get the 3 votes. Plus I think it might be very hard for him to get votes in round 12 when the bulldogs had the bye.
Like I said to another person i meant 13 not 12
 

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