balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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LIVE: Brisbane Lions v Collingwood - 7:30PM Thu
Squiggle tips Lions at 64% chance -- What's your tip? -- Team line-ups »
Give me that $2.05 odds for Saints. We have Redden (our best mid v Dogs), Sheed (another mid), Hutchins and Ah Chee out injured. Should've lost by over 5 goals to the Doggies if they could actually kick straight.
Add in the wet weather which west coast hate and it's the best bet you'll find all year imoYep on saints as well, both are off a 4 day break but saints had the by before that. Eagles have gone 4/5/4 it has to be taking its toll. Not to mention all the outs, and the fact they seem to not like QLD.
Plonked 13 or 14 units on StK +4.5 and it's now out to -5.5. I reckon it keeps going once teams are announced. Simpson talked about playing 12 defenders and turning some into makeshift mids.Yep i'm all over Saints here as well. Taking a big position then going to middle as I imagine the line will move once teams come out. WC midfield will be without Shuey, Yeo, Redden, Sheed and Jetta who probably would have played wing. They're already playing a few youngsters / depth players and 3 more of them will come in. The kicker might be that they might have planned to manage some players ie McGovern. Hurn and Nic Nat missed last week are there any players this week that could miss due to the high playing load?
Brutal schedule for WC. You would think the bye prior will help StK on the 4 day break. 4th qtr stats would also indicate WC aren't the fittest side going around.
The only concern is StK aren't travelling all that well themselves and probs the weakest team in the 8.
Games won in the middleStk are a trap here imo. Struggled to get over Hawthorn & lost to Melb the week before!....hardly form to justify a a big go here. Eagles still have enough quality around the ground & smarts to get the 4pts here. NN & Hurn big in’s & still have Kelly & Gaff through the mids.
I’ll wait to game time & jump all over the line which hopefully approaches +8-10pts.
The only concern I have is their desire for pick 1. North are going full blitzkreig with the tanking and if they get smashed in the 2 games left and crows beat Carlton they might lose 1st pick.Don't mind the Crows with a 13 point head start against the Blues. Playing away from home is a negative but they are finally showing some signs and should be up and about to claim another scalp. Blues form over the past few games has been pretty average and would expect the Crows to take it up to them through the midefield
Games won in the middle
Kelly
Gaff (useless at centre bounces)
O’Neil (3 games)
Brayshaw (Debut)
Ainsworth (5 games, horrible)
The rest will be makeshift. Not even entirely confident Naitanui plays
There are massive red flags to backing WC - 4 day break, tough schedule, wet weather, no midfield...however, the game against WB is the way they will go. Try and absorb the inside 50 differential with a good backline, then try to get StK on the counter with their potent forward line. Syd does this really well. Keep it close and desperate. But how can their game plan function in the wet? Darling and Kennedy rely on marks. McGovern relies on intercept marking and the whole team likes the kick and mark game. If they get behind by 2 or 3 goals they let this one go.Stk are a trap here imo. Struggled to get over Hawthorn & lost to Melb the week before!....hardly form to justify a a big go here. Eagles still have enough quality around the ground & smarts to get the 4pts here. NN & Hurn big in’s & still have Kelly & Gaff through the mids.
I’ll wait to game time & jump all over the line which hopefully approaches +8-10pts.
Good thing you’re only coming up against a midfield of plodders like Stk then.
Steele > Kelly
Ross > Ainsworth
Billings > Gaff
I’d back you to break even in midfield & you’re far better around the ground. Just a better drilled side.
Have some faith in your side man