AFL 2020 - AFL Round 3

[Sausage Legs]

Adelaide with the 1st goal of the 2nd quarter. No way Im jinxing this.

Crows still get too overrated. They're like a blunt butchers knife. Not much chop. Serious spoon contenders.

 

[Robo87]

Day and King 2+ at 3.10 looks alright v Crows. Not sure which Talia goes to, but whoever gets McAsey is kicking 2.

cheers for the King tip!

0.2u GC 49-60band @21 b365

not sure if i should cash out this one.... margin looks like its going over 60 i think...

 

[NYRB]

Would be fair to say, Adelaides McAsey has had a shocker today. The forumite, who said the player that gets him today, will kick a few goals was right.

 

[burge13]

Would be fair to say, Adelaides McAsey has had a shocker today. The forumite, who said the player that gets him today, will kick a few goals was right.

Whoever he plays on each week is going to have a field day. He isnt ready, he should be in the SANFL for a year but they cant play so no choice.

Every teams 2nd/3rd forward for 2,3+ will be profitable imo

 

[karaoke]

Anyway I like Ainsworth for goals today
1+ $2
2+ $7
3+ $34

Kicked 1.1 in round 1 and 2.1 in round 2

1.2 - what could have been, good spot though

 

[NYRB]

1.2 - what could have been, good spot though

When you have a focal point like King up forward, it gives opportunities to smaller forwards to chip in with a goal or two when the ball his the ground.

 

[Robo87]

when you pick the right side to win the game..

As a crows supporter , i still sadly agree with you. GC have Never beaten Adelaide, but this is the week GC do get their first win on us.
Im going to back multiple lines for GC and see how many do come off.
1.5u GC -1.5 @1.91 b365
1.2u GC -9.5 @2.35 b365
1u GC -20.5 @3.40 sb
0.5u GC -24.5 @4 sb
0.5u GC -29.5 @5 sb
0.3u GC -35.5 @6.50 sb
0.3u GC 40+@8 sb
0.2u GC -45.5 @11.50 b365
0.2u GC 49-60band @21 b365
(only need first 2 to win to break even)

Alas, Still only partly makes up for my bad weekend its been.

 

[Robo87]

1u butters ags @2.20 sb
1u westoff ags @2.85 b365
1u motlop ags @2.15 sb
i think it may be a low scoring game tho, giving its freo..
(matera ags is @1.91 b365 if you like freo..)

 

[NonPhixion]

1u butters ags @2.20 sb
1u westoff ags @2.85 b365
1u motlop ags @2.15 sb
i think it may be a low scoring game tho, giving its freo..
(matera ags is @1.91 b365 if you like freo..)

like Butters there.
Also don't mind Colyer, been playing forward, didn't hit the scoreboard last week but 1.2 in R1.
AGS $3.10
2+ $9
3+ $41

 

[Sausage Legs]

Taberner sausage 1.91

 

[tangolikelama]

Gray + Marshall 2+ each @10

 

[NYRB]

Unders/Overs shifted from 128.5 to 124.5 points pre-game for Port v Freo match.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Freos odds are juicy. This is the type of game we always lose..

I've put a few bets on Freo, Freo -14.5, Freo -29.5, this kind of thing.

I don't read much into round 1, and last week Port spanked a terrible something rotten in the state of Denmark Crows. Big deal.

Freo lost by two goals to Brisbane in Brisbane, and have the advantage of an extra week in the conditions.

Hogan could be a big in, especially if he takes one of Port's best defenders.

Walters and Taberner both paying decent odds for 2+ goals and 3+ goals, I also put a few small bets on these as well.

Port could come out and trounce them, but I'm genuinely expecting Freo to win comfortably. We'll see.

 

[NYRB]

Goals to be at a premium tonight.

I like the unders will come in. On paper, the teams are fairly even. Tri-bet, either team to win by under 15.5 points may be the play here at around $3.05. With the game to be tight, i sense that goals will be few and far between.

15 of the last 18 games between these two teams, the home team has won. I think with the game being played on neutral ground, there won't be too much an advantage for either side. Freo is the value at around $3.10.

 

[NYRB]

As a benchmark given the Suns v Crows game had 111 points in pretty much perfect weather for footy. My reason for selecting unders in Freo/Port is , it will probably be a tad harder for a higher scoring game in comparison to the day match.

 

[NYRB]

Sportsbet now have the total line at 123.5 pts for Port v Freo.

 

[RooTed]

Just a quick one to end the round..GL


On SM-G960F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[andwhenitcomes]

On Freo +16.5/under 124.5 @ 3.15 (Toppy), leaning Freo at the line and rain set to hit in the second term.

 

[Robo87]

like Butters there.
Also don't mind Colyer, been playing forward, didn't hit the scoreboard last week but 1.2 in R1.
AGS $3.10
2+ $9
3+ $41

Best start ever!

 

[NYRB]

Rain starting to fall.

 

[NYRB]

Poor defending there by Freo, need a man in the last line of defence in weather like this.

 

[NYRB]

Poor playing the better wet weather footy here.

 

[NYRB]

Someone on Exchange got a bit of Gold Coast Suns, to Make Top 8 during the season at odds of $46.00. Now they are $3.05 .

Wish I had a bit on that.

But there has to be some serious doubts after this weekend whether the season will be completed.

 

[NYRB]

I also listened to Nick Dal santo commentary last night and he is quickly becoming one of my favourite commentators. Speaks really well, direct to the point and seems well educated.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Pretty sure no one cares about this any more but with the SB error market from earlier I obviously didn't get the $2700 back but came out with a $250BB.
But it was such a massive pain in my ass i wouldn't do it again.