AFL 2019 Brownlow Medal

mitchzz

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 4, 2007
7,391
1,543
AFL Club
West Coast
Other Teams
Golden State Warriors
Have gone through my count a few times since the end of season and probably overthought things a bit too much... But oh well. This is what I got.

FINAL COUNT:

29: Dangerfield
26: Fyfe
25: Neale
24: Bontempelli, Martin
22: T. Kelly
21: Macrae
20: Grundy, Pendlebury, Cripps, Merrett
19: Higgins
17: Gawn
16: Dunkley, Boak, Coniglio, Shuey
15: Gaff, Treloar
14: Walters, Billings

TEAMS:

Adelaide:
13: B. Crouch
11: M. Crouch
9: Sloane

Brisbane:
25: Neale
Zorko: 12 (hoping this is an underpoll based on another bet I've placed!)
Lyons: 12
Cameron: 11

Carlton:
20: Cripps
9: M. Murphy
5: Curnow

Collingwood:
20: Grundy, Pendles
15: Treloar
9: Sidebottom

Essendon:
20: Merrett
7: Tippa
6: Shiel, Heppell

Freo:
26: Fyfe
14: Walters
9: Mundy

Geelong:
29: Dangerfield
22: Kelly
13: Ablett
10: Duncan

GC:
5: Fiorini
4: Swallow
3: Harbrow, Miller

GWS:
16: Coniglio
13: J. Kelly
11: J. Cameron, Taranto
10: Whitfield

Hawks:
13: Worpel
11: Sicily
8: O'Meara, Shiels
7: Henderson

Melbourne:
17: Gawn
6: McDonald
5: Oliver, Harmes

North:
19: Higgins
11: Cunnington
10: Brown
9: Ziebell

Port:
16: Boak
9: Rockliff
8: Wines, Gray
7: Scotty 2 Hotty

Richmond:
24: Martin
10: Prestia
9: Houli

St Kilda:
14: Billings
8: Ross, Gresham

Sydney:
11: Parker
7: Heeney
6: JPK
5: Papley

WC:
16: Shuey
15: Gaff
11: Yeo (could easily win for us but lol)
9: Sheed

Bulldogs:
24: Bont
21: Macrae
16: Dunkley
7: Hunter
 

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demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,058
469
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Have gone through my count a few times since the end of season and probably overthought things a bit too much... But oh well. This is what I got.

FINAL COUNT:

29: Dangerfield
26: Fyfe
25: Neale
24: Bontempelli, Martin
22: T. Kelly
21: Macrae
20: Grundy, Pendlebury, Cripps, Merrett
19: Higgins
17: Gawn
16: Dunkley, Boak, Coniglio, Shuey
15: Gaff, Treloar
14: Walters, Billings

TEAMS:

Adelaide:
13: B. Crouch
11: M. Crouch
9: Sloane

Brisbane:
25: Neale
Zorko: 12 (hoping this is an underpoll based on another bet I've placed!)
Lyons: 12
Cameron: 11

Carlton:
20: Cripps
9: M. Murphy
5: Curnow

Collingwood:
20: Grundy, Pendles
15: Treloar
9: Sidebottom

Essendon:
20: Merrett
7: Tippa
6: Shiel, Heppell

Freo:
26: Fyfe
14: Walters
9: Mundy

Geelong:
29: Dangerfield
22: Kelly
13: Ablett
10: Duncan

GC:
5: Fiorini
4: Swallow
3: Harbrow, Miller

GWS:
16: Coniglio
13: J. Kelly
11: J. Cameron, Taranto
10: Whitfield

Hawks:
13: Worpel
11: Sicily
8: O'Meara, Shiels
7: Henderson

Melbourne:
17: Gawn
6: McDonald
5: Oliver, Harmes

North:
19: Higgins
11: Cunnington
10: Brown
9: Ziebell

Port:
16: Boak
9: Rockliff
8: Wines, Gray
7: Scotty 2 Hotty

Richmond:
24: Martin
10: Prestia
9: Houli

St Kilda:
14: Billings
8: Ross, Gresham

Sydney:
11: Parker
7: Heeney
6: JPK
5: Papley

WC:
16: Shuey
15: Gaff
11: Yeo (could easily win for us but lol)
9: Sheed

Bulldogs:
24: Bont
21: Macrae
16: Dunkley
7: Hunter
Higgins really looks good most have him fair way ahead of cunnington..got him $2
 

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
306
161
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Took Higgins most team votes into Worpel most team votes on SB $3.66 power played.

