AFL 2020 AFL Round 1

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Sep 4, 2003
15,242
18,146
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Balmain, GreenBay, Edmonton, Celtic
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Richmond$1.30$1.30$1.30$1.30$1.33
Carlton$3.60$3.55$3.40$3.50$3.35
line:Rich 20.5Rich 20.5Rich 19.5Rich 19.5
total score:140.5
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Western Bulldogs$2.00$1.95$2.08$2.05$2.00
Collingwood$1.80$1.85$1.75$1.75$1.82
line:Coll 2.5Coll 1.5Coll 1.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Essendon$1.50$1.45$1.48$1.42$1.48
Fremantle$2.60$2.75$2.69$2.80$2.65
line:Ess 14.5Ess 15.5Ess 13.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Adelaide$1.75$1.70$1.68$1.70$1.70
Sydney$2.10$2.15$2.15$2.10$2.18
line:Adel 5.5Adel 6.5Adel 5.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
G-Western Sydney$1.60$1.55$1.67$1.52$1.60
Geelong$2.35$2.45$2.35$2.50$2.35
line:GWS 9.5GWS 10.5GWS 8.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Gold Coast$2.60$2.75$2.65$2.75$2.65
Port Adelaide$1.50$1.45$1.46$1.45$1.48
line:PAdel 13.5PAdel 15.5PAdel 13.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
North Melbourne$2.00$2.00$2.00$2.00$2.02
St Kilda$1.80$1.80$1.80$1.80$1.80
line:StK 2.5StK 2.5StK 2.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
Hawthorn$2.05$2.05$2.08$2.50$2.05
Brisbane$1.77$1.75$1.75$1.75$1.78
line:Bris 3.5Bris 4.5Bris 3.5
total score:
GameTABBetEasySportsbetLadbrokesBet365
West Coast$1.34$1.30$1.34$1.33$1.33
Melbourne$3.30$3.50$3.18$3.30$3.35
line:WCst 19.5WCst 20.5WCst 19.5
total score:
ODDS AT 21.15 ON 10/3/2020
 
Last edited:

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squeaky1000

Senior List
Apr 30, 2018
208
278
AFL Club
Hawthorn
GWS -7.5
This is free money, they are purring and the Cats are a mess at the moment.
Saints -2.5
Have shown a bit over the pre season, expecting them to rise this year while North will struggle, Brown in serious doubt as well

Expect both of these lines to blow out closer to round 1 so jumping on now
 

iluvparis

Hall of Famer
Apr 1, 2005
34,911
27,492
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Calgary Flames, Man Utd
How are the cats a mess without the season even starting? They get written off every year. People on this board last year were talking them up as starting 0-4 at this time.
 

squeaky1000

Senior List
Apr 30, 2018
208
278
AFL Club
Hawthorn
How are the cats a mess without the season even starting? They get written off every year. People on this board last year were talking them up as starting 0-4 at this time.
Can't speak for others but first year I've ever written them off. Expecting them to be fighting it out for the last spot or two in the 8 but against the Giants rd 1 I think they will get blown out of the water. Selwood in doubt, Duncan likely misses, time has finally caught up with Gazza, Hawkins will get sat on and the rest of the forward line is dysfunctional at best
Personally reckon Giants will win by 40+
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,946
1,314
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Looks like a good betting round:

5u GWS -5.5, 2u Ade -6.5 and 1u Melb +27.5.

Looking at Ess -14.5, StK -2.5, Hawks +1.5.

Would have liked Carl at +26.5 but with no Curnow or McKay I think they're too weak up front.

WB have come in alot. I don't think they're the better team until I see more of WB so i'll leave that game alone.

GC tend to start strong and Port tend to thrash weaker teams so a bit of a conundrum. GC +18.5 would have been the go when Dixon and Ryder got injured but gone now.

After last years round 1 debacle i'm looking closely at preparations - Ess, Freo, NM, Geel, Carl, Syd have had some injury concerns or limited preps so looking to fade these teams where possible.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,694
4,587
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
GWS -7.5
This is free money, they are purring and the Cats are a mess at the moment.
Saints -2.5
Have shown a bit over the pre season, expecting them to rise this year while North will struggle, Brown in serious doubt as well

Expect both of these lines to blow out closer to round 1 so jumping on now
Agree completely.
Especially GWS. They have a pretty healthy list right now, and I expect them to crush Geelong at home. Personally just can’t see where Geelong will improve, think they are much more likely to slide/stagnate. In a similar fashion to Sydney.
-7.5 is juicy. Probably look at 40+ too
 

srobbo

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 31, 2012
29,964
18,509
patterson lakes
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Boston Celtics
I'm biased, but does anyone else think north are a decent bet at even money? Not over rating the Kangas but I feel like they've got the saints covered on every line?
Not without BBB I don’t. Too reliant on him for a score & means Larkey gets sat on by Carlisle or Howard.

Saints started well last year & from what I’ve seen in pre season (as much as I take with a grain of salt) are healthier & look sharper.

I’ll be taking the $1.80
 

srobbo

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 31, 2012
29,964
18,509
patterson lakes
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Boston Celtics
Thinking the Crows are a good thing $1.65 at home against the swans.

