Prediction 2019 Ladder Predictions + 2020 Ladder early Predictions ( Page 115+ )

[Call Me Cake]

My prediction before the season is so far coming okay. I was able to foresee almost all of the teams featuring in the current top 8 (and bottom 8), with the 1 exception being Brisbane instead of Port. I think I am the one of the few posters who has had only 1 team wrong so far (if we're talking predictions before the season).

In terms of positioning, my top 2 is looking pretty solid.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2019-ladder-predictions.1202007/page-74#post-59819413

 

[dean33]

My prediction before the season is so far coming okay. I was able to foresee almost all of the teams featuring in the current top 8 (and bottom 8), with the 1 exception being Brisbane instead of Port. I think I am the one of the few posters who has had only 1 team wrong so far (if we're talking predictions before the season).

In terms of positioning, my top 2 is looking pretty solid.

https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2019-ladder-predictions.1202007/page-74#post-59819413

View attachment 719146

Fair effort. Kudos for picking Melbourne to miss the 8 when everyone else had them top 4. Also surprised you had cats so high pre season. That’s the closest to the pin I’ve come across.

 

[Final Siren]

Fair effort. Kudos for picking Melbourne to miss the 8 when everyone else had them top 4. Also surprised you had cats so high pre season. That’s the closest to the pin I’ve come across.

It's the ladder I've seen with the lowest Mean Squared Error, which means it has few big misses. But only one team is in the exact right spot (at the moment), and 13 are out by at least two rungs. So it has quite a lot of small mistakes. Here on Squiggle's Rate My Ladder.

 

[Call Me Cake]

It's the ladder I've seen with the lowest Mean Squared Error, which means it has few big misses. But only one team is in the exact right spot (at the moment), and 13 are out by at least two rungs. So it has quite a lot of small mistakes. Here on Squiggle's Rate My Ladder.

Hahah Suns were always a shoe-in for 18th so that one was easy

 

[Call Me Cake]

Fair effort. Kudos for picking Melbourne to miss the 8 when everyone else had them top 4. Also surprised you had cats so high pre season. That’s the closest to the pin I’ve come across.

My positioning is way off (I mean, Ess at 4th? Ha!), but in terms of top 8 I could have never, ever seen Brissy making it or being that high. Literally goes to show that a surprise packet is always going to come out of nowhere every season... which is pretty unique to our league in a sense.

Adelaide have disappointed me. Probably shouldn't have been so harsh on the Pies. Had a weird inkling that Richmond weren't going to be as great as they used to be but they've definitely surprised me.

Did not fall for the Melbourne hype but man I couldn't have imagined they'd be this shithouse.

 

[Macpotata]

My positioning is way off (I mean, Ess at 4th? Ha!), but in terms of top 8 I could have never, ever seen Brissy making it or being that high. Literally goes to show that a surprise packet is always going to come out of nowhere every season... which is pretty unique to our league in a sense.

Adelaide have disappointed me. Probably shouldn't have been so harsh on the Pies. Had a weird inkling that Richmond weren't going to be as great as they used to be but they've definitely surprised me.

Did not fall for the Melbourne hype but man I couldn't have imagined they'd be this s**thouse.

Many actually had the Lions in the 8.

 

[Call Me Cake]

Many actually had the Lions in the 8.

Maybe. But Top 4 talk would have qualified you for a mental health examination at the time.

 

[zacaxel1975]

Could the top 4 all finish with the same number of wins, has that ever happened before?
Unlikely I know but would reflect a very even year and wouldn’t be surprised if any of them plus potentially GWS won the flag this year.

 

[Cuzz09]

Could the top 4 all finish with the same number of wins, has that ever happened before?
Unlikely I know but would reflect a very even year and wouldn’t be surprised if any of them plus potentially GWS won the flag this year.

Maybe the top 5 could?

