AFL 2019 Brownlow Medal (after the result bets will get a ban)

[adammania9]

My count

27 N Fyfe
25 M Bomtempelli, P Dangerfield
23 L Neale
22 T Kelly, P Cripps
20 T Boak, D Martin
19 A Treloar
17 S Higgins
16 S Coniglio, Z Merrett, L Parker, J Billings, L Shuey, D Zorko

Adelaide
12 R Sloane, M Crouch
9 B Crouch
6 E Betts, R Laird

Brisbane Lions
23 L Neale
16 D Zorko
13 J Lyons

Carlton
22 P Cripps
7 M Murphy
6 E Curnow
4 S Walsh

Collingwood
19 A Treloar
14 B Grundy, S Pendlebury
11 S Sidebottom

Essendon
16 Z Merrett
11 D Shiel
7 D Heppell
6 A McDonald-Tipungwuti

Fremantle
27 N Fyfe
14 M Walters
9 D Mundy
6 B Hill

Geelong
25 P Dangerfield
22 T Kelly
12 M Duncan
9 G Ablett

Gold Coast
5 D Swallow, B Fiorini
4 T Miller
3 J Harbrow

GWS Giants
16 S Coniglio
14 J Kelly
12 L Whitfield
10 J Cameron, T Taranto
9 T Greene

Hawthorn
13 J O'Meara
11 J Worpel
9 R Henderson, J Sicily

Melbourne
11 C Oliver, M Gawn
6 T McDonald

North Melbourne
17 S Higgins
12 B Cunnington
8 J Ziebell
6 B Brown

Port Adelaide
20 T Boak
10 R Gray
9 T Rockliff
5 C Rozee

Richmond
20 D Martin
9 B Houli
8 T Lynch
7 K Lambert
6 T Cotchin, D Prestia

St Kilda
16 J Billings
10 S Ross
8 J Gresham
6 R Marshall

Sydney Swans
16 L Parker
6 I Heneey
5 T Papley, J Kennedy

West Coast
16 L Shuey
14 E Yeo
12 A Gaff, D Sheed
6 J Darling

Western Bulldogs
25 M Bontempelli
14 J Macrae
12 J Dunkley
6 L Hunter

 

[HTPunter]

Going to keep a keen eye on the 3 vote market for the ANZAC day eve game - Vlastuin surely a chance along with Prestia, expect Prestia to start favourite being a mid but Vlastuin's game was fantastic and so I think he may be a value pick there (although depends how heavily they rate Prestia as the favourite).

 

[2121]

My Top 5
Fyfe 25
Treloar & Neale 23
Kelly & Danger 21
Martin 20

 

[HTPunter]

Have tried to polish off my count so far

Fyfe 28
Cripps 27
T.Kelly 26
Neale 24
Shuey 23
Bontempelli 22
Treloar, Dangerfield 21
Merrett, Boak, D.Martin, Prestia 20
Sheed 18
Zorko, Higgins 15
B.Crouch, Duncan, J.Kelly, Cunnington, Billings 14

Team leaders not in the top 20 include
Swallow 7 from Fiorini 5
O'Meara and Worpel 11 from Sicily 9
Gawn 8 from Harmes 7, McDonald 6
Parker 10 from Papley and Heeney 7

Cameron (11) and Whitfield (10) in distance of J.Kelly (14) and Coniglio (12), pending injuries.

Early comparisons to other counts is potentially overrating Cripps and Kelly. For Cripps I gave:
3 - Gold Coast (L) Western Bulldogs, Collingwood (L), Brisbane, Sydney, Adelaide
2 - Richmond round 1 (L), Sydney round 3 (L), Hawthorn (L), St Kilda (L)
1 - Port (L)

 

[HTPunter]

Based on my count so far I like for most team votes
Shuey $2.50
Sicily $2.50, Worpel $3
Swallow $2.25
T.Kelly $2
J.Kelly $5, J.Cameron $21
Treloar $1.55
B.Crouch $1.70

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Dangerfield has come into equal favourite with Fyfe at TAB @ 3.00
Crazy scenes

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[X_box_X]

Dangerfield has come into equal favourite with Fyfe at TAB @ 3.00
Crazy scenes

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

Yep, was always gonna happen after he was BOG at training yesterday morning.

