balmainforever
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AFL 2020 - AFL Round 15 (no aftertiming allowed)
- Thread starter balmainforever
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GROTTO
TheBrownDog
- Jul 5, 2013
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Thread is over 12 hours old and no posts yet?
We need to allow for after-timing bets to be posted.
We need to allow for after-timing bets to be posted.
- Sep 12, 2013
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Goal scoring markets are absolutely rubbish for tonight's game.
- May 20, 2016
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Jake Riccardi Goals are up vs Carlton on SB. $2 for 2, $4.50 for 3, $12 for 4, $36 for 5 and $101 for 6. Still riding this train? he's looked great these last two weeks
- May 20, 2016
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Josh Thomas kicked 2.3 vs carlton, vs brisbane this week 2.10 AGS/7.50 2+/31$ 3+ and 101$ 4+
theres no game tonight. but 2 tomorrow.
Tigers to win by (pick your margin), Freo off a loss that snuffs any glimmer of finals, 4 day break and having to travel to the other side of the country. Up against an inform tigers group that have a lovely 6 day break.
Its the type of game that as supporter you are not sure you want to put yourself through watching it, it could get really ugly.
Its the type of game that as supporter you are not sure you want to put yourself through watching it, it could get really ugly.
Yep, on Williams for 1-4. I'll consider Oscar Allen too.
yep i will get on them both, but sb have no 'allen' option yet. **edit - now they do, thanks for reading my post sb employee.
Also noticed d.smith moves to the fwd pocket? is this because heppell comes in? His odds are ok too. thoughts for a small nibble?
ags @2.80, 2g+ @13, 3g+ @91.
Last edited:
- Mar 27, 2018
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also on the Bailey Williams train.
IDK. I guess we might start with a forward line of Daniher, Hooker, Stewart, Mosquito, Tippa and Stringer. Smith will probably rotate forward a bit, though.
md20
Club Legend
- Apr 24, 2020
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Give Mitch Lewis a chance?
AGS 1.53,
2+ 3.75
3+ 11
4+ 46
Comes in for Patton. Done F all this year but showed alot last year.
Crows would be a good team to build some form off of.
On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app
AGS 1.53,
2+ 3.75
3+ 11
4+ 46
Comes in for Patton. Done F all this year but showed alot last year.
Crows would be a good team to build some form off of.
On SM-G965F using BigFooty.com mobile app
On Brisbane behinds SB
1st half
7-8 $8
9-10 $36
11-12 $501
3rd quarter
4 $7.50
5 $18
6 $46
7+ $151
1st half
7-8 $8
9-10 $36
11-12 $501
3rd quarter
4 $7.50
5 $18
6 $46
7+ $151
Should be double those odds stingy campaigners
All over Oscar Allen
2g at 3
3g at 8
4g at 26
Neds
Williams odds too short for me, I reckon he takes second ruck, Allen to play JK's role and do it well
2g at 3
3g at 8
4g at 26
Neds
Williams odds too short for me, I reckon he takes second ruck, Allen to play JK's role and do it well
- May 20, 2016
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Mcgrath over 21.5 @ 1.82
Gaff over 24.5 @ 1.80
both on ladbrokes, like these both esp mcgrath
Gaff over 24.5 @ 1.80
both on ladbrokes, like these both esp mcgrath
- Sep 17, 2014
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1.80 for the Tip to kick a snag on pointsbet looks ok
Looks like a bumper round.
1.5u Hawks* -15.5. Since the restart Ade have lost every game by 20+ with the exception of Ade. B. Crouch is back and still no JOM hurts but this is an important game for the Hawks since they might not have another win for the season (StK, WB and GC). They've shown good signs of late (at times) with some of their younger players being better and flashes from the older players.
1.5u Ess +22.5 - loved the Joe Daniher return. Their midfielders are playing well and with Yeo, Cripps and Kennedy out I fancy them to be competitive.
2.5u GWS -8.5 / 1u GWS 2nd half line / 1u GWS 4th qtr line / 0.5u GWS 40+ - think the 4 day break will hit hard for Carl. Tough to travel after copping a smashing vs a team full of talent who are likely to have found form.
Looking at Rich 2nd half and 4th qtr lines.
* I have a terrible record betting on Hawks but can't ignore the numbers.
1.5u Hawks* -15.5. Since the restart Ade have lost every game by 20+ with the exception of Ade. B. Crouch is back and still no JOM hurts but this is an important game for the Hawks since they might not have another win for the season (StK, WB and GC). They've shown good signs of late (at times) with some of their younger players being better and flashes from the older players.
1.5u Ess +22.5 - loved the Joe Daniher return. Their midfielders are playing well and with Yeo, Cripps and Kennedy out I fancy them to be competitive.
2.5u GWS -8.5 / 1u GWS 2nd half line / 1u GWS 4th qtr line / 0.5u GWS 40+ - think the 4 day break will hit hard for Carl. Tough to travel after copping a smashing vs a team full of talent who are likely to have found form.
Looking at Rich 2nd half and 4th qtr lines.
* I have a terrible record betting on Hawks but can't ignore the numbers.
