AFL 2020 AFL Round 1

[54Dogs]

Those aren't quarter lines though they're break lines. 50% chance Port leads by 30 at quarter time and the bet's basically won. Power only need to win one quarter.

Can I have $1.91 GC +29.5 at QT with you?

 

[Bontempele]

Couple goalscorers I like tonight:

Cavarra ATS $2.45 b365, 2+ $7 BE
Josh Thomas ATS $2.33 b365, 2+ $5 b365

 

[karaoke]

Suckling AGS - $2.75 Unibet (10/19 in '19)

 

[balmainforever]

Even with the shortened game time, over 154.5 looks good tonight.

Roof open or closed??

 

[Windy At Moorabbin]

Jack Lonie kicked 4 goals in each of St.Kilda's Preseason games.

$3.20 for 2+ goals sb
$8.50 for 3+ goals sb
$31 for 4+ goals sb

 

[Ohh Ok]

Over 4 units profit last night to start off the season.

Going with two plays on tonight’s game

Tri-bet either team under 24.5 points $1.69 (BetEasy) - 3 units

Typically a close match between these two sides. Shortened quarters leaving less room for blowout. Odds aren’t great but I think Ladbrokes are closer to the mark with their price.

Adams, Dunkley, Macrae 20+ $2 (SB) - 2.5 units

Think this is great value, all should spent enough time around the ball to hit this mark. Main worry is Adams pulling up early.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Few more things from the bombers game i like.
McGrath 25+ @ $4 TAB (gonna play more mid and loves a pointless handball)
Townsend AGS $1.91 B365
Snelling AGS $2.40 B365
2+ $7.50 SB
3 + $31 SB

 

[JuniorWatch]

Couple goalscorers I like tonight:

Cavarra ATS $2.45 b365, 2+ $7 BE
Josh Thomas ATS $2.33 b365, 2+ $5 b365

Cavarra $2.75 at UB. Boost to $2.84

 

[demon_fanatic]

Total has been bumped to 158.5 on B365 for tonights game.
Totals are not my area of expertise, but this seems like an over-adjustment based on last night?
In the two games last year, the total was 142 & 155, I can see it being a similar, dour sort of affair.

Yeh definite overreacting but I'm happy to be on the the 146 spread with such a push to the over, I think top sports 156.5 under at $1.77 is pretty accurate of where it should be

 

[NonPhixion]

little spec on Darcy Moore to win Robert Rose cup medal $51 SB
odds are too high for an AA calibre player.

 

[squeaky1000]

The Bont $13 most fantasy , $10 most disposals both ladbrokes
Definitely overs imo, has looked ready to explode in the pre season
Some tough competition but worth a little play

 

[the_big_sav]

0.5u dunkley macrea bont hunter pendles sidebottom 20+ @ 5.00
0.5u same with bont atg @ 8.75
0.5u bruce bont lloyd miocheck atg @ 3.30
0.5u bruce 2+ bont 2+ macrea dunkley bont hunter 20+ @ 16.00

all sb (so was last night)

 

[JuniorWatch]

Don't mind me a nibble on some Zac Langdon (6 goals in the Marsh series).
AGS $2
2+ $7
3+ $23
4+ $101

SB

 

[demon_fanatic]

Total crushed into 148.5

 

[maskmcgee]

Can I have $1.91 GC +29.5 at QT with you?

My post was not meant to be interpeted exactly as written. The point is, I think the odds for that multi are far longer than they should be, and therefore is value.

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Ben Cavarra 2+ goals - $7.00 SB

 

[Windy At Moorabbin]

Expecting Dom Sheed to play his normal mid/fwd role on Sunday and should be capable of hitting the scoreboard

$7.50 2+ goals. Sb
$36 3+ goals Sb
$101 4+ goals SB

 

[Robo87]

Expecting Dom Sheed to play his normal mid/fwd role on Sunday and should be capable of hitting the scoreboard

$7.50 2+ goals. Sb
$36 3+ goals Sb
$101 4+ goals SB

ill nibble for a bit. (tho hes only kicked 3g once before.)
1u Sheed ags @3 lads
0.5u Sheed 2g+ @8 BE
0.2u Sheed 3g+ @36 SB

& 1u petracca ags @2.15 lads (ave 1g/game in 2019)

 

[demon_fanatic]

Hmmm damn looked ok to at least break even on my 146 spread at half, the 2nd half was yukkkkkkk! Definitely a case of blues just sucking so hard early and how Richmond are so clinical on the turnover that contributed to such a high score,I think a few totals are a tad too high now still.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

GC +15.5
Adelaide -5.5

which is added to a multi with Roosters and Demons AFLW h2h

 

[NonPhixion]

Butters AGS $2.15
2+ $7.50
BE

 

[mookieb]

Ess 1u -15.5 UB.

 

[tripple1zero]

Darcy Tucker 20+ disposals $2.88 SB
Lachie Schultz ags $1.80 Neds (1.45 beteasy)
Devon Smith ags $2.10 Neds (1.18 beteasy)
1u for all

Sent from my SM-G970F using Tapatalk

 

[Ohh Ok]

Dogs were a let down last night.

1u Essendon SU, McGrath 20+, Brayshaw 20+ $4 (SB)

Essendon the better side. Brayshaw and McGrath look to have made their moves into the midfield more permant this year, like this one.

1.5u Stengle AGS $1.77 (365)
1.5u Murphy AGS $1.95 (365)
1.5u Ronke AGS $1.95 (365)

Opportunity for these guys three guys today will definitely be there.

3u Kelly more fantasy than Selwood $1.65 (lads)

Full showing in pre season by kelly who is a fantasy gun. Selwood, well underdone with no game practice in preseason, GWS a tough side to score against from a fantasy perspective.

1.5u Hopper over 22.5 disposals $1.75 (365)

More opportunity with Ward and Taranto. Goes about his business and racks them up. In for a solid year.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Dogs were a let down last night.

1u Essendon SU, McGrath 20+, Brayshaw 20+ $4 (SB)

Essendon the better side. Brayshaw and McGrath look to have made their moves into the midfield more permant this year, like this one.

1.5u Stengle AGS $1.77 (365)
1.5u Murphy AGS $1.95 (365)
1.5u Ronke AGS $1.95 (365)

Opportunity for these guys three guys today will definitely be there.

3u Kelly more fantasy than Selwood $1.65 (lads)

Full showing in pre season by kelly who is a fantasy gun. Selwood, well underdone with no game practice in preseason, GWS a tough side to score against from a fantasy perspective.

1.5u Hopper over 22.5 disposals $1.75 (365)

More opportunity with Ward and Taranto. Goes about his business and racks them up. In for a solid year.

Lots to like here.
All over the Kelly/selwood match up.

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