balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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That's why they are 1.65Freo 1.65 with Fyfe in would have been a decent sized bet for me but with him out, not so sure
They were 1.65 before Fyfe got injured. You can't get much on that far in advance obviously but those odds were availableThat's why they are 1.65
WCE/Sydney and Richmond/Melbourne?Hold fire on any early plays.Fixture shake up on way
WCE/Sydney and Richmond/Melbourne?
Bit of a problem when one affected game is Thursday and the other Sunday...
HTB ?Wonder how we could take advantage of the almost guaranteed overreaction there will be this weekend to HTB decisions.
I'm thinking total match points overs. Few less repeat stoppages, replaced by more F50 entries. Maybe even a few extra shots as a result of tackles being rewarded.Wonder how we could take advantage of the almost guaranteed overreaction there will be this weekend to HTB decisions.
Not so sure on taking Overs.The story so far is 9 overs and 17 unders since 16 min qtrs where introduced . Letting the game go a bit will IMO only level these numbers out , so no real advantage to be gained . The Unders have gone a total 361.5 points under the closing total at an average of 21.26 points per match which is a fair bit of ground to make up .I'm thinking total match points overs. Few less repeat stoppages, replaced by more F50 entries. Maybe even a few extra shots as a result of tackles being rewarded.
holding the ball. Clarko complaining. Gil agreeing etc.HTB ?
The Unders have gone a total 361.5 points under the closing total at an average of 21.26 points per match which is a fair bit of ground to make up .
Example: closing total match one 132.5 match score 100 = 32.5 underCan you care to explain what you meant by "total 361.5 points"?
No Fyfe but yes still agree.They are some excellent comparisons of performance for Freo and Ade given they have played the same teams over the last 3 weeks:
Port
Freo -29 / Ade -75
GC
Freo -13 / Ade -53
Bris
Freo -12 / Ade -37 (should have been alot more)
Essentially Ade have been absolutely pounded three games in a row (Bris should have won by 50+) whereas Freo for the most part have been quite competitive. Obviously Fyfe being out hurts alot though.
Additionally Freo are playing at "home" whereas Ade will be travelling for the 3rd week in a row. If this adds up to say a 6 point advantage to Freo then essentially the books are saying Freo and Ade have the same quality of team, same form etc. For me clearly Ade are going to be atrocious and Freo not great but they're certainly competitive for the most part. I can see some upside for Freo with Mundy, Wilson, Hogan and S. Hill benefiting from game time recently given interrupted preseasons. So Freo -6.5 for 2u it is.
Sloane questionable and Fogarty doubtful for the clash which would obviously be beneficial to Freo and probably cancels Fyfe missing.They are some excellent comparisons of performance for Freo and Ade given they have played the same teams over the last 3 weeks:
Port
Freo -29 / Ade -75
GC
Freo -13 / Ade -53
Bris
Freo -12 / Ade -37 (should have been alot more)
Essentially Ade have been absolutely pounded three games in a row (Bris should have won by 50+) whereas Freo for the most part have been quite competitive. Obviously Fyfe being out hurts alot though.
Additionally Freo are playing at "home" whereas Ade will be travelling for the 3rd week in a row. If this adds up to say a 6 point advantage to Freo then essentially the books are saying Freo and Ade have the same quality of team, same form etc. For me clearly Ade are going to be atrocious and Freo not great but they're certainly competitive for the most part. I can see some upside for Freo with Mundy, Wilson, Hogan and S. Hill benefiting from game time recently given interrupted preseasons. So Freo -6.5 for 2u it is.