Richmond - Will be tough to beat again. The failure of 2018 will drive them.
Adelaide - No preseason camp to derail their season this time around. Tough to beat in Adelaide.
Melbourne - Genuinely good team. They will come close to winning the flag.
Essendon - They will play most of the year like they did the second half of 2018.
Collingwood - With a tougher draw, they will slide a little bit. Still thereabouts.
West Coast - Teams around us have improved this trade period whilst we did not. Tough to beat in Perth.
Hawthorn - Like Collingwood, a tougher draw means they will finish a little lower than the previous year.
Fremantle - My finals bolter this year. They addressed their needs during trade period. Also tough to beat in Perth.
GWS - Unlucky to miss out, but they have lost a bit of talent this past trade period.
North Melbourne - A season similar to 2018. Will beat a few finals bound teams, but will lose one or two to average teams.
Sydney - Will spend a season or two outside the top 8 before challenging again.
Brisbane - An eight to ten win season. Will beat a few top 8 teams. They will play finals next year.
Bulldogs - Similar to Brisbane. An eight to ten win season with finals the next year.
Geelong - Average team with an average coach. Unlucky not to finish higher.
Port Adelaide - Probably have them too low but I reckon they'll be playing heaps of kids this season.
Saints - Another horrid year, Richardson sacked at the end of the year.
Carlton - They will rue trading their first round pick to Adelaide. Bolton sacked at the end of the year.
Gold Coast - In no mans land right now. Also blooding heaps of kids who will take a few seasons to mature.
Yeah it’s impossible to know but it’s far more likely that positions 5-6 to 11-12 will be neck nd neck around 11 to 13 games . It’s becoming more and more likely that you need 13 wins to make the 8 now or 12 and a massive percentage
Better list than North is debatable.
North’s midfield is superior, especially with the new additions in the offseason
North’s defence and forward line also stack up well against Essendon’s.
Scored more and conceded less.
Time will tell.
*I don't consider 'organic improvement' (or decline) as it very rarely actually eventuates as much or as quickly as expected (e.g. Hawks, Swans and/ or Cats were supposed to fall off the cliff last year, while Saints, Blues and Lions were apparently ready to make a charge). Every club has great yoof burning up the track. In this case I have made only one exception for Brisbane and raised them up a couple of spots based on the improvement they actually DEMONSTRATED in the second half of season 2018.
I’d be staggered if hawks finished top 4 again let alone 2nd. Melbourne to miss finals? They should comfortably be top4 next year. For mine the best 4 teams in the comp will be fighting it out for the flag, tigers, eagles, Melbourne, pies.
Port Adelaide 11/11/44/100.0%
North Melbourne 10/12/40/96.0%
Western Bulldogs 9/13/36/94.1%
St Kilda 3/19/12/72.9%
Gold Coast 1/21/4/66.7%