Like that a lot, as mentioned before lots of counts have Higgins around 16-19 don’t think cunners polls that much, and Worpel had an excellent end to the season and is the same price at the Bont to poll the most votes in the last 8 rounds on SB
 

burge13

Team Captain
Jan 25, 2019
497
705
AFL Club
Adelaide
Sportsbet are offering really, really s**tty odds on this pick your odds market

Danger 25
Fyfe 20
Treloar 15

$2.04? It's still s**t really I guess. Treloar the worry I think
 

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
306
161
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Sportsbet are offering really, really s**tty odds on this pick your odds market

Danger 25
Fyfe 20
Treloar 15

$2.04? It's still s**t really I guess. Treloar the worry I think
Odds were a lot better when the market was first released yesterday morning. The multi Sausage Legs posted prior is into $3.76 now from $7.38 when originally posted
 

burge13

Team Captain
Jan 25, 2019
497
705
AFL Club
Adelaide
Danger and Fyfe the worries too.

And those who take those odds are more worrying.
Yeah I'm not betting that just the 'best' I could come up with when I looked at it

I profit about 4u if Danger, Fyfe or Bont win so that's my action for the night (Given this, everyone is safe should they bet on Neale)
 
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jack 23

Team Captain
Apr 22, 2017
516
223
AFL Club
Geelong
I like the value in the Beteasy rounds 9-15 most votes markets.

J Kell should win it at $4.25, but given how close it will be (assume 9-11 votes will win it) L Parker, Merrett and others look good value to throw a few bucks on as well.

who do you guys think is best bet here.
 

NonPhixion

Club Legend
Mar 27, 2018
1,163
1,141
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
anyone else tried to request a 'bet on tap' with sportsbet. I've tried 3 times now, they must not want to take it for whatever reason
 

jack 23

Team Captain
Apr 22, 2017
516
223
AFL Club
Geelong
I like the value in the Beteasy rounds 9-15 most votes markets.

J Kell should win it at $4.25, but given how close it will be (assume 9-11 votes will win it) L Parker, Merrett and others look good value to throw a few bucks on as well.

who do you guys think is best bet here.
Dusty had a solid stint here too $6.50
 

demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,058
469
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Danger and Fyfe the worries too.

And those who take those odds are more worrying.
hahaha i am a worry then i put $100 on fyfe 20 plus i consider it free money pretty much at $1.23 or whatever i got, he has had 5-6 definite best ons in their wins and then was also heroic in a few losses especially the saints won late year and i think vs Hawks he did pretty well when swung forward should snag votes there too... worst case underpoll i think he gets like 22
 

X_box_X

King of September
Mar 15, 2001
19,637
4,925
DogLands
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
Other Teams
Chelsea
hahaha i am a worry then i put $100 on fyfe 20 plus i consider it free money pretty much at $1.23 or whatever i got, he has had 5-6 definite best ons in their wins and then was also heroic in a few losses especially the saints won late year and i think vs Hawks he did pretty well when swung forward should snag votes there too... worst case underpoll i think he gets like 22
Nothing wrong with that. Totally different bet.
 

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
306
161
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Quite a few counts posted on here from users so I decided to combine them and average them out (the 4 counts posted within the last 5 pages)

Will be having a good look on this market based on the ‘BF Average Vote Count’

Brownlow Group B (SB) - Averages from the counts posted in brackets

Travis Boak $2.00 (17.25)
Shaun Higgins $7.00 (17.25)
Dayne Zorko $9.00 (15.25)
Max Gawn $5.00 (15.00)
James Worpel $11.00 (13.75)
Jeremy Cameron $15.00 (13.00)
Ben Cunnington $8.00 (12.50)
Andrew Gaff $7.00 (12.30)

Small play on Higgins doesn’t look too bad
 
Last edited:

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
306
161
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
If anyone is interested in what the full 'BF Average Count' looks like (based on seppos, sausage legs, TJM, mitchzzz counts) I will post it below. Note that some counts were more extensive than others (i.e very low vote players) that weren't in other counts. So for that reason I have removed the low vote players who only appeared in one count because it wouldn't be much of an average otherwise.

LEADERBOARD
Nat Fyfe 27.00
Patrick Dangerfield 26.75
Lachie Neale 24.75
Marcus Bontempelli 24.50
Dustin Martin 22.75
Tim Kelly 21.5
Patrick Cripps, Brodie Grundy 20.75
Jack Macrae 19.75
Adam Treloar 18.875
Shaun Higgins, Travis Boak 17.25
Zach Merrett 17.00
Scott Pendlebury 16.50
Luke Shuey, Josh Dunkley 16.00
Dayne Zorko 15.25
Max Gawn 15.00
Brad Crouch 14.33
Michael Walters 14.25
Dom Sheed 13.75
Matt Crouch, Jeremy Cameron 13.00
Luke Parker 11.75

TEAMS:

ADEL
Brad Crouch 14.33
Matt Crouch 13.00
Rory Sloane 8.66

BRIS:
Lachie Neale 24.75
Dayne Zorko 15.25
Jarryd Lyons 11.50
Charlie Cameron 10.50

