AFL 2020 AFL Round 1

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GROTTO

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Jul 5, 2013
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Glory be, whichever side of tonights line you were on, that was a massive ride in the last 2 minutes. :drunk:
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,748
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Been wrestling with this, I think no crowds or sure increases scoring. But considering scoring generally increases as teams get tired, would 16 minute quarters mean the pressure remains for a higher percentage of the game? Cant figure out which has a bigger effect
Looked like quick ball movement through the middle was the strategy + umpires paid alot of free kicks inside 50. If tomorrow nights game confirms i'll jump on the overs.
 

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demon_fanatic

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May 8, 2006
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Looked like quick ball movement through the middle was the strategy + umpires paid alot of free kicks inside 50. If tomorrow nights game confirms i'll jump on the overs.
Yeh tommorow match looks dead even so I doubt it's a shootout,bookies have already moved it up to 148-149 from 144/145 due to tonight though,I've just taken the 146 spread at $10 a point on pointsbet as that'll be 152 tommorow once they wake and change it so there's some value there, I'll settle for a 160 type score😁 not many will go 180 like tonight though
 

demon_fanatic

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May 8, 2006
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bayswater
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Melbourne
Pays to be awake late lol I hope a few hit,b365 have maybe overreacted to tonight's 180 and pumped up their match totals by 8-10! Can middle at tab $1.90 ess freo 145.5-152.5 (144.5 at Ned's) ,Ade Syd 142.5-148.5, GWS Geelong 146.5-154.5, GcPort 141.5-150.5 (140.5 sbet),Haw Bris 147.5-154.5, WC Melb 146.5-153.5, $100 ew is only a $9 risk Per match with a potential $181 profit if one lands, if none of the 6 matches don't land in middle you only lose $54 , be stiff for all 6 to miss considering the gaps are 7 points or more apart from Ade Syd which is a goal gap😉Can also take a 146 spread on wb pies at pb (it's up to 156.6 Ned's)n 147 ess freo if you are confident in the b365 move of these matches being pushed up to 156.5 dogs pies at Ned's n 153.5 Ade syd b365fixed.
 
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ash_1050

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Nov 21, 2009
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Essendon
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Could be the easiest 3.45 odds in history.
Depends on weather or not port decide to show up.
I reckon Gold Coast will at least nab a quarter and possibly the win. Not much value in pre-season form but they did a number on the depleted Geelong side.
 

NonPhixion

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Mar 27, 2018
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Total has been bumped to 158.5 on B365 for tonights game.
Totals are not my area of expertise, but this seems like an over-adjustment based on last night?
In the two games last year, the total was 142 & 155, I can see it being a similar, dour sort of affair.
 

maskmcgee

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Feb 25, 2017
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I reckon Gold Coast will at least nab a quarter and possibly the win. Not much value in pre-season form but they did a number on the depleted Geelong side.
Those aren't quarter lines though they're break lines. 50% chance Port leads by 30 at quarter time and the bet's basically won. Power only need to win one quarter.
 
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