 

[NonPhixion]

Have tried to polish off my count so far

Fyfe 28
Cripps 27
T.Kelly 26
Neale 24
Shuey 23
Bontempelli 22
Treloar, Dangerfield 21
Merrett, Boak, D.Martin, Prestia 20
Sheed 18
Zorko, Higgins 15
B.Crouch, Duncan, J.Kelly, Cunnington, Billings 14

Team leaders not in the top 20 include
Swallow 7 from Fiorini 5
O'Meara and Worpel 11 from Sicily 9
Gawn 8 from Harmes 7, McDonald 6
Parker 10 from Papley and Heeney 7

Cameron (11) and Whitfield (10) in distance of J.Kelly (14) and Coniglio (12), pending injuries.

Early comparisons to other counts is potentially overrating Cripps and Kelly. For Cripps I gave:
3 - Gold Coast (L) Western Bulldogs, Collingwood (L), Brisbane, Sydney, Adelaide
2 - Richmond round 1 (L), Sydney round 3 (L), Hawthorn (L), St Kilda (L)
1 - Port (L)

Nice.
Cripps is definitely getting 3 in that Collingwood game. Odds could be quite lucrative too

 

[jack 23]

Nice.
Cripps is definitely getting 3 in that Collingwood game. Odds could be quite lucrative too

You have definitely been generous for Kelly. He will be stuck on 18-22 votes

 

[jack 23]

Nice.
Cripps is definitely getting 3 in that Collingwood game. Odds could be quite lucrative too

between him and 3 others. wouldnt be so sure ??

 

[alhay6]

Have tried to polish off my count so far

Fyfe 28
Cripps 27
T.Kelly 26
Neale 24
Shuey 23
Bontempelli 22
Treloar, Dangerfield 21
Merrett, Boak, D.Martin, Prestia 20
Sheed 18
Zorko, Higgins 15
B.Crouch, Duncan, J.Kelly, Cunnington, Billings 14

Team leaders not in the top 20 include
Swallow 7 from Fiorini 5
O'Meara and Worpel 11 from Sicily 9
Gawn 8 from Harmes 7, McDonald 6
Parker 10 from Papley and Heeney 7

Cameron (11) and Whitfield (10) in distance of J.Kelly (14) and Coniglio (12), pending injuries.

Early comparisons to other counts is potentially overrating Cripps and Kelly. For Cripps I gave:
3 - Gold Coast (L) Western Bulldogs, Collingwood (L), Brisbane, Sydney, Adelaide
2 - Richmond round 1 (L), Sydney round 3 (L), Hawthorn (L), St Kilda (L)
1 - Port (L)

personally can't see cripps getting 3 against sydney - thought newman, walsh and murphy could contest him

 

[NonPhixion]

between him and 3 others. wouldnt be so sure ??

Nah. Watching the game live, Cripps legit dominated. Single Handily nearly won them the game. Pulled our midfields pants down. Grundy, Phillips & Treloars stats look good on paper, but Cripps far and away had the biggest impact on the game. I think Paris & Adam will agree with me here.

 

[X_box_X]

I think Paris & Adam will agree with me here.

It only matters if Jeff, John and Craig agree with you.

 

[jack 23]

ok i see he got 10 coach votes. maybe the uncertainty will add to his value.

 

[NonPhixion]

It only matters if Jeff, John and Craig agree with you.

Insightful information. Thanks, I’ll keep your opinions in mind in the future

 

[NonPhixion]

ok i see he got 10 coach votes. maybe the uncertainty will add to his value.

100% there will be value. 1 of the bets I’m waiting for most tbh

 

[X_box_X]

Insightful information. Thanks, I’ll keep your opinions in mind in the future

My opinions? It's a fact.

 

[NonPhixion]

My opinions? It's a fact.

