AFL 2020 - AFL Round 5

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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,311
1,903
AFL Club
Essendon
Phillips is a better ruckman that Belly imo.
And those TAB SC markets are Pointsbet level bad these days.
He averages 133 and has hit 1/4. Should get better than $2.10.
 

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NYRB

Club Legend
Oct 6, 2011
2,524
847
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
Grundy averages 133 in Super Coach points this season.

Grundy has scored 150+ points in 6 of his last 23 matches. At $2.10 to get 150+ points on TAB , that represents poor value to me. Would want odds of at least $3.50 for 150 or more SC points.

I do agree though in wet conditions he can get more 'hit outs' to advantage which should lead to an increase in Super Coach points for Grundy.
 
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Robo87

Club Legend
Aug 3, 2014
1,219
1,028
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
3.5u Collingwood SU, Pendlebury 15+, Shiel 15+, McGrath 15+ @ $1.80 (SB)
2u Adams over 19.5 @ $1.97 (lads/neds)
1.25u Parish AGS @ $3.20 (365)
1.25u D.Smith AGS @ $3.20 (BE)

Confident that Collingwood bounce back from a game they should’ve won. Pendles, Shiels, McGrath all been the main ball winners for their sides this season.

Happy to take the price on Parish and Smith, definitely rate these higher than the 30~% chance that the bookies are suggesting. Both take almost a shot a game.
I like these, tailing. (Both parish and Smith actually average 1.1 /game ytd too.)
Just be aware for sgm on sb - [terms 2. To be eligible for bonus bet back, Minimum total odds of the Same Game Multi must be $2.00.]
so ive added Grundy 10+ to make it @2.

edit: adding this just to make it interesting
0.2u parish 2g+ @9.5 b365
0.2u parish 3g+ @51 b365
0.2u D.Smith 2g+ @15 be
0.2u D.Smith 3g+ @81 sb
 
Last edited:

Parko31

Senior List
Apr 8, 2014
167
119
AFL Club
Essendon
I thought the same thing but you'll notice that the bombers have also brought in Laverde so that should free up Parish to move into the middle.
"Expect to see more time in the middle for Darcy Parish and Kyle Langford, while club debutant and former Roo Mitch Hibberd is a ready-made inside midfielder who averaged 24 disposals and seven tackles for Williamstown in the VFL last season."
Posted on Essendons website today
 

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Atavistic

Premiership Player
Jan 22, 2008
4,871
3,443
Hobart
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Team Coco
Freo gone in tall against the crows.
Feel like the value is with Lobb with Sean Darcy back in the side.
AGS $1.90 Lads
2+ $4.50
3+ $14
4+ $56

Value SGM: Total o123.5, Freo WIN, Taberner 3+ = $14.50 @ Topsport ($7.75 at SB)
Tailed. Looks like he kicks goals whenever he and Darcy play together.
 

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