CARL:
Patrick Cripps 20.75
Marc Murphy 8.66
Ed Curnow 6.25

COLL:
Brodie Grundy 20.75
Adam Treloar 18.875
Scott Pendlebury 16.50
Steele Sidebottom 7.50

ESS:
Zach Merrett 17.00
Dylan Shiel 9.00
Tippa 7.00
Heppell 6.50

FRE:
Nat Fyfe 27.00
Michael Walters 14.25
David Mundy 9.00

GOLD COAST:
David Swallow 6.66
Brayden Fiorini 6.125
Jarrod Witts 5.00
Touk Miller 3.50
Jarrod Harbrow 3.00

GEEL:
Patrick Dangerfield 26.75
Tim Kelly 21.50
Gary Ablett 11.50
Mitch Duncan 11.00

GWS:
Stephen Coniglio 14.50
Tim Taranto 13.25
Jeremy Cameron 13.00
Josh Kelly 12.66
Lachie Whitfield 9.66

HAW:
James Worpel 13.75
Jaeger O'Meara 10.00
James Sicily 9.33
Ricky Henderson 7.50
Liam Shiels 7.00

MELB:
Max Gawn: 15.00
Clayton Oliver: 7.75
Tom McDonald: 6.00
James Harmes: 4.00

NM:
Shaun Higgins 17.25
Ben Cunnington 12.50
Ben Brown 10.66
Jack Ziebell 9.50

PORT:
Travis Boak 17.25
Tom Rockliff 10.00
Robbie Gray 9.25
Ollie Wines 8.00

RICH:
Dustin Martin 22.75
Dion Prestia 11.375
Bachar Houli 9.33
Tom Lynch 8.00

STK:
Jack Billings 13.75
Seb Ross 9.50
Jade Gresham 8.00

SYD:
Luke Parker 11.75
JPK 7.66
Jake Lloyd 7.66
Isaac Heeney 7.00
Tom Papley 6.00

WB:
Marcus Bontempelli 24.50
Jack Macrae 19.75
Josh Dunkley 16.00
Lachie Hunter 6.50

WCE
Luke Shuey 16.00
Dom Sheed 13.75
Elliot Yeo 13.75
Andrew Gaff 12.33
 
Last edited:

demon_fanatic

Club Legend
May 8, 2006
2,058
469
bayswater
AFL Club
Melbourne
Quite a few counts posted on here from users so I decided to combine them and average them out (the 4 counts posted within the last 5 pages)

Will be having a good look on this market based on the ‘BF Average Vote Count’

Brownlow Group B (SB) - Averages from the counts posted in brackets

Travis Boak $2.00 (17.25)
Shaun Higgins $7.00 (17.25)
Dayne Zorko $9.00 (15.25)
Max Gawn $5.00 (15.00)
James Worpel $11.00 (13.75)
Jeremy Cameron $15.00 (13.00)
Ben Cunnington $8.00 (12.50)
Andrew Gaff $7.00 (12.30)

Small play on Higgins doesn’t look too bad
Quite a few counts posted on here from users so I decided to combine them and average them out (the 4 counts posted within the last 5 pages)

Will be having a good look on this market based on the ‘BF Average Vote Count’

Brownlow Group B (SB) - Averages from the counts posted in brackets

Travis Boak $2.00 (17.25)
Shaun Higgins $7.00 (17.25)
Dayne Zorko $9.00 (15.25)
Max Gawn $5.00 (15.00)
James Worpel $11.00 (13.75)
Jeremy Cameron $15.00 (13.00)
Ben Cunnington $8.00 (12.50)
Andrew Gaff $7.00 (12.30)

Small play on Higgins doesn’t look too bad
The betfair predictor also has Higgins about 5 up on Cunnington,can still find $1.80 some places I think!I've taken the $7 at sportsbet and he's also in a slightly more inferior group at crown for $5
 

Leeroy Brown 15

Team Captain
Aug 8, 2010
306
161
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
The betfair predictor also has Higgins about 5 up on Cunnington,can still find $1.80 some places I think!I've taken the $7 at sportsbet and he's also in a slightly more inferior group at crown for $5
What are your thoughts on the Melbourne votes? BF has Gawn nearly double Oliver and you can get Gawn most Melbourne votes on SB at $1.45. The betfair predictor is the only count I've seen thus far that has Oliver edging it out over Gawn.
 

stuziman

Club Legend
Apr 19, 2009
1,143
69
Brisbane
AFL Club
Melbourne
What are your thoughts on the Melbourne votes? BF has Gawn nearly double Oliver and you can get Gawn most Melbourne votes on SB at $1.45. The betfair predictor is the only count I've seen thus far that has Oliver edging it out over Gawn.
Gawn bound to get some love after ruck man under polling media attention, one to avoid for sure.
 

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