On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Handsuper47]

Richmond making top 4 is really not that big a stretch. I redid the ladder predictor and had them finishing 3rd. Their run home is:

GWS - difficult, but should be winnable
Port - difficult, but should win this one
Collingwood - difficult, probably lose
Melbourne - easy win
Carlton - easy win
West Coast - difficult, but winnable
Brisbane - difficult, but winnable

So not the easiest run home, but could realistically finish 7-0 since they were gifted the dream run of not leaving the MCG for the remainder of the year. Unless they get unlucky with where they finish, they will not play away from the MCG a single more time this year.

Looking back on this little block now, might be safe to say the toughest three games are right at the end of it

 

[JackFlash]

Cats WILL miss the top 4...

 

[Jafa]

Cats WILL miss the top 4...

Nah. They won’t. They might not finish first though.

 

[JackFlash]

Nah. They won’t. They might not finish first though.

They are the worst top team in history....

 

[kaiserchief13]

Geelong have 2 games in Geelong to come so unless they lose both they will make top 4 due to %

 

[dean33]

If tigers can win the next 2 away games against saints at docklands and suns on the Gold Coast, we then don’t leave the G for the last 7 games while getting back pretty much everyone besides rance*.

Never know, could get on a bit of a run the tigers, we won our last 9 games in 2014 to make the 8 from an impossible position of 3-10. We are a much better side now, we win our last 9 and we just might sneak into 4th and play the cats in another qualifying final.

Us Richmond supporters need to have more faith... like me

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

I made a thing to score the accuracy of ladder predictions:

https://squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladder/

For example, taking the very first ladder prediction in this thread, and assuming the ladder doesn't change from here...



View attachment 713461

Which is actually a pretty decent prediction.

Please have a play with it, if you like, and let me know of any bugs! You can do previous years, too.

65.8 : Brisbane (predicted 15th) and Melbourne (predicetd 6th) killed me. Geelong, Sydney and Adelaide a fair way off too.
https://squiggle.com.au/rate-my-ladder/?q=2019nqadekigjpmrlfboch

edit: part way through a round is probably not the ideal time, will revisit after the final round but I'm guessing no major changes from here on.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

My earliest prediction, right after round 1

 

[Handsuper47]

Even though one round has passed, think I'll take a stab at it

1. Richmond
2. Giants
3. Fremantle
4. West Coast
5. Brisbane
6. Collingwood
7. Hawthorn
8. Geelong
--
9. Sydney
10. Melbourne
11. Adelaide
12. Western Bulldogs
13. Port Adelaide
14. Carlton
15. North Melbourne
16. St Kilda
17. Gold Coast
18. Essendon

I've had a look at it a few times, and I really feel the top 13 could go anywhere.

Guess since we're sharing, this was my attempt after round one

 

[HTT]

Guess since we're sharing, this was my attempt after round one

You just quoted yourself

 

[Handsuper47]

You just quoted yourself

I... know? :/ That was my prediction earlier in the year, why not quote it?

 

[HTT]

I... know? :/ That was my prediction earlier in the year, why not quote it?

My apologies, I misread it, thought you said “Guess we’re sharing”

 

[JackFlash]

Geelong have 2 games in Geelong to come so unless they lose both they will make top 4 due to %

Cats % took a battering in Perth and are quite likely to be humliated by Brisbane at the Gabba which could see the Lions over take them % wise by round 22...

 

[BrainOfMorbius]

The Lions would need to beat the Cats by 88 points at this stage to overcome their percentage, but there are a few games to go yet and their percentages may well converge more in that time.

 

[kaiserchief13]

Cats % took a battering in Perth and are quite likely to be humliated by Brisbane at the Gabba which could see the Lions over take them % wise by round 22...

Unlikely though

 

[Cuzz09]

Still reckon Cats finish top.

Us or Bris 2nd.

Rich 4th.

GWS 5th

Coll 6th

Ess 7th

Adel or Port 8th

On SM-G925I using BigFooty.com mobile app