Swans are bottom 6 material for me & with their two best fwds out/hindered in bud/heeney can’t see them getting a win here.
 

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anabac

All Australian
Feb 21, 2011
743
400
banana boat
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Not without BBB I don’t. Too reliant on him for a score & means Larkey gets sat on by Carlisle or Howard.

Saints started well last year & from what I’ve seen in pre season (as much as I take with a grain of salt) are healthier & look sharper.

I’ll be taking the $1.80
Fair enough. Thinking it's probably a match to stay out of now. Too many unknowns and no value either way. $1.80 is too short for the saints against nearly anyone in my opinion
 

Minidisc MD

Cancelled
Nov 29, 2019
432
579
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
I'm biased, but does anyone else think north are a decent bet at even money? Not over rating the Kangas but I feel like they've got the saints covered on every line?
Yeah I just see them being a much better side, there's some sort of rhetoric about the Saints improving noticeably... but why? Bradley Hill is a great get and shouldve won about 4 b&fs at Freo, but they havent brought anyone strong in and their drafting has been uninspired. The Kangaroos wont have that new coach wonderment but ask me who's sneaking into the eight and it ain't the Saints.

in terms of other non-favourites, Freo will be pretty poor this season but so too the Bombers, but can see the chip-chip-counter-attack of Justin Longmuir working alright against Essendon. it works better on broader, spacier grounds though and skills are always rickety in round one.

Bullies - Pies will be a great game. when you look at Hawks-Lions being 1.95 v 1.85, the Doggies being out 50 cents is a bit of a scratcher. Collingwood aren't an especially potent team early on at Etihad either.

Richmond being like 4 bucks to flog Carlton by 40+ more is a bit rough. the mechanical reigning premier v a hopeless bottom three side is easily a six goal different. Carlton's biggest recruit is a cooked small forward and Mitch McGovern is their messiah for goals. guy is a second tall at most, if Rance was still playing it would be embarrassing for him. chuck in Dusty getting 30 plus (who is seriously going to stop him?), baby face and Jack Riewoldt to kick one each, and it's a $6 gimme.
 

Jammer

Team Captain
Jun 26, 2007
569
405
St Kilda
AFL Club
Adelaide
1/2 UNIT Demons +25.5 Pointsbet $1.90

Plenty of unknowns in this game.

Coasters have been ordinary in pre season..... ( could just click into gear for the real stuff? )
Melbourne have been pretty good pre season..... ( form could be flattering? )
No crowd in the West has got to negate a fair slice of home ground advantage.....

I dont like Eagles backline nor their lack of small forwards
Happy to take the start for half stakes on Melbourne
 

Sausage Legs

All Australian
Sep 17, 2014
752
685
AFL Club
West Coast
Completed ur homework for yas if we go ahead. Basically same game multis any time goal snaggers.
Note, have not looked at weather.

Rich v Carl
Castagna, Lambert, Gibbons $5. Add Rioli if greedy and get $7.75. (I like 2 player multis and rotate em).

Dogs v Coll
Bont, Mihocek, Bailey Dale 3.25. Also like dogs at line or even to win here.

Ess v Freo
Devon Smith, Laverde, Schultz $5.50

Crows v Schwans
Lachlan Murphy, Hayward, Blakey 4 bucks.

GWS v Cats
Zac Langdon, Josh Kelly, Gryan Miers 7.50. reckon this game has value. Can rotate players with Daniel Lloyd or Conigs too.
Langdon for 2 snags is 6.50 by itself which also looks good to me.

GC v Port Pear
Darcy McPherson, Rozee, Duursma 4.33. Not real confident here. Reckon this game could be close tho, wish Sexton was playing. Knows where the sticks are.

Kangs v Saints
Lonie, Thomas, Garner 5 clammys.

Hawks v Bris
Timmy O'Brien, McLuggage and Rayner, chuck in Lachie Neale to get 30 possys multid at 6 bucks. Be betting on Lach to get 35 and even 40 when it pops up cos Alistair Clarkson could not give a rats how many times he gets it, should rack em.

Mighty Eags v Melb
Petrucelli, Waterman and some spud from Dees, surely they get 1. 4 bucks.

The 10.61 multi everyones talkin about. Lachie Neale 30+, Zac Langdon sausage, Gryan Miers sausage, Jack Lonie sausage, Castagna sausage.

I generally only multi 2 together but added extras cos yolo. Lets eat.
 
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maskmcgee

Premiership Player
Feb 25, 2017
3,048
3,025
The Windy Apple
AFL Club
Essendon
Thinking the Crows are a good thing $1.65 at home against the swans.

Swans are bottom 6 material for me & with their two best fwds out/hindered in bud/heeney can’t see them getting a win here.
Complete opposite. Swans are miles better than Adelaide. Crows are a rabble. Swans free money.
 

NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,694
4,587
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
I don't mind Carlton at $4 and the dogs, especially if Treloar misses
McKay, Curnow & Betts all ruled out for Rd 1. I’m optimistic about Carlton this year, but can’t see them kicking a winning score
 
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