AFL 2020 - AFL Round 5

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NonPhixion

Bookie Assassin
Mar 27, 2018
3,261
3,820
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Richmond H2H $1.53
Yes please. No way they lose 3 in a row. Melbourne has absolutely no forward structure what so ever. Probably play their total unders
 

Lewis#3

Team Captain
Aug 30, 2008
309
200
Wodonga
AFL Club
West Coast
Hawthorn were really good against GWS last year don’t see how that changes. Hawthorn will do what the bulldogs did to the giants two weeks ago. Like them at the line and to win outright.
 

NYRB

Club Legend
Oct 6, 2011
2,728
944
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
WCE/Sydney and Richmond/Melbourne?

Bit of a problem when one affected game is Thursday and the other Sunday...

AFL season highly doubtful to get to the Finals stage if it gets that far. Chances of a grand final based in WA a strong possibility.

I reckon if Eagles were to play Swans this week, Swans will be hugely disadvantaged. Only 6 days notice and Eagles despite their shocking form, have had 3 more weeks based in the QLD hub.
 

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targett

Club Legend
Aug 31, 2008
1,315
1,028
Gold Coast
AFL Club
Collingwood
I'm thinking total match points overs. Few less repeat stoppages, replaced by more F50 entries. Maybe even a few extra shots as a result of tackles being rewarded.
Not so sure on taking Overs.The story so far is 9 overs and 17 unders since 16 min qtrs where introduced . Letting the game go a bit will IMO only level these numbers out , so no real advantage to be gained . The Unders have gone a total 361.5 points under the closing total at an average of 21.26 points per match which is a fair bit of ground to make up .
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,802
1,198
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
They are some excellent comparisons of performance for Freo and Ade given they have played the same teams over the last 3 weeks:

Port
Freo -29 / Ade -75
GC
Freo -13 / Ade -53
Bris
Freo -12 / Ade -37 (should have been alot more)

Essentially Ade have been absolutely pounded three games in a row (Bris should have won by 50+) whereas Freo for the most part have been quite competitive. Obviously Fyfe being out hurts alot though.

Additionally Freo are playing at "home" whereas Ade will be travelling for the 3rd week in a row. If this adds up to say a 6 point advantage to Freo then essentially the books are saying Freo and Ade have the same quality of team, same form etc. For me clearly Ade are going to be atrocious and Freo not great but they're certainly competitive for the most part. I can see some upside for Freo with Mundy, Wilson, Hogan and S. Hill benefiting from game time recently given interrupted preseasons. So Freo -6.5 for 2u it is.
 

Sausage Legs

All Australian
Sep 17, 2014
671
626
AFL Club
West Coast
They are some excellent comparisons of performance for Freo and Ade given they have played the same teams over the last 3 weeks:

Port
Freo -29 / Ade -75
GC
Freo -13 / Ade -53
Bris
Freo -12 / Ade -37 (should have been alot more)

Essentially Ade have been absolutely pounded three games in a row (Bris should have won by 50+) whereas Freo for the most part have been quite competitive. Obviously Fyfe being out hurts alot though.

Additionally Freo are playing at "home" whereas Ade will be travelling for the 3rd week in a row. If this adds up to say a 6 point advantage to Freo then essentially the books are saying Freo and Ade have the same quality of team, same form etc. For me clearly Ade are going to be atrocious and Freo not great but they're certainly competitive for the most part. I can see some upside for Freo with Mundy, Wilson, Hogan and S. Hill benefiting from game time recently given interrupted preseasons. So Freo -6.5 for 2u it is.
No Fyfe but yes still agree.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,802
1,198
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
For situational bettors Geel vs GC should appeal. Geel have the double milestone game and given their form has been a bit shaky i'm expecting a quality performance. Alternatively I feel a trip down to Skilled Stadium might bring GC a reality check. They've been great for 3 weeks so i'm expecting they might just be believing the hype a little bit and time for a letdown spot for a young team.

Similar spot to early last year where they had won some games and been really competitive then went to Ade and got pumped.

The -18.5 line is pretty hefty given underdogs have covered around 2/3 of games though.

If they don't bring a physical game at Skilled Stadium they might get pumped here.
 

mookieb

Club Legend
Oct 4, 2006
1,802
1,198
Perth
AFL Club
Hawthorn
They are some excellent comparisons of performance for Freo and Ade given they have played the same teams over the last 3 weeks:

Port
Freo -29 / Ade -75
GC
Freo -13 / Ade -53
Bris
Freo -12 / Ade -37 (should have been alot more)

Essentially Ade have been absolutely pounded three games in a row (Bris should have won by 50+) whereas Freo for the most part have been quite competitive. Obviously Fyfe being out hurts alot though.

Additionally Freo are playing at "home" whereas Ade will be travelling for the 3rd week in a row. If this adds up to say a 6 point advantage to Freo then essentially the books are saying Freo and Ade have the same quality of team, same form etc. For me clearly Ade are going to be atrocious and Freo not great but they're certainly competitive for the most part. I can see some upside for Freo with Mundy, Wilson, Hogan and S. Hill benefiting from game time recently given interrupted preseasons. So Freo -6.5 for 2u it is.
Sloane questionable and Fogarty doubtful for the clash which would obviously be beneficial to Freo and probably cancels Fyfe missing.
 

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