AFL 2020 AFL Round 1

[karaoke]

McCluggage AGS - 2.25 beteasy (17/23 in ‘19)

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Papley 3+ goals - $5.00 TAB

 

[demon_fanatic]

Don't know what to make of match totals haha the game with lowest slated total Ade Syd is going to fly over. Edit: maybe not haha it's a grind of a last qtr my 142.5-148.5 middle could now hit, live total was in 170s at half

 

[Robo87]

nibble on Sam Powell-Pepper tonight. listed HFF
0.5u Powell-Pepper ags @3.20 b365
0.3u Powell-Pepper 2g+ @11 BE
0.1u Powell-Pepper 3g+@51 b365

 

[maskmcgee]

Complete opposite. Swans are miles better than Adelaide. Crows are a rabble. Swans free money.

Correct

 

[karaoke]

Polec AGS - $2.65 b365 (14/22 in ‘19)

 

[maskmcgee]

Could be the easiest 3.45 odds in history.
Depends on weather or not port decide to show up.

Easiest 3.45 odds in history.

 

[maskmcgee]

Can I have $1.91 GC +29.5 at QT with you?

Every line covered by quarter time, enjoy not tailing?

 

[NonPhixion]

tailed Mcluggage AGS

couple for tomorrow I like:
Sheed AGS $3 - lads (12/24 last year)
Spargo AGS $3, FGS $41 - TAB / 2+ $7, 3+ $29 -365. Played out of position last year, expect him to return to the forward line as a permanent small forward where he shined in his first year.

 

[JuniorWatch]

also like the McClugg bet
otherwise:
Marshall 2+ $12 SB
Berry AGS $3 B365
E. Langdon 25+poss $7.50 SB (trying to stay away from poss bets but this too tempting)

 

[carn tigez]

Every line covered by quarter time, enjoy not tailing?

Yet GC covered the +29.5 quarter time line with ease. Think you've missed the point here buddy.

 

[maskmcgee]

Yet GC covered the +29.5 quarter time line with ease. Think you've missed the point here buddy.

I think you did idiot. Suns got jumped and the bet was over at quarter time, exactly what I said would happen.

 

[carn tigez]

I think you did idiot. Suns got jumped and the bet was over at quarter time, exactly what I said would happen.

And again, that just wasn't the point. The point was Port were not a 50% chance to lead by 30 at quarter time.

 

[maskmcgee]

And again, that just wasn't the point. The point was Port were not a 50% chance to lead by 30 at quarter time.

You are so mad you didn't tail the easiest money you would of ever won.

 

[Windy At Moorabbin]

It will be important not to get sucked into disposal markets this year unless you’re certain it’s value.
Looking at the stats and on Avg only 4 players get to 20 from each team.
Adelaide has had the lowest with only B.Crouch getting to 20

 

[NonPhixion]

It will be important not to get sucked into disposal markets this year unless you’re certain it’s value.
Looking at the stats and on Avg only 4 players get to 20 from each team.
Adelaide has had the lowest with only B.Crouch getting to 20

In 6 games the disposal average is 298.75
Last year the average was around 360-370 (cant be bothered working this out)

 

[Windy At Moorabbin]

In 6 games the disposal average is 298.75
Last year the average was around 360-370 (cant be bothered working this out)

individual markets should be fine but multis will be even more risky.
You quite often see people multi 4 or 5 players on here to get 20 Disposals as safe bets.
Same bets are far from safe this year.

 

[I Lost My Keays]

Thoughts on Hawks today??

 

[JuniorWatch]

It will be important not to get sucked into disposal markets this year unless you’re certain it’s value.
Looking at the stats and on Avg only 4 players get to 20 from each team.
Adelaide has had the lowest with only B.Crouch getting to 20

Yeah i reckon if you like a player to get a lot of nut you might be better off looking at Most Disposals Group bets.

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

Can't believe the odds for Brisbane today. Should be $1.60. Will be going hard on them.

 

[Daniltchenko You Beauty]

also like the McClugg bet
otherwise:
Marshall 2+ $12 SB
Berry AGS $3 B365
E. Langdon 25+poss $7.50 SB (trying to stay away from poss bets but this too tempting)

Marshall kicked two goals once last year and Saints add King and Ryder to the forward line? Don't see it happening.

 

[NonPhixion]

Marshall kicked two goals once last year and Saints add King and Ryder to the forward line? Don't see it happening.

id argue that with Ryder in the team, Marshall can spend larger periods of time 'resting' in the forward line.

 

[Windy At Moorabbin]

id argue that with Ryder in the team, Marshall can spend larger periods of time 'resting' in the forward line.

I agree. People forget that Marshall was added as a rookie to be a key forward and was one of the saints shining lights as a key forward in that terrible 2018 season.

Had to pretty much ruck one out last year but is capable of hitting the scoreboard big time this year with the added support in Ryder.

 

[Ohh Ok]

Already on the Lions earlier in the week. Always worry when a team drifts out though which is happening..

3u Mitchell - fantasy match up vs Lyons $1.70 (neds)

Fantasy has been a bit of a roller coaster so far, but there is no denying that Mitchell is still Hawthorns number 1 man. See it as business as usual for Mitchell.

2.5u Neale - fantasy match up vs Zorko $1.88 (BE)

Similar to Mitchell, but with less game time certain guys see less mid time and I think Zorko is one that’ll be affected a bit. Concerns are if Zorko kicks a few goals.

Not finding too much else on offer at the moment. Quite cautious on disposal markets now. Might find a couple things later

 

[JuniorWatch]

Just think Marshall is overs. Kicked 2 in a marsh game, is a capable forward and should play some decent minutes. So just a nibble at 2+ at 12s and 3+ at 91s.

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