AFL 2020 - AFL Round 7

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PieBeast

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 8, 2009
24,893
13,089
Here and there
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Leeds United
So if saints win you get $775, adelaide paying $3.5, put $200 on adelaide, collect $700 or $775 if saint win.
Not sure what it cost you in the first place? I often just put a small amount on the outsider for small profit, better then a loss.(like $50-$100)
Yeah 775 collect for 50 dollar outlay but I have Saints at the line -18.5, so need to chuck 400 on Crows at the line to make 300 either way.
 

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NYRB

Premiership Player
Oct 6, 2011
3,854
1,423
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
You're having a shocking run so your answer is to try and hit a 23-1 multi? Not sure there's a whole lot of strategy to your punting by the looks of things

Im just not a fan of betting on short odds all the time- in fact I used to ignore bets involving multis. ( I would rarely touch them) My ratio of straight single bets : multis bets was something along the lines of 95% single bets: 5% multi bets in the past. I bet on odds whether it be straight up bets at around even money to multis going at whatever odds these days (range this weekend i think was $3- $100). This 'Same Game Multi' has added another dimension to betting, as 15 years ago, you couldn't do something like this. At 23/1 its supposed to be a bit of a hit and giggle. I have other bets on the match as well, and Im traditionally an 'in-play/live betting' kind of guy. Like to watch a quarter or two before betting on some markets. My Pre-game odds are mainly based on stats and previous history of past encounters.

I personally feel, there is more money to bet made in 'in-play betting' as a sport like AFL can be volatile and see-sawing with: Match Odds, Total Points lines, Quarter by Quarter, Goalscorer markets etc
 
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JuniorWatch

Club Legend
Jun 13, 2016
1,441
2,180
AFL Club
Essendon
King would be my choice
Talia usually plays on the deepest fwd which lately has been King.
Talia is also, size wise, a better matchup for King.
Which is why I like Membrey to get off the chain.
2+ $2.45
3+ $5.75
Membrey more goals than Lynch $2.25 (9 for the year vs. 4)
Lads
Kicked 3 last year against the crows from membrey.
 

dontlimitme

Team Captain
May 20, 2016
458
704
AFL Club
GWS
Talia usually plays on the deepest fwd which lately has been King.
Talia is also, size wise, a better matchup for King.
Which is why I like Membrey to get off the chain.
2+ $2.45
3+ $5.75
Lads
Kicked 3 last year against the crows from membrey.
yep i think so too

50$ membrey 2g+ @ 2.45 (LADS)
50$ 3g+ @ 5.75 (LADS)
20 4g+ @ 17 (LADS)
 

FadingTheFave

Rookie
Jun 25, 2016
47
76
AFL Club
St Kilda
Who else is joining me in tonight's kamikaze mission.

Crows +18.5 over Saints (2 units)
Crows ML over Saints @ 3.45 (1 unit)
As a Saints supporter I agree that Adelaide are good value. Had a look at the Saints interstate record over the last 10 years and it is worse than I remember. 63 games outside Victoria for just 13 wins, 5 of which were against Gold Coast and a further 3 occurring in 2011 the year we last made finals, also the year we last won in Adelaide.
 

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BuddysBuddy23

Club Legend
Mar 28, 2012
1,757
2,779
3rd spooky castle on left
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Pittsburgh Steelers Perth Scorchers
Talia usually plays on the deepest fwd which lately has been King.
Talia is also, size wise, a better matchup for King.
Which is why I like Membrey to get off the chain.
2+ $2.45
3+ $5.75
Membrey more goals than Lynch $2.25 (9 for the year vs. 4)
Lads

Kicked 3 last year against the crows from membrey.
Love that bet. Also rate Butler more goals than Stengle at $2.15. Back both, make a profit even if 1 only gets home
 

yousnoozeyoulose

Debutant
Sep 7, 2011
82
54
AFL Club
Fremantle
For those Adelaide backers both line and ml - where do you anticipate goals to come from?

Taylor Walker for 3+ @ $5.50 & 4+ @ $15 is interesting.

Last two games against the Saints he's gone 4.0 (AO) & 4.2 (Marvel)

Good opportunity for him to show something.
 

NYRB

Premiership Player
Oct 6, 2011
3,854
1,423
Auckland, New Zealand
AFL Club
GWS
Other Teams
Patriots, Perth Glory, Wildcats
For those Adelaide backers both line and ml - where do you anticipate goals to come from?

Taylor Walker for 3+ @ $5.50 & 4+ @ $15 is interesting.

Last two games against the Saints he's gone 4.0 (AO) & 4.2 (Marvel)

Good opportunity for him to show something.
I’ve been watching a few Crows matches , reckon a small forward such as McAdam May sneak up for a couple .
 

andwhenitcomes

Team Captain
May 2, 2018
370
452
AFL Club
Melbourne
Talia usually plays on the deepest fwd which lately has been King.
Talia is also, size wise, a better matchup for King.
Which is why I like Membrey to get off the chain.
2+ $2.45
3+ $5.75
Membrey more goals than Lynch $2.25 (9 for the year vs. 4)
Lads
Kicked 3 last year against the crows from membrey.
Don't mind this, which leads me down some similar thinking: Marshall AGS @ 1.92, Marshall 2+ @ 6.50 and Marshall 3+ @ 23.00. Will play more forward with Ryder in.
 

Ohh Ok

All Australian
Jul 31, 2018
832
974
AFL Club
Adelaide
3u Saints over 15.5 points 1st qtr @ $1.85 (365)
2u Saints -4.5 1st qtr @ $1.90 (lads)

Riding home the saints in a double that I had with them and WCE. Don’t often look to into more obscure markets like these two, but you can’t ignore the strikerate that these two positions have had this year. 5/6 for the total and 4/6 for the line. A loss coming in each market for the Collingwood game. The saints were embarrassed last week and will be looking to make amends with a big start tonight. They rate themselves as final contenders and will look to decimate the crows through playing their high paced, exciting brand that they’ve began to exhibit this season. Ratten has given them a bit of a spray and will be expecting a four quarter performance tonight. To do this, they’ll have to start with a strong first quarter, something they’ve been able to do most of this season.

If I weren’t riding home Saints ML, I’d be looking at the line.
 

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