- Joined
- Jul 27, 2014
- Posts
- 4,215
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- AFL Club
- St Kilda
Here are the maths.
I’ve thrown in Hately as well.
Jye Caldwell #11 (2018), points = 1,329
Aiden Bonar #11 (2017), points = 1,329
Jackson Hately #14, (2018), points = 1,161
Assumed:
Pick #5 (2019), points = 1,878, St Kilda
Pick #16 (2019), points = 1,067, GWS (as a FYI)
Pick #23 (2020), points = 815, St Kilda
Pick #34 (2020), points = 542, GWS
Provided there is not someone they absolutely want at #5, or they reap some benefit by gaining an Academy gun at a cheaper pick (#16), why would GWS do this deal?
Simply on a points basis:
Caldwell & Bonar = 2,658 or
Caldwell & Hately = 2,490
Both 600-800 more than the value of our pick #5.
Even if we add in our 2020 Future 2nd to close the deal, or a 2020 Future 2nd swap, it still means we’re about line ball points wise.
So what incentive is there for GWS to agree?
I just cannot see this deal happening.
Disclaimer: GWS’d agree if either, both or all of Caldwell/Bonar/Hately are duds.
PS: I don’t have an issue with chasing Caldwell given we were prepared to offer Adelaide our 2019 1st last year in order to get him. So clearly we rate him.
Think Gold Coast will have more picks coming
Jack Martin will probably net them a pick from AFL for one
Will be interesting to see if they want more experienced players instead of draft picks.