Bets for tomorrow
Gunston AGS, Breust AGS & Wingard AGS $2.29 NEDS
Lewis AGS, Breust AGS & Wingard AGS $3.65 NEDS
Lewis 2+ $4.60 BE
Putting a lot of faith in Breust & Wingard, both didn't get a goal last week but tipping they will against the Crows
Mosquito AGS, Williams AGS & AMT AGS $5.50 BE
Allen AGS, Darling AGS, Stringer AGS & Daniher AGS $3.07 NEDS
Allen 2+ $3 NEDS
Williams 2+ $4.75 TAB
Gunston AGS, Breust AGS & Wingard AGS $2.29 NEDS
Lewis AGS, Breust AGS & Wingard AGS $3.65 NEDS
Lewis 2+ $4.60 BE
Putting a lot of faith in Breust & Wingard, both didn't get a goal last week but tipping they will against the Crows
Mosquito AGS, Williams AGS & AMT AGS $5.50 BE
Allen AGS, Darling AGS, Stringer AGS & Daniher AGS $3.07 NEDS
Allen 2+ $3 NEDS
Williams 2+ $4.75 TAB
md20
Club Legend
- Apr 24, 2020
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Evening Gents. Best for game 1 tomorrow:
B.Keays 20+ $3.75 pointsbet. Gets less CBA with B.Crouch back but he only had 6% Round 13 and still had 17 vs Cats who are stingy as. Hawthorn leak disposals and should be winning this game but gotta have a go at $3.75 when best I can find elsewhere is $2.60 and most corps around $2.00
M.Lewis Most goals ($21), 2+ ($4.60), 3+ ($15) Beteasy/Tab Touch. Offered nil in 3 games this season but 20 goals in 12 games last year with 6/12 2+ and 3/12 3+ and won’t get a better chance playing Crows.
Also don’t mind Beteasy/Tab Touch $17 for Mitchell, Worpal, M.Crouch, Laird all 25+. Both sides normally leak plenty of disposals and it’s a bet I could see lobbing at big odds. 3 players hitting is $4.40 too which looks good. Would think Mitchell and M.Crouch hit and one of Worpal/Laird should, hopefully both!!
B.Keays 20+ $3.75 pointsbet. Gets less CBA with B.Crouch back but he only had 6% Round 13 and still had 17 vs Cats who are stingy as. Hawthorn leak disposals and should be winning this game but gotta have a go at $3.75 when best I can find elsewhere is $2.60 and most corps around $2.00
M.Lewis Most goals ($21), 2+ ($4.60), 3+ ($15) Beteasy/Tab Touch. Offered nil in 3 games this season but 20 goals in 12 games last year with 6/12 2+ and 3/12 3+ and won’t get a better chance playing Crows.
Also don’t mind Beteasy/Tab Touch $17 for Mitchell, Worpal, M.Crouch, Laird all 25+. Both sides normally leak plenty of disposals and it’s a bet I could see lobbing at big odds. 3 players hitting is $4.40 too which looks good. Would think Mitchell and M.Crouch hit and one of Worpal/Laird should, hopefully both!!
- Oct 6, 2011
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Most Disposals Group A
Mitchell $2.75
Matt Crouch $3.30
Worpel $6.50
B Crouch $7
Laird $8
Smith $13
Scrimshaw $23
Cousins $26
Most Disposals Group B
Keays $3.00
Sloane $4.25
MacKay $5.50
Wingard $8
O'Brien $9
Howe $9
Hardwick $11
Scully $11
Both fields looking at numbers quickly, look like two horse races. Group A winner should be a fairly easy win for Mitchell . Group B is a battle between Sloane and Keays. Think its a real toss up between the two.
Mitchell $2.75
Matt Crouch $3.30
Worpel $6.50
B Crouch $7
Laird $8
Smith $13
Scrimshaw $23
Cousins $26
Most Disposals Group B
Keays $3.00
Sloane $4.25
MacKay $5.50
Wingard $8
O'Brien $9
Howe $9
Hardwick $11
Scully $11
Both fields looking at numbers quickly, look like two horse races. Group A winner should be a fairly easy win for Mitchell . Group B is a battle between Sloane and Keays. Think its a real toss up between the two.
- Dec 9, 2018
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All over this last play!
- Oct 6, 2011
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Think Worpel at $2.00 is poor value for 25+ Disposals. Would like that to be at least $3.00.
Only cleared (25+ Disposals) 2 times out of 13 this season. Do agree that this Adelaide team may not have a tagger to handle Worpel and/or Mitchell. Keays gets 1 of these 2 in my opinion. Feel $2.00 would be the right price if it were 20+ Disposals for Worpel.
Worpel's average from Rounds 2-14 is 19.67 disposals. Think Sportsbet have got a few of the 15+ Disposals on a few Hawk players too short as well.
Only cleared (25+ Disposals) 2 times out of 13 this season. Do agree that this Adelaide team may not have a tagger to handle Worpel and/or Mitchell. Keays gets 1 of these 2 in my opinion. Feel $2.00 would be the right price if it were 20+ Disposals for Worpel.
Worpel's average from Rounds 2-14 is 19.67 disposals. Think Sportsbet have got a few of the 15+ Disposals on a few Hawk players too short as well.