You can bookmark this for Brownlow night when Cripps gets 3 votes Round 8 if you like. If you disagree with my ‘opinions’ please tell me who you think will get 3, otherwise you add nothing to this discussion other than trying to be funny. You do that, but I’m here to post +EV bets

 

[the egg]

I put 1k on treloar to place at 13s a month ago on tab. its into 5s now. praying he polls. hes a butcher but so is tom mitchell who won last yr and polled over 20 the year before. yes mitchell was getting 50 some games but treloar has had a lot of 35+ and a couple close to 40.

Pendles has been down apart from his start and sidearse has been playing out of position most of the yr. Grundy will poll big but hopefully those 2 share them.

* me. get there son!

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

ROUND 21

GWS v HAW
3 J Worpel (Haw)
2 J Sicily (Haw)
1 T Greene (GWS)

COLL v MELB
3 S Sidebottom (Coll)
2 S Pendlebury (Coll)
1 A Brayshaw (Melb)

PA v SYD
3 C Rozee (PA)
2 D Byrne-Jones (PA)
1 O Wines (PA)

BRIS v GC
3 C Cameron (Bris)
2 D Zorko (Bris)
1 1 J Lyons (Bris)

GEEL v NM
3 P Dangerfield (Geel)
2 Q Narkle (Geel)
1 M Duncan (Geel)

WB v ESS
3 J Macrae (WB)
2 J Dunkley (WB)
1 T Maclean (WB)

ST K v FREO
3 N Fyfe (Freo)
2 J Steven (St K)
1 D Hannebery (St K)

RICH v CARL
3 J Graham (Rich)
2 D Prestia (Rich)
1 P Cripps (Carl)

WC v ADEL
3 M Crouch (Adel)
2 E Yeo (WC)
1 D Fogarty (Adel)


LEADERBOARD

30 N Fyfe (Freo)
25 M Bontempelli (WB)
22 T Kelly (Geel), B Grundy (Coll)
21 L Neale (Bris), P Cripps (Carl)
20 P Dangerfield (Geel)

 

[akaufma]

Bontempelli @$7 to lead after round 5 on Sportsbet looks like good value. Have him equal first after 5 rounds.

 

[demon_fanatic]

ROUND 21

GWS v HAW
3 J Worpel (Haw)
2 J Sicily (Haw)
1 T Greene (GWS)

COLL v MELB
3 S Sidebottom (Coll)
2 S Pendlebury (Coll)
1 A Brayshaw (Melb)

PA v SYD
3 C Rozee (PA)
2 D Byrne-Jones (PA)
1 O Wines (PA)

BRIS v GC
3 C Cameron (Bris)
2 D Zorko (Bris)
1 1 J Lyons (Bris)

GEEL v NM
3 P Dangerfield (Geel)
2 Q Narkle (Geel)
1 M Duncan (Geel)

WB v ESS
3 J Macrae (WB)
2 J Dunkley (WB)
1 T Maclean (WB)

ST K v FREO
3 N Fyfe (Freo)
2 J Steven (St K)
1 D Hannebery (St K)

RICH v CARL
3 J Graham (Rich)
2 D Prestia (Rich)
1 P Cripps (Carl)

WC v ADEL
3 M Crouch (Adel)
2 E Yeo (WC)
1 D Fogarty (Adel)


LEADERBOARD

30 N Fyfe (Freo)
25 M Bontempelli (WB)
22 T Kelly (Geel), B Grundy (Coll)
21 L Neale (Bris), P Cripps (Carl)
20 P Dangerfield (Geel)

Hope your kind of accurate my best returns are on a fyfe or bont win

 

[X_box_X]

Daniel Gorringe is a weird unit. Why is he backing Callan Ward on Betfair to win the Brownlow?

 

[jack 23]

Daniel Gorringe is a weird unit. Why is he backing Callan Ward on Betfair to win the Brownlow?

Never heard of her

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

UBet has Zorko at 13s to win Brisbane votes. I have him 3 behind Neale. Today's game crucial.