AFL 2020 - AFL Round 2

Remove this Banner Ad

(Log in to remove this ad.)

juss

Brownlow Medallist
Feb 23, 2009
19,766
25,048
Melbourne
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
New York Jets
The Lions vs Freo looks safe, around $1.33 isn't anything to get too excited about though, it's probably slight value for their actual chances.

Eagles will win, but at $1.13 not worth touching in the unknown circumstances.

Collingwood looks okay as long as they stay above $2.40

Melbourne are $1.60 on Betfair to beat Carlton, I reckon the Dees are being underrated here, will have to check the teams named but I'm expecting a much better 2020 from Melbourne than last year.

The Hawks looked good in round 1, if they get close to $3 they might be worth a play, or take the + line as those games have a history of being close.

Tough round given so much uncertainty on the return, different venues, no crowds, different training parameters. Better to sit out to get a view on how teams have returned?
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,210
1,647
AFL Club
Essendon
Niiice.
Can't see as much value as Round 1, but a few Marshally things i like are:
Todd Marshall 2+ $4, 3+ $11 (port should win easily and he kicked 2.2 in Round 1)
Rowan Marshall 2+ $13, 3+ $81 (didn't work out for me in Round 1, but will still play 40-50% fwd against a team that always struggles against multiple talls. Value there considering market is based on him playing full time ruck).
Hopefully there are some positional change murmurings to create some value.
 

Sausage Legs

Team Captain
Sep 17, 2014
599
537
AFL Club
West Coast
Me same game multis. All anytime goal scorers.

Cats v Hawks. Ablett, Miers, Mitch Lewis - 4.33 - Tim O'Brien 2 bucks if forward too.
Syd v Ess. Devon Smith, Will Hayward - 4.50. Laverde 1.90 and Devon Smith 2.40 both look overs
Gws v Kangs. Zac Langdon, Greene, Larkey - 3.60
GC v Eags. Sexton, Kelly - 2.50
Pear v Cows. Rozee, Lachy Murphy - 2.75
Carl v Melb. Jack Martin, Mitch Brown - 2.80
Bris v Freo. McLuggage, Rayner - 3.10
StK v Dogs. Lonie, Bont - 2.80. Also like Dean Kent at 2.25 by himself.
Coll v Rich - Tiges list not up yet.

Mainly 2 leggers, trying not to get too greedy.
 

NonPhixion

Shevchenko's Bullet
Mar 27, 2018
2,934
3,178
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Niiice.
Can't see as much value as Round 1, but a few Marshally things i like are:
Todd Marshall 2+ $4, 3+ $11 (port should win easily and he kicked 2.2 in Round 1)
Rowan Marshall 2+ $13, 3+ $81 (didn't work out for me in Round 1, but will still play 40-50% fwd against a team that always struggles against multiple talls. Value there considering market is based on him playing full time ruck).
Hopefully there are some positional change murmurings to create some value.
What a shout.
Rowan smashed into $3.25 & $9!
Can already cash out for a 3U profit... but why would we do that haha
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,210
1,647
AFL Club
Essendon
What a shout.
Rowan smashed into $3.25 & $9!
Can already cash out for a 3U profit... but why would we do that haha
Todd taken into $2.88 for 2+ (from $4) and $7.50 3+ (from $11) as well.
You asked for it...
Screen Shot 2020-06-04 at 12.37.11.png

Edit:
The hit on Rowan i think will be because training reports from the saints board say he's training with the forward group atm.
 
Last edited:

Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,139
924
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Todd Marshall 2+ $4, 3+ $11 (port should win easily and he kicked 2.2 in Round 1)
While i agree port should win this. people forget how close showdowns get even when one team is more expected to win coming into the showdown. 32/47 showdowns have been decided by 28pts or less. 24/47 decided by 20pts or less.
im thinking of jumping on the port margin 1-39 @1.91 just because there's no port fans to cheer port on when they do start winning the game..
(Id also be interested to know the number of times the underdog of the day has won the showdown / covered the line.)
 

NonPhixion

Shevchenko's Bullet
Mar 27, 2018
2,934
3,178
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Coll/Rich Pinnacle Total:
O/U: 139.5 - $1.892

Coll:
O: 65.5 - $1.847
U: 65.5 - $1.862

Rich:
O/U: 73.5 - $1.854

Tight lines, but probably what we can expect in coming days for totals
 

WWII

Rookie
Dec 21, 2019
28
15
AFL Club
Western Bulldogs
I've taken:

Richmond at the line (-7.5) @ 1.90
GWS to win @ 1.36
Western Bulldogs at the line (-10.5) @ 1.90

Boosted up to 5.30 on Ladbrokes, I'm pretty happy with that.
 

Mazza1234678

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 2, 2017
18,330
8,284
AFL Club
Collingwood
Coll/Rich Pinnacle Total:
O/U: 139.5 - $1.892

Coll:
O: 65.5 - $1.847
U: 65.5 - $1.862

Rich:
O/U: 73.5 - $1.854

Tight lines, but probably what we can expect in coming days for totals
Both will be playing explosive forward lines who are quick and score aplenty

That’s easily going over for my liking, barring sh*t weather
 

targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
1,299
957
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
Coll/Rich Pinnacle Total:
O/U: 139.5 - $1.892

Coll:
O: 65.5 - $1.847
U: 65.5 - $1.862

Rich:
O/U: 73.5 - $1.854

Tight lines, but probably what we can expect in coming days for totals
With little data to speak of ,the shorter game Totals are a tough call . In Coll V Rich past 5 matches the total has gone under the expected
 

JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,210
1,647
AFL Club
Essendon
Match Unders Double:
BL/Freo u131.5 (pouring all week up there)
Ess/Swans u136.5 (low skilled teams both with big outs in the fwd lines, possibly wet)
$3.64 b365.

Also expecting a general rustiness across the league resulting in lower scores but like these 2 in particular.
 

squeaky1000

Debutant
Apr 30, 2018
86
130
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Early plays
2.5 units multi Lions, Eagles, Giants H2H $2.05
3.5 units GWS -19.5 $1.91
1 unit Port H2H $1.50
0.2 units multi Pies +7.5, Lions H2H, Port -13.5, Eagles H2H, GWS -19.5, Bombers H2H, Dogs H2H $31
 

Top Bottom